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Toyama vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 08:35
Final 84-96
25-25 26-17 15-28 18-26
Position#24
Record0-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game89.5
Toyama
Japan
vs
Nagasaki 🏆
Japan
Position#17
Record2-0
FormWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game84.0
JapanB League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Toyama v Nagasaki
20 Dec 2026
TOYA v NAGA
upcoming
18 Dec 2026
TOYA v NAGA
upcoming
26 Oct 2025
TOYA67
NAGA91
25 Oct 2025
TOYA71
NAGA91
15 Oct 2023
TOYA83
NAGA94
14 Oct 2023
TOYA84
NAGA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#10
W
102-96
102
96
+6
no box
H16/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#17
L
94-105
94
105
-11
no box
H19/04
B League
Niigata
#24
L
77-89 OT
77
89
-12
no box
A22/04
B League
Niigata
#24
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
A23/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
no box
H29/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#7
L
79-100
79
100
-21
no box
H30/04
B League
Yokohama
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
no box
A06/05
B League
Yokohama
#8
W
84-81
84
81
+3
no box
A07/05
B League
Osaka
#18
L
73-93
73
93
-20
61avg 65
A07/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
77-86
77
86
-9
69avg 65
A08/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
31-13
17-32
29-29
20-33
29-24
20-22
25-26
24-12
11-22
15-22
25-19
13-28
17-21
23-21
36-24
19-16
28-18
27-18
21-24
19-28
20-22
25-16
15-34
28-19
18-25
24-21
25-24
23-17
15-20
23-21
23-23
21-24
16-14
15-30
21-25
18-31
21-15
14-19
24-21
177.4Avg total
86.5Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.089.5164.5-14.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)75.089.5164.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)86.590.9177.4-4.440%
Last 5 (5)81.689.8171.4-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)79.288.9168.1-9.724%
vs Similar (5)84.484.0168.4+0.440%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Chiba
#9
W
91-82
91
82
+9
83avg 86
H08/10
B League
Chiba
#9
W
89-86
89
86
+3
90avg 86
H09/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
23-24
14-18
27-24
26-18
18-23
25-23
20-22
174.0Avg total
90.0Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.084.0174.0+6.0100%
Season at home (2)90.084.0174.0+6.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (2)90.084.0174.0+6.0100%
Last 5 (2)90.084.0174.0+6.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.084.0174.0+6.0100%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +9.5+9.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +9.5+9.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
ToyamaNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shinshu
#10
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H16/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#17
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H19/04
B League
Niigata
#24
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A22/04
B League
Niigata
#24
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A23/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#7
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H29/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#7
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H30/04
B League
Yokohama
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A06/05
B League
Yokohama
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A07/05
B League
Osaka
#18
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A07/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A08/10
B League
84.0Avg total
41.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.141.879.9-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.741.180.8-1.436%-
Last 30 away (16)36.642.479.1-5.831%-
Last 10 (10)41.642.484.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.843.082.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.042.180.1-4.132%-
vs Similar (5)38.440.478.8-2.040%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H08/10
B League
Chiba
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H09/10
B League
87.5Avg total
47.0Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)47.040.587.5+6.5100%-
Last 30 at home (2)47.040.587.5+6.5100%-
Last 30 awayno games
Last 10 (2)47.040.587.5+6.5100%-
Last 5 (2)47.040.587.5+6.5100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.040.587.5+6.5100%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.523.0
48.4%
50.9%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.05.0
27.8%
33.5%15.0
🏀 Free throws18.012.0
66.7%
72.0%12.0
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.521.5
60.6%
50.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.512.5
41.0%
33.5%37.5
🏀 Free throws17.09.5
55.9%
72.0%9.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
LLWWLWLLLW
Nagasaki
WW
#24
League position
#17
-21.5
Net rating
+9.6
95.2
Offensive rating
107.9
116.7
Defensive rating
98.3
46.6%
Effective FG%
61.0%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
42.4%
17.4%
Turnover %
21.3%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
19.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
27.8%
3-point %
41.0%
48.2%
Assist %
66.2%
40%
Form (last 10/2)
100%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 107.9Defence116.7 · 98.3Shooting46.6% · 61.0%3-point %27.8% · 41.0%Ball care17.4% · 21.3%Off. rebounds24.1% · 19.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/2)40% · 100%
■ Toyama   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toyama wins
0
Nagasaki wins
No previous meetings.
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23AOsaka77-86
07/10/23AOsaka73-93
07/05/23AYokohama84-81
06/05/23AYokohama95-89
30/04/23HBrave Thunders79-100
29/04/23HBrave Thunders95-76
23/04/23ANiigata89-94
22/04/23ANiigata77-89 OT
19/04/23HNeoPhoenix94-105
16/04/23HShinshu102-96
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/23HChiba89-86
08/10/23HChiba91-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game75.0-75.0
Allowed / game89.5-89.5
Point differential-14.5--14.5
Avg total164.5-164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game90.090.0-
Allowed / game84.084.0-
Point differential+6.0+6.0-
Avg total174.0174.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark330100%83.766.3+17.3
2 Osaka330100%87.375.0+12.3
3 Nagoya Fighting Eagles330100%78.768.3+10.3
4 Ryukyu220100%80.071.0+9.0
5 Nagasaki220100%90.084.0+6.0
6 Diamond Dolphins330100%85.079.7+5.3
7 NeoPhoenix32167%81.776.3+5.3
8 Yokohama32167%83.080.7+2.3
9 Utsunomiya Brex32167%72.370.3+2.0
10 Shimane32167%81.079.3+1.7
11 Brave Thunders32167%82.080.7+1.3
12 Shinshu32167%86.086.3-0.3
13 Chiba31233%88.387.7+0.7
14 SeaHorses Mikawa31233%78.779.0-0.3
15 Hiroshima D.31233%73.774.7-1.0
16 Akita31233%75.377.0-1.7
17 Hokkaido31233%77.779.7-2.0
18 Gunma31233%78.782.7-4.0
19 Sun Rockers Shibuya2020%72.077.5-5.5
20 Ibaraki Robots3030%79.785.3-5.7
21 Kyoto3030%70.782.0-11.3
22 Saga3030%70.384.3-14.0
23 Toyama2020%75.089.5-14.5
24 Sendai3030%71.386.3-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama2526151884
Nagasaki2517282696
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