Townsville W vs Perth Lynx W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Feb 2016

Tip-off: 05:00

Final 72-91

20-26 18-27 17-23 17-15

Position#1

Record17-7

FormWWWLW

Points / game81.3

Allowed / game71.1

Townsville W

Perth Lynx W 🏆

Position#2

Record16-8

FormWLLWW

Points / game78.9

Allowed / game72.5

NBL WWNBL Women - Quarter-finals

Women2015-16

Meetings · Townsville W v Perth Lynx W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Perth Lynx W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Townsville W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth Lynx W

77-71

A31/12

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

88-60

+28

A02/01

NBL W

SEQ Stars W

80-90

-10

H09/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

97-83

+14

H24/01

NBL W

Sydney W

89-80

H29/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

84-60

+24

A06/02

NBL W

Bendigo W

75-63

+12

A07/02

NBL W

Dandenong W

89-49

+40

H12/02

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

69-82

-13

A19/02

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

64-57

A20/02

NBL W

20-16

18-14

24-24

15-17

29-19

18-19

20-15

21-7

23-19

19-24

21-20

17-27

35-20

15-19

23-23

24-21

23-20

17-16

21-25

28-19

29-7

22-15

23-20

10-18

15-11

21-13

20-19

19-20

18-14

14-13

35-9

22-13

22-18

9-16

21-24

17-24

16-21

14-18

18-8

16-10

150.7Avg total

81.2Scored

69.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	81.3	71.1	152.5	+10.2	71%
Season at home (12)	84.2	69.2	153.5	+15.0	67%
Season away (12)	78.4	73.0	151.4	+5.4	75%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	69.5	150.7	+11.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	62.2	138.4	+14.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	81.0	90.0	171.0	-9.0	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	80.6	68.8	149.3	+11.8	74%

This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth Lynx W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra C. Acad. W

88-68

+20

H18/12

NBL W

Townsville W

71-77

-6

H31/12

NBL W

Sydney W

73-83

-10

A07/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

89-63

+26

A09/01

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

76-67

H24/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

80-59

+21

H30/01

NBL W

SEQ Stars W

71-87

-16

H06/02

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

77-80

-3

A12/02

NBL W

Sydney W

88-85

A13/02

NBL W

Townsville W

82-69

+13

H19/02

NBL W

21-14

26-18

21-12

20-24

16-20

14-18

24-24

17-15

22-22

16-22

12-19

23-20

32-17

18-12

19-22

20-12

19-12

12-15

24-27

21-13

18-11

18-23

22-14

22-11

18-17

19-29

12-15

22-26

26-24

15-22

15-19

21-15

18-27

24-22

25-15

21-21

18-22

16-9

24-21

24-17

153.3Avg total

79.5Scored

73.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	78.9	72.5	151.4	+6.4	67%
Season at home (12)	80.0	71.8	151.8	+8.2	75%
Season away (12)	77.8	73.2	151.0	+4.7	58%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	73.8	153.3	+5.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	76.0	155.6	+3.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	73.4	81.6	155.0	-8.2	12%
vs Similar (4)	74.8	72.2	147.0	+2.5	50%
vs Weaker (18)	78.8	71.4	150.2	+7.4	72%

This opponent (Townsville W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Townsville WPerth Lynx W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	18.3	41.1	+4.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	18.0	41.1	+5.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	18.5	41.0	+3.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	16.5	39.5	+6.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	14.2	34.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.3	23.3	45.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.9	17.7	40.6	+5.1	74%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	18.7	37.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	20.5	41.7	+0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.9	21.6	40.5	-2.8	12%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.2	21.2	41.5	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.2	61%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.9	36.2	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	16.5	34.9	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	16.7	33.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	15.0	31.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.3	24.3	43.7	-5.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	18.1	17.2	35.3	+0.9	48%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.1	36.3	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.9	18.1	36.1	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.0	39.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.2	18.5	34.8	-2.2	38%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.0	16.8	35.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	44%	-

Townsville WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth Lynx W

38-30

A31/12

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

47-38

A02/01

NBL W

SEQ Stars W

42-43

-1

H09/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

50-39

+11

H24/01

NBL W

Sydney W

40-36

H29/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

51-22

+29

A06/02

NBL W

Bendigo W

36-24

+12

A07/02

NBL W

Dandenong W

32-27

H12/02

NBL W

Perth Lynx W

31-34

-3

A19/02

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

30-39

-9

A20/02

NBL W

72.9Avg total

39.7Scored

33.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	36.2	77.2	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	34.5	76.0	+7.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	37.9	78.5	+2.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	33.2	72.9	+6.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	29.2	65.2	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	41.7	47.7	89.3	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	41.0	34.9	75.9	+6.0	67%	-

This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Canberra C. Acad. W

47-32

+15

H18/12

NBL W

Townsville W

30-38

-8

H31/12

NBL W

Sydney W

38-44

-6

A07/01

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

50-29

+21

A09/01

NBL W

Adelaide Lightning W

31-27

H24/01

NBL W

Geelong United W

36-34

H30/01

NBL W

SEQ Stars W

37-46

-9

H06/02

NBL W

Canberra C. Acad. W

41-46

-5

A12/02

NBL W

Sydney W

42-49

-7

A13/02

NBL W

Townsville W

34-31

H19/02

NBL W

76.2Avg total

38.6Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	37.6	75.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.8	36.8	73.6	+0.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.9	38.5	78.4	+1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	37.6	76.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	41.2	79.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	35.1	40.1	75.2	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.2	38.0	77.2	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	39.4	36.4	75.8	+3.0	61%	-

This opponent (Townsville W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	16.9	37.7	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	16.1	38.4	+6.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	17.6	37.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	18.7	41.3	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	16.0	39.4	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	23.0	20.3	43.3	+2.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.6	16.5	37.1	+4.1	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.7	38.5	-0.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	18.0	34.9	-1.1	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	16.8	36.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.4	23.0	42.4	-3.6	12%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.0	16.0	31.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (18)	19.4	19.1	38.4	+0.3	39%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	17.4	35.6	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.8	38.1	+2.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.0	17.1	33.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.6	36.5	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	17.0	33.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	16.3	22.0	38.3	-5.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	18.4	16.9	35.3	+1.4	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	16.9	36.7	+2.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	16.4	36.2	+3.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	17.5	37.3	+2.3	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	17.4	38.5	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.9	18.5	37.4	+0.4	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.5	18.2	38.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.1	15.9	36.0	+4.1	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	34.3	73.3	+4.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.6	33.9	76.5	+8.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.5	34.7	70.1	+0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	36.3	77.8	+5.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	33.0	73.2	+7.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	39.3	42.3	81.7	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	39.0	33.4	72.4	+5.6	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	36.6	75.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	37.6	77.9	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.7	35.5	72.2	+1.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	36.2	77.1	+4.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	34.8	76.4	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	38.2	41.5	79.8	-3.2	38%	-
vs Similar (4)	35.5	34.2	69.8	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	39.4	35.0	74.4	+4.4	72%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Townsville W wins

Perth Lynx W wins

Date	Game	Score
19/02/16	Perth Lynx W v Townsville W	82-69
31/12/15	Perth Lynx W v Townsville W	71-77
28/11/15	Townsville W v Perth Lynx W	91-81
18/01/15	Perth Lynx W v Townsville W	72-92
29/11/14	Townsville W v Perth Lynx W	83-46
26/10/14	Townsville W v Perth Lynx W	93-58
20/12/13	Perth Lynx W v Townsville W	56-88
30/11/13	Townsville W v Perth Lynx W	95-67
17/11/13	Perth Lynx W v Townsville W	61-95
25/01/13	Townsville W v Perth Lynx W	81-62

Townsville Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/02/16	A	Adelaide Lightning W	64-57
19/02/16	A	Perth Lynx W	69-82
12/02/16	H	Dandenong W	89-49
07/02/16	A	Bendigo W	75-63
06/02/16	A	Geelong United W	84-60
29/01/16	H	Sydney W	89-80
24/01/16	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	97-83
09/01/16	H	SEQ Stars W	80-90
02/01/16	A	Adelaide Lightning W	88-60
31/12/15	A	Perth Lynx W	77-71

Perth Lynx Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/02/16	H	Townsville W	82-69
13/02/16	A	Sydney W	88-85
12/02/16	A	Canberra C. Acad. W	77-80
06/02/16	H	SEQ Stars W	71-87
30/01/16	H	Geelong United W	80-59
24/01/16	H	Adelaide Lightning W	76-67
09/01/16	A	Canberra C. Acad. W	89-63
07/01/16	A	Sydney W	73-83
31/12/15	H	Townsville W	71-77
18/12/15	H	Canberra C. Acad. W	88-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville W

NBL W 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	71%
Home	WLWWW	67%
Away	WWWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	71%	67%	75%
Points / game	81.3	84.2	78.4
Allowed / game	71.1	69.2	73.0
Point differential	+10.2	+15.0	+5.4
Avg total	152.5	153.5	151.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	50%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	0% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

Perth Lynx W

NBL W 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	67%
Home	LWWLW	75%
Away	WLWLW	58%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	12	12
Win %	67%	75%	58%
Points / game	78.9	80.0	77.8
Allowed / game	72.5	71.8	73.2
Point differential	+6.4	+8.2	+4.7
Avg total	151.4	151.8	151.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Townsville W	24	17	7	71%	81.3	71.1	+10.2
2	Perth Lynx W	24	16	8	67%	78.9	72.5	+6.4
3	SEQ Stars W	25	16	9	64%	83.7	76.9	+6.8
4	Dandenong W	25	15	10	60%	72.6	73.0	-0.4
5	Sydney W	24	13	11	54%	77.7	77.1	+0.6
6	Bendigo W	24	12	12	50%	74.0	74.6	-0.5
7	Adelaide Lightning W	24	10	14	42%	72.6	77.7	-5.1
8	Geelong United W	24	8	16	33%	70.8	75.4	-4.6
9	Canberra C. Acad. W	24	2	22	8%	69.6	83.4	-13.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Townsville W	20	18	17	17	72
Perth Lynx W	26	27	23	15	91

← all games of the day

Townsville W vs Perth Lynx W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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