Towson faces the LIU Sharks on 9 November 2026 in an NCAA contest, with the model designating Towson as the clear favourite, rating an 88% chance of victory largely because of their higher projected score of 78 to LIU's 64 and a strong 77% probability of covering the -5.5 spread. Towson's season so far shows a 0-2 record, 63.5 points per game and 78.0 allowed, while LIU struggles at 0-3, 66.7 points per game and 76.3 allowed. Towson's last five games include two wins and three losses, with recent defeats to Utah Utes 57-67, Santa Clara 70-89 and Hofstra 65-68, whereas LIU's five-game span contains one win and four losses, having fallen to La Salle 80-88, Seton Hall 60-67 and Florida Atlantic 60-74. In head-to-head history, Towson has won both meetings, most recently 74-64 on 2 December 2022. The Pythia model projects a total of 142.6 points, with a 55% chance of the over on the 140.5 line, and a 2% likelihood of overtime. Towson's recent performance against higher-level opponents suggests they will maintain their edge in this matchup.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Towson winWon
88.5%fair 1.13
Best odds1.35
Implied71.1%
Edge+17.4pp
LIU Sharks winLost
11.5%fair 8.69
Best odds3.35
Implied28.9%
Edge-17.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 14:16 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Towson) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 137Actual: Under 137
Over 137
63.6%
@ 1.52+2.4pp
Under 137
36.4%
@ 2.40-2.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.52
Under
Bet365
2.40
Over/Under 142 · main lineActual: Under 142
Over 142
51.2%
@ 2.00+1.9pp
Under 142
48.8%
@ 1.88-1.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.89
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.82
Bet365
1.74
Over/Under 147Actual: Under 147
Over 147
38.8%
@ 2.72+4.8pp
Under 147
61.2%
@ 1.40-4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.72
Under
Bet365
1.40
📊 3. Team Totals
Towson total 68.5Actual: Towson under 68.5
Over 68.5
no forecast
@ 1.34
Under 68.5
no forecast
@ 3.75
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.23
Under
Bet365
3.75
Betano
2.80
Towson total 73 · main lineActual: Towson under 73
Over 73
70.8%
@ 1.86+20.9pp
Under 73
29.2%
@ 1.85-20.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Towson total 77Actual: Towson under 77
Over 77
55.0%
Under 77
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
LIU Sharks total 64Actual: LIU Sharks under 64
Over 64
51.3%
Under 64
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
LIU Sharks total 68 · main lineActual: LIU Sharks under 68
Over 68
35.2%
@ 1.85-15.0pp
Under 68
64.8%
@ 1.87+15.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
LIU Sharks total 72Actual: LIU Sharks under 72
Over 72
21.7%
Under 72
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Towson -9.5Actual: Towson -9.5
TOWS -9.5
64.8%
@ 2.55+26.2pp
LIU +9.5
35.2%
@ 1.55-26.2pp
Best 5 market prices
TOWS
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.27
LIU
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.47
Spread Towson -6.5 · main lineActual: Towson -6.5
TOWS -6.5
74.4%
@ 2.00+23.2pp
LIU +6.5
25.6%
@ 1.96-23.2pp
Best 5 market prices
TOWS
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.87
Marathon Be
1.87
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.83
LIU
Pinnacle
1.96
Betano
1.91
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Spread Towson -3.5Actual: Towson -3.5
TOWS -3.5
82.6%
@ 1.70+23.5pp
LIU +3.5
17.4%
@ 2.32-23.5pp
Best 5 market prices
TOWS
Marathon Be
1.70
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.53
LIU
Betano
2.32
Bet365
2.20
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
TowsonLIU Sharks
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Towson -4
82.1%
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.76
Bet365
1.66
-
-
-
+27.9pp
Won
Towson -8
70.4%
2.11
Bet365
2.22
Pinnacle
2.15
Marathon Bet
1.97
-
-
+25.9pp
Won
Towson -7
73.6%
1.99
Bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
1.96
Marathon Bet
1.92
-
-
+24.9pp
Won
Towson -7.5
71.3%
1.99
Bet365
2.15
Pinnacle
2.05
Betano
2.00
Marathon Bet
1.91
1xBet
1.83
+24.8pp
Won
Towson -3
84.3%
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
-
+24.6pp
Won
Towson over 72
74.2%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
-
-
-
-
+24.2pp
Lost
Towson -3.5
82.6%
1.61
Marathon Bet
1.70
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.53
-
-
+23.5pp
Won
Towson -2
86.7%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+23.3pp
Won
Towson -6.5
74.4%
1.87
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.87
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.83
+23.2pp
Won
Towson -6
76.6%
1.85
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Bet
1.81
Pinnacle
1.78
-
-
+23.0pp
Won
Towson -2.5
84.6%
1.48
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.45
-
-
-
+22.3pp
Won
Towson (regulation)
86.9%
1.38
Marathon Bet
1.38
Betano
1.38
-
-
-
+21.7pp
Won
Towson -5
79.5%
1.74
Marathon Bet
1.82
Bet365
1.74
Pinnacle
1.65
-
-
+21.7pp
Won
Towson -1
88.3%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+21.7pp
Won
Towson -5.5
77.3%
1.82
1xBet
1.91
Bet365
1.90
BetVictor
1.88
Betano
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.74
+21.5pp
Won
Towson -1.5
87.1%
1.40
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.38
-
-
-
+21.2pp
Won
Towson over 73
70.8%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
-
-
-
+20.9pp
Lost
Towson -4.5
80.0%
1.70
Marathon Bet
1.76
BetVictor
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Bet365
1.71
Betano
1.62
+20.4pp
Won
Towson +1
89.5%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+19.4pp
Won
Towson over 72.5
71.8%
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.62
+18.7pp
Lost
Towson +2.5
91.3%
1.27
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
+18.3pp
Won
Towson +3.5
92.4%
1.24
Betano
1.24
-
-
-
-
+18.0pp
Won
Towson +1.5
89.7%
1.29
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.28
-
-
-
+17.9pp
Won
Towson +2
91.1%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+17.8pp
Won
Towson win
88.5%
1.34
Marathon Bet
1.35
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Bet365
1.34
1xBet
1.34
+17.4pp
Won
Towson over 71.5
75.1%
1.52
Betano
1.52
-
-
-
-
+15.7pp
Lost
Towson +4.5
93.5%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+14.6pp
Won
LIU Sharks under 70.5
72.9%
1.47
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
-
+11.4pp
Won
LIU Sharks under 71.5
76.0%
1.42
Bet365
1.44
Betano
1.40
-
-
-
+11.4pp
Won
LIU Sharks under 73.5
81.6%
1.31
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
+11.2pp
Won
LIU Sharks under 72.5
78.9%
1.33
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
-
+10.9pp
Won
Towson +9.5
97.1%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+10.0pp
Won
LIU Sharks under 75.5
86.2%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+8.4pp
Won
Towson +14.5
98.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+8.0pp
Won
Overtime: no
97.5%
1.04
WilliamHill
1.05
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+7.0pp
-
LIU Sharks under 77.5
89.9%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+6.1pp
Won
LIU Sharks under 78.5
91.4%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+5.9pp
Won
LIU Sharks under 79.5
92.8%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+5.6pp
Won
Over 133.5
71.1%
1.35
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Lost
Over 134
70.5%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+1.0pp
Lost
Over 133
72.6%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+0.7pp
Lost
Under 166.5
92.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Won
Under 165.5
91.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.4pp
Won
Over 132.5
73.2%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+0.1pp
Lost
Over 130.5
77.1%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-0.7pp
Lost
Over 125.5
85.4%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-0.7pp
Lost
Over 131.5
75.2%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-1.0pp
Lost
Towson under 92.5
92.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Won
Over 126.5
83.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-1.6pp
Lost
Under 161.5
87.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-1.7pp
Won
Towson under 90.5
89.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-2.2pp
Won
Under 160.5
86.4%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-2.6pp
Won
LIU Sharks over 51.5
90.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-2.8pp
Lost
LIU Sharks over 52.5
88.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-3.4pp
Lost
Under 156.5
80.5%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-3.9pp
Won
LIU Sharks over 53.5
86.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-4.8pp
Lost
Under 155.5
78.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-5.1pp
Won
Under 151.5
71.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-5.2pp
Won
Towson under 88.5
85.1%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-5.3pp
Won
LIU Sharks over 54.5
83.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-6.0pp
Lost
LIU Sharks over 55.5
81.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-7.9pp
Lost
Towson under 86.5
80.0%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-8.3pp
Won
LIU Sharks over 56.5
78.2%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-9.3pp
Lost
LIU Sharks over 57.5
75.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-10.3pp
Lost
Towson under 84.5
73.8%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-10.5pp
Won
LIU Sharks over 58.5
71.9%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-11.2pp
Lost
Towson under 83.5
70.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-13.4pp
Won
LIU Sharks +20.5
72.7%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-14.4pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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