Townsville W vs Perth Lynx W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Nov 2018

Tip-off: 09:00

Final 71-79 (OT)

12-30 18-17 20-11 16-8 5-13

Position#5

Record2-2

FormWLWLW

Points / game77.5

Allowed / game78.0

Townsville W

Perth Lynx W 🏆

Position#4

Record4-1

FormLWWWW

Points / game81.8

Allowed / game73.0

NBL W

Women2018-19

Meetings · Townsville W v Perth Lynx W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Perth Lynx W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Townsville W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth Lynx W

83-51

+32

H31/12

NBL W

Sydney W

78-49

+29

H04/01

NBL W

Sydney W

68-65

A06/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

69-64

H13/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

57-58

-1

A18/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

70-57

+13

H21/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

68-73

-5

H14/10

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

75-65

+10

A19/10

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

88-98

-10

A21/10

NBL W

Sydney W

79-76

H27/10

NBL W

24-21

16-14

18-7

25-9

21-19

22-8

18-11

17-11

16-21

25-16

15-16

12-12

21-20

10-10

17-10

21-24

17-15

18-11

12-17

10-15

20-14

15-13

20-16

15-14

25-19

17-16

13-23

13-15

19-12

19-25

14-14

23-14

28-28

20-30

19-22

21-18

18-21

20-16

18-17

23-22

139.1Avg total

73.5Scored

65.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	77.5	78.0	155.5	-0.5	50%
Season at home (2)	73.5	74.5	148.0	-1.0	50%
Season away (2)	81.5	81.5	163.0	+0.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	73.5	65.6	139.1	+7.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	76.0	73.8	149.8	+2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	75.0	65.0	140.0	+10.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (1)	88.0	98.0	186.0	-10.0	0%
vs Weaker (28)	77.9	68.4	146.3	+9.5	68%

This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth Lynx W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong United W

84-66

+18

H23/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

69-74

-5

A29/12

NBL W

Townsville W

51-83

-32

A31/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

76-92

-16

A03/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

69-78

-9

H05/01

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

66-78

-12

H13/10

NBL W

Townsville W

98-88

+10

H21/10

NBL W

Bendigo W

77-72

H26/10

NBL W

Dandenong W

90-65

+25

A28/10

NBL W

Sydney W

78-62

+16

A01/11

NBL W

17-23

26-12

24-11

17-20

12-24

20-13

14-18

23-19

21-24

14-16

7-18

9-25

22-28

23-28

10-19

21-17

12-18

26-15

15-15

16-30

21-20

10-19

25-20

28-28

30-20

22-19

18-21

25-10

36-24

9-24

7-14

24-28

21-14

21-6

24-17

17-13

21-20

20-20

20-9

151.6Avg total

75.8Scored

75.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	81.8	73.0	154.8	+8.8	80%
Season at home (3)	80.3	79.3	159.7	+1.0	67%
Season away (2)	84.0	63.5	147.5	+20.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	75.8	75.8	151.6	+0.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	73.0	154.8	+8.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	72.0	77.0	149.0	-5.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	81.5	80.6	162.2	+0.9	55%
vs Weaker (15)	83.8	74.4	158.2	+9.4	80%

This opponent (Townsville W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Townsville WPerth Lynx W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.1	39.7	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	18.1	39.1	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.0	39.9	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	12.0	31.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	28.0	28.0	56.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (28)	20.4	19.1	39.4	+1.3	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.5	43.1	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	21.6	43.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	21.5	42.6	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	21.6	41.5	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.8	42.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	24.5	20.0	44.5	+4.5	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.8	23.1	44.9	-1.3	27%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.5	20.8	41.3	-0.3	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.4	37.4	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	14.5	34.8	+5.7	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.3	39.9	-0.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	15.9	34.1	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.0	38.2	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	25.0	44.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	20.0	30.0	50.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (28)	20.0	16.7	36.7	+3.3	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	18.1	40.8	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.4	43.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	19.8	37.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.7	19.0	40.7	+2.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.8	18.3	40.1	+3.5	67%	-

Townsville WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth Lynx W

40-35

H31/12

NBL W

Sydney W

43-27

+16

H04/01

NBL W

Sydney W

41-37

A06/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

31-30

H13/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

35-26

A18/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

35-27

H21/01

NBL W

Dandenong W

42-35

H14/10

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

38-37

A19/10

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

48-58

-10

A21/10

NBL W

Sydney W

38-37

H27/10

NBL W

74.0Avg total

39.1Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	36.5	77.1	+4.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	32.6	73.9	+8.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	40.5	80.2	-0.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	34.9	74.0	+4.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	38.8	79.0	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	38.0	37.0	75.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	48.0	58.0	106.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (28)	40.4	35.8	76.1	+4.6	64%	-

This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong United W

43-35

H23/12

NBL W

Canberra Capitals W

32-37

-5

A29/12

NBL W

Townsville W

35-40

-5

A31/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

45-56

-11

A03/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

38-33

H05/01

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

31-39

-8

H13/10

NBL W

Townsville W

58-48

+10

H21/10

NBL W

Bendigo W

61-34

+27

H26/10

NBL W

Dandenong W

45-42

A28/10

NBL W

Sydney W

38-33

A01/11

NBL W

82.3Avg total

42.6Scored

39.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	40.3	83.1	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.7	41.0	85.7	+3.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.6	39.5	80.1	+1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	39.7	82.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	39.2	85.8	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	42.2	39.8	82.0	+2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	43.5	42.1	85.6	+1.5	64%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.3	39.1	81.5	+3.2	53%	-

This opponent (Townsville W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	16.0	34.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	15.1	33.1	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	16.9	36.3	+2.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	15.3	31.7	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.4	35.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	14.0	28.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	19.0	22.0	41.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (28)	18.9	15.9	34.8	+3.0	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.7	37.9	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	18.1	38.2	+2.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.2	16.9	32.1	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	17.6	34.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	10.5	18.0	28.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.7	45%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.7	19.2	40.9	+2.5	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	16.7	35.6	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	14.8	33.3	+3.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	15.4	33.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	16.6	35.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	14.0	37.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (28)	18.7	16.8	35.5	+1.9	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.7	36.9	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	17.1	37.5	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	18.4	36.3	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.2	35.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	19.2	38.5	+0.0	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.4	19.5	37.8	-1.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.8	16.1	35.9	+3.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	32.7	70.4	+4.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.5	29.9	66.4	+6.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	35.6	74.3	+3.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.4	30.7	65.1	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	35.0	70.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	37.0	28.0	65.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (1)	40.0	40.0	80.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (28)	37.6	32.6	70.2	+4.9	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	36.4	74.8	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.6	35.2	75.8	+5.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.9	37.9	73.8	-1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.2	36.1	69.3	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	33.8	69.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	29.8	37.2	67.0	-7.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	37.4	37.7	75.1	-0.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (15)	41.5	35.3	76.7	+6.2	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Townsville W wins

Perth Lynx W wins

Date	Game	Score
21/10/18	Perth Lynx W v Townsville W	98-88
31/12/17	Townsville W v Perth Lynx W	83-51
26/11/17	Perth Lynx W v Townsville W	84-79
02/11/17	Perth Lynx W v Townsville W	87-68
02/12/16	Perth Lynx W v Townsville W	80-73
25/11/16	Townsville W v Perth Lynx W	85-89
09/10/16	Townsville W v Perth Lynx W	84-62
18/03/16	Townsville W v Perth Lynx W	80-70
12/03/16	Perth Lynx W v Townsville W	57-73
28/02/16	Townsville W v Perth Lynx W	72-91

Townsville Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/10/18	H	Sydney W	79-76
21/10/18	A	Perth Lynx W	88-98
19/10/18	A	Adelaide Lightning W	75-65
14/10/18	H	Dandenong W	68-73
21/01/18	H	Geelong United W	70-57
18/01/18	A	Geelong United W	57-58
13/01/18	H	Geelong United W	69-64
06/01/18	A	Sydney W	68-65
04/01/18	H	Sydney W	78-49
31/12/17	H	Perth Lynx W	83-51

Perth Lynx Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/11/18	A	Sydney W	78-62
28/10/18	A	Dandenong W	90-65
26/10/18	H	Bendigo W	77-72
21/10/18	H	Townsville W	98-88
13/10/18	H	Adelaide Lightning W	66-78
05/01/18	H	Geelong United W	69-78
03/01/18	A	Geelong United W	76-92
31/12/17	A	Townsville W	51-83
29/12/17	A	Canberra Capitals W	69-74
23/12/17	H	Geelong United W	84-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville W

NBL W 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLW	50%
Home	LW	50%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	77.5	73.5	81.5
Allowed / game	78.0	74.5	81.5
Point differential	-0.5	-1.0	+0.0
Avg total	155.5	148.0	163.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	0%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Perth Lynx W

NBL W 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	80%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	80%	67%	100%
Points / game	81.8	80.3	84.0
Allowed / game	73.0	79.3	63.5
Point differential	+8.8	+1.0	+20.5
Avg total	154.8	159.7	147.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	33%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth Lynx W	5	4	1	80%	81.8	73.0	+8.8
2	Canberra Capitals W	4	3	1	75%	81.5	75.5	+6.0
3	Geelong United W	5	3	2	60%	81.8	76.4	+5.4
4	Bendigo W	5	3	2	60%	74.8	71.4	+3.4
5	Townsville W	4	2	2	50%	77.5	78.0	-0.5
6	Adelaide Lightning W	5	2	3	40%	72.2	70.6	+1.6
7	Dandenong W	5	2	3	40%	68.8	81.6	-12.8
8	Sydney W	5	0	5	0%	70.6	81.4	-10.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Townsville W	12	18	20	16	5	71
Perth Lynx W	30	17	11	8	13	79

← all games of the day

Townsville W vs Perth Lynx W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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