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Toros de Nuevo vs Guerreros Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Jan 2014
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 98-80
27-19 24-19 26-14 21-28
Position#5
Record16-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game73.4
vs
Position#9
Record13-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game86.5
MexicoLNBPRound 32
Other2013-14
Meetings · Toros de Nuevo v Guerreros
11 Jan 2014
TORO98
GUER80
06 Oct 2013
TORO77
GUER69
04 Nov 2012
TORO75
GUER80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toros de Nuevo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guerreros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toros de NuevoMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A08/12
LNBP
Soles
#2
L
81-96
81
96
-15
A11/12
LNBP
Pioneros
#3
W
83-68
83
68
+15
A13/12
LNBP
Correcaminos
#13
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H21/12
LNBP
Huracanes
#8
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H22/12
LNBP
Abejas
#4
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A28/12
LNBP
Gigantes
#11
W
95-91
95
91
+4
A30/12
LNBP
Xalapa
#7
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A04/01
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A06/01
LNBP
Gansos
#14
W
102-83
102
83
+19
H11/01
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
21-10
16-33
18-20
25-20
23-22
17-28
16-26
22-14
20-16
24-20
17-18
20-19
14-26
26-15
32-23
19-13
26-20
22-19
21-17
16-26
13-15
24-26
29-19
22-28
25-20
19-17
29-26
22-21
12-18
15-18
23-13
–
–
–
–
28-18
23-22
22-22
29-21
164.8Avg total
84.3Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.573.4150.9+4.167%
Season at home (10)88.077.8165.8+10.290%
Season away (14)70.070.3140.3-0.350%
Last 10 (10)84.380.5164.8+3.860%
Last 5 (5)85.082.0167.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.480.5160.9-0.158%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.371.6144.9+1.760%
vs Weaker (8)81.572.2153.8+9.288%
This opponent (Guerreros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuerrerosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xalapa
#7
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H20/12
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#1
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H22/12
LNBP
Gansos
#14
W
110-69
110
69
+41
H30/12
LNBP
Gansos
#14
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H31/12
LNBP
Lechugueros
#12
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H04/01
LNBP
Lechugueros
#12
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H05/01
LNBP
Panteras
#10
W
104-87
104
87
+17
H06/01
LNBP
Panteras
#10
W
101-78
101
78
+23
H07/01
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#6
L
99-107 OT
99
107
-8
A09/01
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#6
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A11/01
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
–
34-20
18-29
20-17
20-18
–
–
–
–
22-24
26-14
31-26
25-23
31-12
19-24
24-22
27-20
28-19
22-26
24-23
16-22
24-15
29-16
11-22
21-29
179.1Avg total
94.6Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.986.5174.3+1.454%
Season at home (10)91.082.7173.7+8.370%
Season away (14)85.689.1174.8-3.543%
Last 10 (10)94.684.5179.1+10.180%
Last 5 (5)96.285.6181.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.0103.0182.0-24.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.586.8173.3-0.350%
vs Weaker (9)90.981.8172.7+9.189%
This opponent (Toros de Nuevo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +9.8+9.8Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -0.6-0.6
Toros de NuevoGuerreros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toros de NuevoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuerza Regia
#6
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A08/12
LNBP
Soles
#2
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A11/12
LNBP
Pioneros
#3
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A13/12
LNBP
Correcaminos
#13
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H21/12
LNBP
Huracanes
#8
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H22/12
LNBP
Abejas
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A28/12
LNBP
Gigantes
#11
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A30/12
LNBP
Xalapa
#7
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A04/01
LNBP
Gansos
#14
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H11/01
LNBP
79.3Avg total
41.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)41.537.879.3+3.759%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.138.779.8+2.454%-
Last 30 away (14)41.936.978.9+5.064%-
Last 10 (9)41.138.279.3+2.956%-
Last 5 (5)41.240.281.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.939.580.4+1.555%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.034.773.7+4.356%-
vs Weaker (7)45.739.184.9+6.671%-
This opponent (Guerreros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GuerrerosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lechugueros
#12
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H04/01
LNBP
Panteras
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H06/01
LNBP
Panteras
#10
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H07/01
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#6
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A09/01
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#6
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A11/01
LNBP
90.4Avg total
50.6Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)40.847.688.4-6.833%-
Last 30 at home (7)43.147.090.1-3.943%-
Last 30 away (17)39.847.987.7-8.129%-
Last 10 (5)50.639.890.4+10.8100%-
Last 5 (5)50.639.890.4+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.556.392.8-19.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.641.485.0+2.262%-
vs Weaker (6)44.241.585.7+2.750%-
This opponent (Toros de Nuevo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toros de Nuevo wins
1
Guerreros wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/14HGansos102-83
06/01/14AHalcones Rojos74-80
04/01/14AXalapa72-70
30/12/13AGigantes95-91
28/12/13AAbejas82-86
22/12/13HHuracanes88-69
21/12/13HCorrecaminos92-83
13/12/13APioneros83-68
11/12/13ASoles81-96
08/12/13AFuerza Regia74-79
Guerreroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/14AFuerza Regia85-82
09/01/14AFuerza Regia99-107 OT
07/01/14HPanteras101-78
06/01/14HPanteras104-87
05/01/14HLechugueros92-74
04/01/14HLechugueros92-84
31/12/13HGansos84-83
30/12/13HGansos110-69
22/12/13HHalcones Rojos86-94
20/12/13HXalapa93-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toros de Nuevo
LNBP 2013-14
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %67%90%50%
Points / game77.588.070.0
Allowed / game73.477.870.3
Point differential+4.1+10.2-0.3
Avg total150.9165.8140.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%60%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)-50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guerreros
LNBP 2013-14
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW54%
HomeWWWWW70%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %54%70%43%
Points / game87.991.085.6
Allowed / game86.582.789.1
Point differential+1.4+8.3-3.5
Avg total174.3173.7174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %8%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Halcones Rojos3024680%84.776.7+8.0
2 Pioneros2922776%85.778.0+7.7
3 Soles2719870%85.678.8+6.8
4 Abejas3021970%87.683.5+4.1
5 Toros de Nuevo2416867%77.573.4+4.1
6 Huracanes28161257%81.477.9+3.5
7 Fuerza Regia28161257%84.481.0+3.4
8 Guerreros24131154%87.986.5+1.4
9 Xalapa26121446%81.779.6+2.1
10 Panteras29121741%90.291.0-0.8
11 Gigantes2882029%80.888.4-7.5
12 Lechugueros3082227%78.084.0-6.0
13 Correcaminos2972224%74.981.9-7.0
14 Gansos302287%78.596.1-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toros de Nuevo2724262198
Guerreros1919142880
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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