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Toyama vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 04:05
Final 83-94
20-32 21-24 27-16 15-22
Position#24
Record0-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game91.7
vs
Position#17
Record3-0
FormWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game84.0
JapanB League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Toyama v Nagasaki
20 Dec 2026
TOYA v NAGA
upcoming
18 Dec 2026
TOYA v NAGA
upcoming
26 Oct 2025
TOYA67
NAGA91
25 Oct 2025
TOYA71
NAGA91
15 Oct 2023
TOYA83
NAGA94
14 Oct 2023
TOYA84
NAGA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#17
L
94-105
94
105
-11
no box
H19/04
B League
Niigata
#24
L
77-89 OT
77
89
-12
no box
A22/04
B League
Niigata
#24
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
A23/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#7
W
95-76
95
76
+19
no box
H29/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#7
L
79-100
79
100
-21
no box
H30/04
B League
Yokohama
#8
W
95-89
95
89
+6
no box
A06/05
B League
Yokohama
#8
W
84-81
84
81
+3
no box
A07/05
B League
Osaka
#18
L
73-93
73
93
-20
61avg 71
A07/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
77-86
77
86
-9
69avg 71
A08/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
L
84-96
84
96
-12
82avg 71
H14/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-33
29-24
20-22
25-26
24-12
11-22
15-22
25-19
13-28
17-21
23-21
36-24
19-16
28-18
27-18
21-24
19-28
20-22
25-16
15-34
28-19
18-25
24-21
25-24
23-17
15-20
23-21
23-23
21-24
16-14
15-30
21-25
18-31
21-15
14-19
24-21
25-25
26-17
15-28
18-26
175.6Avg total
84.7Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.091.7169.7-13.70%
Season at home (1)84.096.0180.0-12.00%
Season away (2)75.089.5164.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)84.790.9175.6-6.230%
Last 5 (5)82.689.0171.6-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)79.789.3169.0-9.624%
vs Similar (5)84.484.0168.4+0.440%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Chiba
#9
W
91-82
91
82
+9
83avg 88
H08/10
B League
Chiba
#9
W
89-86
89
86
+3
90avg 88
H09/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
96-84
96
84
+12
90avg 88
A14/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
23-24
14-18
27-24
26-18
18-23
25-23
20-22
25-25
17-26
28-15
26-18
176.0Avg total
92.0Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)92.084.0176.0+8.0100%
Season at home (2)90.084.0174.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)96.084.0180.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (3)92.084.0176.0+8.0100%
Last 5 (3)92.084.0176.0+8.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)90.084.0174.0+6.0100%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (1)96.084.0180.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.0+3.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.0+3.0
ToyamaNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NeoPhoenix
#17
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H19/04
B League
Niigata
#24
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A22/04
B League
Niigata
#24
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A23/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#7
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H29/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#7
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H30/04
B League
Yokohama
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A06/05
B League
Yokohama
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A07/05
B League
Osaka
#18
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A07/10
B League
Osaka
#18
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A08/10
B League
Nagasaki
#17
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H14/10
B League
84.2Avg total
41.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.642.280.8-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.842.082.8-1.236%-
Last 30 away (16)36.642.479.1-5.831%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.184.2-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.483.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.642.681.2-4.032%-
vs Similar (5)38.440.478.8-2.040%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiba
#9
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H08/10
B League
Chiba
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H09/10
B League
Toyama
#24
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A14/10
B League
89.3Avg total
45.3Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)45.344.089.3+1.367%-
Last 30 at home (2)47.040.587.5+6.5100%-
Last 30 away (1)42.051.093.0-9.00%-
Last 10 (3)45.344.089.3+1.367%-
Last 5 (3)45.344.089.3+1.367%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.040.587.5+6.5100%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (1)42.051.093.0-9.00%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.725.0
51.4%
50.9%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.74.7
28.0%
33.5%14.0
🏀 Free throws19.012.7
66.7%
72.0%12.7
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 91.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.021.0
56.8%
50.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.712.3
38.9%
33.5%37.0
🏀 Free throws19.312.3
63.8%
72.0%12.3
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
LLLWWLWLLL
Nagasaki
WWW
#24
League position
#17
-18.3
Net rating
+10.5
97.7
Offensive rating
110.2
116.0
Defensive rating
99.7
49.0%
Effective FG%
57.5%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
18.6%
Turnover %
18.8%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.0%
3-point %
38.9%
53.9%
Assist %
67.0%
30%
Form (last 10/3)
100%

Profile

Offence97.7 · 110.2Defence116.0 · 99.7Shooting49.0% · 57.5%3-point %28.0% · 38.9%Ball care18.6% · 18.8%Off. rebounds23.9% · 24.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/3)30% · 100%
■ Toyama   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toyama wins
1
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
14/10/23Toyama v Nagasaki84-96
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HNagasaki84-96
08/10/23AOsaka77-86
07/10/23AOsaka73-93
07/05/23AYokohama84-81
06/05/23AYokohama95-89
30/04/23HBrave Thunders79-100
29/04/23HBrave Thunders95-76
23/04/23ANiigata89-94
22/04/23ANiigata77-89 OT
19/04/23HNeoPhoenix94-105
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23AToyama96-84
09/10/23HChiba89-86
08/10/23HChiba91-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.084.075.0
Allowed / game91.796.089.5
Point differential-13.7-12.0-14.5
Avg total169.7180.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.090.096.0
Allowed / game84.084.084.0
Point differential+8.0+6.0+12.0
Avg total176.0174.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark330100%83.766.3+17.3
2 Osaka330100%87.375.0+12.3
3 Nagoya Fighting Eagles330100%78.768.3+10.3
4 Ryukyu330100%84.376.0+8.3
5 Nagasaki330100%92.084.0+8.0
6 Diamond Dolphins330100%85.079.7+5.3
7 NeoPhoenix32167%81.776.3+5.3
8 Yokohama32167%83.080.7+2.3
9 Utsunomiya Brex32167%72.370.3+2.0
10 Shimane32167%81.079.3+1.7
11 Brave Thunders32167%82.080.7+1.3
12 Shinshu32167%86.086.3-0.3
13 Chiba31233%88.387.7+0.7
14 SeaHorses Mikawa31233%78.779.0-0.3
15 Hiroshima D.31233%73.774.7-1.0
16 Akita31233%75.377.0-1.7
17 Hokkaido31233%77.779.7-2.0
18 Gunma31233%78.782.7-4.0
19 Ibaraki Robots3030%79.785.3-5.7
20 Sun Rockers Shibuya3030%76.782.7-6.0
21 Kyoto3030%70.782.0-11.3
22 Toyama3030%78.091.7-13.7
23 Saga3030%70.384.3-14.0
24 Sendai3030%71.386.3-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama2021271583
Nagasaki3224162294
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