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Toyama vs Utsunomiya Brex Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 77-67
23-26 16-16 23-12 15-13
Position#12
Record1-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game92.0
Toyama 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#13
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game76.0
JapanB League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Toyama v Utsunomiya Brex
04 Oct 2026
TOYA77
UTSU99
03 Oct 2026
TOYA77
UTSU67
12 Apr 2026
TOYA85
UTSU89
11 Apr 2026
TOYA66
UTSU85
12 Nov 2023
TOYA51
UTSU80
11 Nov 2023
TOYA60
UTSU85
11 Dec 2022
TOYA76
UTSU82
10 Dec 2022
TOYA66
UTSU77
17 Apr 2022
TOYA63
UTSU89
16 Apr 2022
TOYA79
UTSU99
17 Apr 2021
TOYA81
UTSU107
16 Apr 2021
TOYA62
UTSU119
24 Mar 2021
TOYA90
UTSU85
27 Oct 2019
TOYA72
UTSU69
26 Oct 2019
TOYA75
UTSU88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Utsunomiya Brex winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
109-86
109
86
+23
H15/04
B League
Sendai
#11
L
55-72
55
72
-17
H18/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
H19/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A22/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H25/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
94-77
94
77
+17
H26/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
96-89
96
89
+7
A02/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
101-91
101
91
+10
A03/05
B League
Shinshu
#22
W
99-85
99
85
+14
A26/09
B League
Shinshu
#22
L
81-99
81
99
-18
A27/09
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
27-22
34-23
27-22
28-16
13-16
4-26
10-14
28-24
23-17
19-18
22-30
24-27
28-17
20-24
14-26
21-10
19-21
19-14
23-27
18-30
26-19
28-12
22-16
28-25
25-21
23-23
20-20
23-16
29-28
22-20
27-27
22-16
30-20
19-20
28-29
16-25
31-28
14-22
20-24
174.9Avg total
89.5Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.092.0182.0-2.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)90.092.0182.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)89.585.4174.9+4.170%
Last 5 (5)94.288.2182.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)80.387.6168.0-7.327%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.888.3173.2-3.533%
vs Weaker (2)88.074.5162.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A19/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
86-68
86
68
+18
A22/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
87-69
87
69
+18
A25/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
90-74
90
74
+16
A26/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H02/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
70-92
70
92
-22
H03/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
82-89
82
89
-7
H09/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H10/05
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H26/09
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H27/09
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
19-16
12-20
7-14
23-13
23-22
23-15
17-18
19-13
17-17
28-21
23-18
30-11
25-26
22-18
13-19
24-19
20-25
21-19
18-19
19-17
24-25
13-23
14-27
21-16
25-15
21-35
15-23
17-11
11-22
19-15
19-27
21-21
23-8
20-19
24-30
14-24
23-12
19-13
15-25
156.4Avg total
78.9Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)79.576.0155.5+3.550%
Season at home (2)79.576.0155.5+3.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.977.5156.4+1.450%
Last 5 (5)75.481.6157.0-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.078.0154.0-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.086.3172.3-0.355%
vs Weaker (17)87.978.4166.2+9.588%
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -5.5-5.5
ToyamaUtsunomiya Brex
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H15/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H18/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H19/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A22/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H25/04
B League
Akita
#26
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H26/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A02/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A03/05
B League
Shinshu
#22
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A26/09
B League
Shinshu
#22
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A27/09
B League
89.7Avg total
48.0Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.643.787.3-0.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.942.485.2+0.550%-
Last 30 away (16)44.344.889.1-0.562%-
Last 10 (10)48.041.789.7+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)49.645.695.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)43.344.888.0-1.555%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.540.886.3+4.767%-
vs Weaker (2)42.040.082.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Utsunomiya Brex) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utsunomiya BrexLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A19/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A22/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A25/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A26/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H02/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H03/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H09/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H10/05
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H26/09
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/09
B League
78.3Avg total
42.6Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.739.984.6+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.138.881.9+4.471%-
Last 30 away (16)46.140.987.0+5.169%-
Last 10 (10)42.635.778.3+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)39.634.273.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.042.084.0+0.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)45.240.685.8+4.564%-
vs Weaker (17)44.739.283.9+5.576%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.224.8
57.4%
53.9%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.1
34.3%
32.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.915.7
71.7%
73.7%15.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Utsunomiya Brextheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Utsunomiya Brex: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.916.5
59.1%
53.9%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.410.5
32.4%
32.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.514.3
77.3%
73.7%14.3
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
LWWWWWLWLW
Utsunomiya Brex
LWLLLWWWWL
#12
League position
#13
+4.2
Net rating
+1.6
100.0
Offensive rating
94.4
95.7
Defensive rating
92.8
55.3%
Effective FG%
53.5%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.3%
3-point %
32.4%
67.2%
Assist %
75.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 94.4Defence95.7 · 92.8Shooting55.3% · 53.5%3-point %34.3% · 32.4%Ball care14.2% · 14.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Toyama   ■ Utsunomiya Brex
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toyama wins
10
Utsunomiya Brex wins
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26AShinshu81-99
26/09/26AShinshu99-85
03/05/26AHiroshima D.101-91
02/05/26AHiroshima D.96-89
26/04/26HAkita94-77
25/04/26HAkita82-72
22/04/26ANeoPhoenix86-94
19/04/26HSendai92-89
18/04/26HSendai55-72
15/04/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles109-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26HYokohama71-74
26/09/26HYokohama88-78
10/05/26HDiamond Dolphins66-75
09/05/26HDiamond Dolphins82-89
03/05/26HRyukyu70-92
02/05/26HRyukyu83-82
26/04/26ADiamond Dolphins90-74
25/04/26ADiamond Dolphins87-69
22/04/26ASun Rockers Shibuya86-68
19/04/26AGunma66-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
Home--
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game90.0-90.0
Allowed / game92.0-92.0
Point differential-2.0--2.0
Avg total182.0-182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%-50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Utsunomiya Brex
B League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game79.579.5-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential+3.5+3.5-
Avg total155.5155.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hiroshima D.330100%95.073.7+21.3
2 Diamond Dolphins330100%89.371.3+18.0
3 Gunma220100%83.566.5+17.0
4 NeoPhoenix220100%85.578.5+7.0
5 Shimane32167%82.375.7+6.7
6 Alvark32167%98.796.3+2.3
7 Sendai21150%77.065.0+12.0
8 Tokyo Sunrockers21150%93.588.0+5.5
9 Levanga Hokkaido21150%91.587.5+4.0
10 Utsunomiya Brex21150%79.576.0+3.5
11 Osaka21150%78.576.5+2.0
12 Shinshu21150%92.090.0+2.0
13 Shiga21150%87.586.0+1.5
14 Ryukyu21150%79.079.0+0.0
15 Kyoto21150%86.087.5-1.5
16 Toyama21150%90.092.0-2.0
17 Yokohama21150%76.079.5-3.5
18 SeaHorses Mikawa21150%87.591.5-4.0
19 Akita21150%65.077.0-12.0
20 Chiba31233%102.3108.3-6.0
21 Kobe31233%75.384.3-9.0
22 Ibaraki Robots2020%78.585.5-7.0
23 Nagasaki2020%71.087.0-16.0
24 Altiri Chiba2020%66.583.5-17.0
25 Saga2020%74.094.5-20.5
26 Brave Thunders2020%70.591.5-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama2316231577
Utsunomiya Brex2616121367
← all games of the day
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