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Pau-Orthez vs Cholet Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 May 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 85-81
25-19 14-19 28-17 18-26
Position#17
Record11-22
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game83.0
Pau-Orthez 🏆
France
vs
Cholet
France
Position#7
Record18-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game82.5
FranceLNBRound 34
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v Cholet
16 May 2023
POR85
CHO81
30 Apr 2022
POR76
CHO87
16 Nov 2021
POR99
CHO92
12 Jun 2021
POR73
CHO62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Ada Blois
#16
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
no box
H25/03
LNB
Nanterre
#14
L
64-85
64
85
-21
no box
A28/03
LNB
Limoges
#15
W
89-81
89
81
+8
78avg 78
A01/04
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
72-94
72
94
-22
68avg 78
H09/04
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
58-70
58
70
-12
42avg 78
A15/04
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
W
87-79
87
79
+8
83avg 78
H23/04
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
W
87-83
87
83
+4
84avg 78
H25/04
LNB
Dijon
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
no box
A28/04
LNB
Nancy
#13
L
73-83
73
83
-10
68avg 78
H06/05
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
70-90
70
90
-20
61avg 78
A09/05
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
16-20
12-11
16-20
22-22
17-17
16-13
9-33
14-17
23-21
26-20
26-23
20-17
16-29
13-21
23-27
10-18
15-24
19-20
14-8
16-14
31-26
12-19
28-20
21-24
24-24
22-16
20-19
20-25
19-17
9-19
20-19
19-17
23-21
7-18
24-27
14-26
20-11
16-35
20-18
157.6Avg total
74.8Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)78.483.0161.4-4.633%
Season at home (16)79.779.2158.9+0.550%
Season away (17)77.286.6163.8-9.418%
Last 10 (10)74.882.8157.6-8.030%
Last 5 (5)77.083.0160.0-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)79.584.2163.7-4.835%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.983.4162.3-4.531%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
81-59
81
59
+22
no box
H05/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#4
L
82-102
82
102
-20
74avg 77
A08/04
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
81-74
81
74
+7
83avg 77
H13/04
LNB
Anwil Wloclawek
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
A19/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Anwil Wloclawek
#3
L
78-80
78
80
-2
no box
H26/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Monaco
#1
L
86-94
86
94
-8
82avg 77
A30/04
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
69-98
69
98
-29
52avg 77
A03/05
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
L
78-81
78
81
-3
73avg 77
A05/05
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
77-85
77
85
-8
no box
H09/05
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
W
69-68
69
68
+1
56avg 77
H12/05
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
17-11
27-19
17-18
11-23
23-20
23-26
25-33
18-19
24-19
19-18
20-18
22-28
31-21
12-15
12-17
18-20
24-17
15-21
21-22
27-21
22-23
16-27
21-23
14-25
18-29
19-22
18-22
18-15
10-17
23-28
27-21
12-24
25-19
15-25
25-17
25-18
16-13
17-18
11-19
160.0Avg total
77.8Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)82.182.5164.6-0.455%
Season at home (17)83.880.3164.1+3.571%
Season away (16)80.284.8165.1-4.638%
Last 10 (10)77.882.2160.0-4.430%
Last 5 (5)75.885.2161.0-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.596.0177.5-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)80.480.3160.7+0.250%
vs Weaker (7)79.480.6160.0-1.143%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
Pau-OrthezCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ada Blois
#16
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H25/03
LNB
Nanterre
#14
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/03
LNB
Limoges
#15
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A01/04
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H09/04
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A15/04
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H23/04
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H25/04
LNB
Dijon
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A28/04
LNB
Nancy
#13
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H06/05
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A09/05
LNB
79.7Avg total
38.7Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.281.3-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.641.282.9+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)38.441.279.6-2.921%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.079.7-2.330%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.082.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.142.182.2-2.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.140.180.2+0.046%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cholet) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H05/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A08/04
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H13/04
LNB
Anwil Wloclawek
#3
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A19/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Anwil Wloclawek
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H26/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Monaco
#1
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A30/04
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A03/05
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A05/05
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H09/05
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H12/05
LNB
78.8Avg total
39.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.982.8+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.840.083.8+3.867%-
Last 30 away (15)40.041.881.8-1.847%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.378.8+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.878.2-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.849.894.5-5.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.639.482.0+3.261%-
vs Weaker (7)39.738.678.3+1.157%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.6
57.6%
53.7%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.35.9
25.3%
35.3%17.7
🏀 Free throws16.511.9
72.1%
75.2%11.9
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.3
48.0%
53.7%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.2
34.6%
35.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.214.1
69.8%
75.2%14.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
LLLWWLLWLL
Cholet
WLLLLLLWLW
#17
League position
#7
-12.0
Net rating
-13.5
100.0
Offensive rating
103.8
112.0
Defensive rating
117.3
50.1%
Effective FG%
49.5%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
19.5%
Turnover %
18.1%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
25.3%
3-point %
34.6%
62.2%
Assist %
55.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 103.8Defence112.0 · 117.3Shooting50.1% · 49.5%3-point %25.3% · 34.6%Ball care19.5% · 18.1%Off. rebounds27.5% · 31.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pau-Orthez wins
2
Cholet wins
DateGameScore
05/11/22Cholet v Pau-Orthez93-83
30/04/22Pau-Orthez v Cholet76-87
16/11/21Pau-Orthez v Cholet99-92
05/10/21Cholet v Pau-Orthez77-80
12/06/21Pau-Orthez v Cholet73-62
09/05/21Cholet v Pau-Orthez75-78
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/23AStrasbourg70-90
06/05/23HNancy73-83
28/04/23ADijon68-80
25/04/23HLyon-Villeurbanne87-83
23/04/23HJL Bourg87-79
15/04/23AGravelines-Dunkerque58-70
09/04/23HMonaco72-94
01/04/23ALimoges89-81
28/03/23ANanterre64-85
25/03/23HAda Blois80-83 OT
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/23HBoulogne-Levallois69-68
09/05/23HLe Portel77-85
05/05/23AFos-sur-Mer78-81
03/05/23ALyon-Villeurbanne69-98
30/04/23AMonaco86-94
26/04/23HAnwil Wloclawek78-80
19/04/23AAnwil Wloclawek77-81
13/04/23HRoanne81-74
08/04/23ADijon82-102
05/04/23HBC Kalev/Cramo81-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %33%50%18%
Points / game78.479.777.2
Allowed / game83.079.286.6
Point differential-4.6+0.5-9.4
Avg total161.4158.9163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%25%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)43% (7)100% (1)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Cholet
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW55%
HomeLLWLW71%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %55%71%38%
Points / game82.183.880.2
Allowed / game82.580.384.8
Point differential-0.4+3.5-4.6
Avg total164.6164.1165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)83% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco3326779%89.780.4+9.3
2 Lyon-Villeurbanne33221167%86.177.1+9.0
3 Boulogne-Levallois33221167%85.782.6+3.0
4 Dijon33211264%86.984.0+2.9
5 JL Bourg33191458%85.884.3+1.5
6 Le Mans33181555%88.484.3+4.1
7 Cholet33181555%82.182.5-0.4
8 Strasbourg33161748%81.981.8+0.1
9 Gravelines-Dunkerque33161748%79.080.7-1.7
10 Paris33161748%87.889.9-2.0
11 Roanne33151845%91.691.1+0.5
12 Le Portel33141942%79.379.7-0.4
13 Nanterre33141942%79.883.4-3.5
14 Nancy33132039%81.783.9-2.2
15 Limoges33132039%78.282.2-4.1
16 Ada Blois33132039%81.987.2-5.2
17 Pau-Orthez33112233%78.483.0-4.6
18 Fos-sur-Mer33102330%76.482.7-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez2514281885
Cholet1919172681
← all games of the day
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