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Torun vs Dziki Warszawa Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record3-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game72.3
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 14· Arena Torun
Other2026-27
Meetings · Torun v Dziki Warszawa
02 Jan 2027
TOR v DWA
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
TOR82
DWA83
10 May 2025
TOR86
DWA82
21 Oct 2024
TOR90
DWA94
06 Oct 2023
TOR72
DWA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torun win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Dziki Warszawa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TorunPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorun
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#3
W
113-106
113
106
+7
115avg 82
H28/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
99-107
99
107
-8
104avg 82
A02/05
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
82avg 82
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
85-104
85
104
-19
55avg 82
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
76avg 82
A10/10
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#7
W
110-96
110
96
+14
100avg 82
H16/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#10
L
69-90
69
90
-21
57avg 82
A23/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#6
W
87-71
87
71
+16
75avg 82
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A07/11
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#16
W
106-76
106
76
+30
no box
H14/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-30
25-27
25-22
32-27
19-27
30-26
23-34
27-20
28-18
18-26
17-22
32-20
24-23
23-28
22-27
16-26
18-21
22-31
20-22
23-13
22-18
38-29
30-22
20-27
19-26
7-24
23-22
20-18
17-15
27-21
20-16
23-19
17-27
24-30
16-13
19-11
27-8
21-16
23-32
35-20
182.7Avg total
92.3Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.086.4174.4+1.643%
Season at home (4)97.086.8183.8+10.275%
Season away (3)76.086.0162.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)92.390.4182.7+1.950%
Last 5 (5)89.682.8172.4+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)88.690.9179.6-2.343%
vs Similar (11)82.587.5170.1-5.027%
vs Weaker (5)100.892.8193.6+8.080%
This opponent (Dziki Warszawa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dziki WarszawaPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarszawa
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
94-80
94
80
+14
94avg 83
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gornik Walbrzych
#9
L
71-74
71
74
-3
61avg 83
A18/10
Energa Basket Liga
Iraklis
#11
W
86-85
86
85
+1
82avg 83
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Czarni Slupsk
#15
W
91-81
91
81
+10
96avg 83
H25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Wurzburg
#13
L
62-91
62
91
-29
57avg 83
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Legia
#12
W
92-77
92
77
+15
90avg 83
A31/10
Energa Basket Liga
MZT Skopje
#47
W
89-66
89
66
+23
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anwil Wloclawek
#11
W
96-75
96
75
+21
no box
H07/11
Energa Basket Liga
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
91-84
91
84
+7
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
W
73-59
73
59
+14
no box
A15/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-14
19-20
17-31
29-15
16-24
23-18
23-13
9-19
19-20
22-14
19-21
26-30
27-30
16-11
24-20
24-20
16-30
14-16
11-27
21-18
17-21
25-18
24-18
26-20
20-17
27-14
24-17
18-18
42-15
17-16
22-18
15-26
24-16
28-24
23-26
16-18
21-15
21-20
15-12
16-12
161.7Avg total
84.5Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.972.3161.1+16.686%
Season at home (3)94.777.7172.3+17.0100%
Season away (4)84.568.2152.8+16.275%
Last 10 (10)84.577.2161.7+7.380%
Last 5 (5)88.272.2160.4+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)113.0110.0223.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (15)84.386.7170.9-2.447%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)91.675.5167.2+16.192%
This opponent (Torun) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
TorunDziki Warszawa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TorunLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#3
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H28/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A02/05
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#1
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A10/10
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#7
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H16/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#10
L
26-50
26
50
-24
A23/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#6
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A07/11
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#16
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H14/11
Energa Basket Liga
92.8Avg total
45.7Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.946.690.5-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.045.491.4+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)42.147.689.7-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)45.747.192.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.886.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)46.947.694.5-0.643%-
vs Similar (11)38.846.585.4-7.718%-
vs Weaker (5)46.843.890.6+3.060%-
This opponent (Dziki Warszawa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dziki WarszawaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gornik Walbrzych
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A18/10
Energa Basket Liga
Iraklis
#11
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Czarni Slupsk
#15
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Wurzburg
#13
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Legia
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A31/10
Energa Basket Liga
MZT Skopje
#47
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anwil Wloclawek
#11
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H07/11
Energa Basket Liga
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A15/11
Energa Basket Liga
81.6Avg total
44.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.341.085.4+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.139.886.9+7.277%-
Last 30 away (17)42.241.984.2+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)44.337.381.6+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)48.435.283.6+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.046.0104.0+12.0100%-
vs Similar (15)39.544.083.5-4.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)48.536.585.0+11.985%-
This opponent (Torun) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toruntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torun: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.2
52.9%
54.3%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.1
33.7%
32.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.718.7
78.9%
71.3%18.7
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dziki Warszawatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dziki Warszawa: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.423.2
62.0%
54.3%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.09.0
29.0%
32.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.114.4
68.2%
71.3%14.4
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Torun
WLWLWLLWLW
Dziki Warszawa
WWWWWLWWLW
#8
League position
#2
-7.4
Net rating
+9.5
97.8
Offensive rating
97.0
105.1
Defensive rating
87.5
51.9%
Effective FG%
53.7%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
13.3%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.7%
3-point %
29.0%
66.2%
Assist %
71.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 97.0Defence105.1 · 87.5Shooting51.9% · 53.7%3-point %33.7% · 29.0%Ball care13.3% · 14.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Torun   ■ Dziki Warszawa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Torun wins
5
Dziki Warszawa wins
DateGameScore
10/04/26Torun v Dziki Warszawa82-83
14/12/25Dziki Warszawa v Torun110-91
10/05/25Torun v Dziki Warszawa86-82
07/02/25Dziki Warszawa v Torun86-98
21/10/24Torun v Dziki Warszawa90-94
18/01/24Dziki Warszawa v Torun78-56
06/10/23Torun v Dziki Warszawa72-80
Torunlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTrefl Sopot106-76
07/11/26ASlask Wroclaw76-81
31/10/26HZielona Gora87-71
23/10/26AGTK Gliwice69-90
16/10/26HBydgoszcz110-96
10/10/26ADabrowa Gornicza83-87
03/10/26HSzczecin85-104
06/05/26HGdynia95-86
02/05/26AGTK Gliwice99-107
28/04/26HSlask Wroclaw113-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AOstrow Wielkopolski73-59
11/11/26HTartu Ulikool91-84
07/11/26HAnwil Wloclawek96-75
04/11/26HMZT Skopje89-66
31/10/26ALegia92-77
28/10/26AWurzburg62-91
25/10/26HCzarni Slupsk91-81
21/10/26AIraklis86-85
18/10/26AGornik Walbrzych71-74
14/10/26HAEK Larnaca94-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torun
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW43%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game88.097.076.0
Allowed / game86.486.886.0
Point differential+1.6+10.2-10.0
Avg total174.4183.8162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dziki Warszawa
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game88.994.784.5
Allowed / game72.377.768.2
Point differential+16.6+17.0+16.2
Avg total161.1172.3152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dabrowa Gornicza660100%91.782.8+8.8
2 Dziki Warszawa76186%88.972.3+16.6
3 Szczecin76186%88.480.1+8.3
4 Gdynia75271%83.174.6+8.6
5 Slask Wroclaw75271%85.783.3+2.4
6 Zielona Gora74357%84.484.6-0.1
7 Bydgoszcz74357%86.188.0-1.9
8 Torun73443%88.086.4+1.6
9 Gornik Walbrzych73443%85.084.4+0.6
10 GTK Gliwice73443%81.482.3-0.9
11 Anwil Wloclawek73443%77.381.9-4.6
12 Legia73443%76.981.4-4.6
13 Ostrow Wielkopolski72529%74.379.7-5.4
14 Lublin72529%74.981.9-7.0
15 Czarni Slupsk6060%81.087.5-6.5
16 Trefl Sopot7070%78.393.9-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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