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Torun vs Dziki Warszawa Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#13
Record1-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game94.2
vs
Position#2
Record3-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game73.8
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 14· Arena Torun
Other2026-27
Meetings · Torun v Dziki Warszawa
02 Jan 2027
TOR v DWA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
TOR82
DWA83
10 May 2025
TOR86
DWA82
21 Oct 2024
TOR90
DWA94
06 Oct 2023
TOR72
DWA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torun win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dziki Warszawa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TorunPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H10/04
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
L
72-92
72
92
-20
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
L
73-96
73
96
-23
H24/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#3
W
113-106
113
106
+7
H28/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
99-107
99
107
-8
A02/05
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
85-104
85
104
-19
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
A10/10
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#12
W
110-96
110
96
+14
H16/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#9
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A23/10
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
17-21
21-21
30-21
24-28
21-21
13-20
14-23
10-14
20-28
21-29
22-25
31-30
25-27
25-22
32-27
19-27
30-26
23-34
27-20
28-18
18-26
17-22
32-20
24-23
23-28
22-27
16-26
18-21
22-31
20-22
23-13
22-18
38-29
30-22
20-27
19-26
7-24
23-22
20-18
182.8Avg total
88.1Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.894.2181.0-7.525%
Season at home (2)97.5100.0197.5-2.550%
Season away (2)76.088.5164.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)88.194.7182.8-6.630%
Last 5 (5)88.492.6181.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)87.891.5179.3-3.738%
vs Similar (10)88.391.1179.4-2.830%
vs Weaker (4)99.597.0196.5+2.575%
This opponent (Dziki Warszawa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dziki WarszawaPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#7
W
113-110
113
110
+3
H19/09
Champions League
Vechta
#18
L
82-93
82
93
-11
H20/09
Champions League
Trefl Sopot
#16
W
102-63
102
63
+39
A02/10
Energa Basket Liga
Tartu Ulikool
#32
W
103-76
103
76
+27
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lublin
#14
W
97-77
97
77
+20
H11/10
Energa Basket Liga
AEK Larnaca
#14
W
94-80
94
80
+14
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gornik Walbrzych
#4
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A18/10
Energa Basket Liga
Iraklis
#21
W
86-85
86
85
+1
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Czarni Slupsk
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Wurzburg
#23
L
62-91
62
91
-29
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
32-21
37-29
18-35
19-16
24-24
17-27
22-26
25-20
26-19
26-8
25-16
36-12
19-17
19-20
29-27
23-10
31-13
22-26
21-28
29-14
19-20
17-31
29-15
16-24
23-18
23-13
9-19
19-20
22-14
19-21
26-30
27-30
16-11
24-20
24-20
16-30
14-16
11-27
21-18
173.1Avg total
90.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.273.8164.0+16.575%
Season at home (2)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)86.568.5155.0+18.050%
Last 10 (10)90.183.0173.1+7.170%
Last 5 (5)80.882.2163.0-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)113.0110.0223.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (17)85.185.3170.4-0.259%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)93.679.5173.1+14.282%
This opponent (Torun) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.0-1.0
TorunDziki Warszawa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TorunLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H10/04
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H24/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#3
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H28/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A02/05
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#1
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A10/10
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#12
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H16/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#9
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A23/10
Energa Basket Liga
91.6Avg total
43.0Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.847.192.0-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.547.394.8+0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)42.246.989.1-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)43.048.691.6-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)43.848.892.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)45.947.693.5-1.844%-
vs Similar (10)42.545.788.2-3.230%-
vs Weaker (4)46.548.895.2-2.250%-
This opponent (Dziki Warszawa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dziki WarszawaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#7
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H19/09
Champions League
Vechta
#18
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H20/09
Champions League
Trefl Sopot
#16
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A02/10
Energa Basket Liga
Tartu Ulikool
#32
W
55-29
55
29
+26
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lublin
#14
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H11/10
Energa Basket Liga
AEK Larnaca
#14
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gornik Walbrzych
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A18/10
Energa Basket Liga
Iraklis
#21
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Czarni Slupsk
#15
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Wurzburg
#23
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
83.6Avg total
46.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.142.186.2+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (12)46.842.289.0+4.575%-
Last 30 away (18)42.342.084.3+0.344%-
Last 10 (10)46.237.483.6+8.880%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.479.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.046.0104.0+12.0100%-
vs Similar (17)40.243.583.7-3.441%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)48.338.887.1+9.582%-
This opponent (Torun) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toruntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torun: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.4
51.9%
54.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.6
35.3%
32.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.218.3
78.9%
71.7%18.3
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dziki Warszawatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dziki Warszawa: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.723.1
61.3%
54.2%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.5
30.6%
32.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.915.4
70.3%
71.7%15.4
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Torun
LWLLWLWLLL
Dziki Warszawa
LWWLWWWWLW
#13
League position
#2
-9.3
Net rating
+8.4
97.5
Offensive rating
99.4
106.8
Defensive rating
91.0
52.3%
Effective FG%
54.4%
58.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
13.6%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.3%
3-point %
30.6%
69.3%
Assist %
71.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 99.4Defence106.8 · 91.0Shooting52.3% · 54.4%3-point %35.3% · 30.6%Ball care13.6% · 14.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Torun   ■ Dziki Warszawa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Torun wins
5
Dziki Warszawa wins
DateGameScore
10/04/26Torun v Dziki Warszawa82-83
14/12/25Dziki Warszawa v Torun110-91
10/05/25Torun v Dziki Warszawa86-82
07/02/25Dziki Warszawa v Torun86-98
21/10/24Torun v Dziki Warszawa90-94
18/01/24Dziki Warszawa v Torun78-56
06/10/23Torun v Dziki Warszawa72-80
Torunlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26AGTK Gliwice69-90
16/10/26HBydgoszcz110-96
10/10/26ADabrowa Gornicza83-87
03/10/26HSzczecin85-104
06/05/26HGdynia95-86
02/05/26AGTK Gliwice99-107
28/04/26HSlask Wroclaw113-106
24/04/26HGornik Walbrzych73-96
18/04/26ATrefl Sopot72-92
10/04/26HDziki Warszawa82-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26AWurzburg62-91
25/10/26HCzarni Slupsk91-81
21/10/26AIraklis86-85
18/10/26AGornik Walbrzych71-74
14/10/26HAEK Larnaca94-80
11/10/26HLublin97-77
06/10/26ATartu Ulikool103-76
02/10/26ATrefl Sopot102-63
20/09/26HVechta82-93
19/09/26HBreogan113-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torun
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game86.897.576.0
Allowed / game94.2100.088.5
Point differential-7.5-2.5-12.5
Avg total181.0197.5164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dziki Warszawa
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game90.294.086.5
Allowed / game73.879.068.5
Point differential+16.5+15.0+18.0
Avg total164.0173.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dabrowa Gornicza440100%90.280.8+9.5
2 Dziki Warszawa43175%90.273.8+16.5
3 Szczecin43175%83.575.5+8.0
4 Gornik Walbrzych43175%84.278.0+6.2
5 Zielona Gora43175%90.286.2+4.0
6 Legia43175%80.881.5-0.8
7 Anwil Wloclawek53260%79.879.6+0.2
8 Gdynia42250%88.080.8+7.2
9 GTK Gliwice42250%79.879.0+0.8
10 Slask Wroclaw42250%83.084.5-1.5
11 Ostrow Wielkopolski52340%78.482.2-3.8
12 Bydgoszcz41325%88.095.0-7.0
13 Torun41325%86.894.2-7.5
14 Lublin41325%71.581.0-9.5
15 Czarni Slupsk4040%79.884.0-4.2
16 Trefl Sopot4040%77.094.2-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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