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Shinshu vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 99-81
25-16 28-31 22-14 24-20
Position#17
Record0-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game99.0
Shinshu 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#11
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game85.0
JapanB League· White Ring Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Shinshu v Toyama
27 Sep 2026
SHIN99
TOYA81
26 Sep 2026
SHIN85
TOYA99
22 Dec 2024
SHIN96
TOYA89
21 Dec 2024
SHIN92
TOYA96
05 Nov 2023
SHIN83
TOYA79
04 Nov 2023
SHIN86
TOYA79
15 Mar 2023
SHIN80
TOYA66
23 Mar 2022
SHIN78
TOYA71
24 Jan 2021
SHIN80
TOYA89
23 Jan 2021
SHIN86
TOYA68
07 Dec 2014
SHIN99
TOYA90
06 Dec 2014
SHIN87
TOYA72
12 Jan 2014
SHIN94
TOYA89
11 Jan 2014
SHIN82
TOYA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinshu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A20/04
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
no box
A03/05
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
74-96
74
96
-22
no box
A04/05
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
91-73
91
73
+18
no box
A05/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
59-83
59
83
-24
no box
A10/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
66-75
66
75
-9
no box
A11/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
72-68
72
68
+4
no box
A17/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
65-68
65
68
-3
no box
A18/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
101-94
101
94
+7
no box
A19/05
B2.League
Toyama
#11
L
85-99
85
99
-14
77avg 77
H26/09
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
16-22
17-17
22-24
17-17
23-20
13-16
25-22
23-25
20-24
11-22
20-25
22-22
23-14
25-24
21-13
18-31
13-21
14-19
14-12
25-22
13-19
15-15
13-19
19-10
11-14
32-18
10-26
16-14
15-25
18-11
16-18
25-22
15-15
26-26
35-31
16-22
20-30
20-19
29-28
157.7Avg total
76.4Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.099.0184.0-14.00%
Season at home (1)85.099.0184.0-14.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.481.3157.7-4.940%
Last 5 (5)77.880.8158.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.786.7159.3-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.580.6161.1-0.255%
vs Weaker (13)79.274.9154.2+4.369%
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
86avg 75
H12/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
109-86
109
86
+23
113avg 75
H15/04
B League
Sendai
#11
L
55-72
55
72
-17
52avg 75
H18/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
88avg 75
H19/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
L
86-94
86
94
-8
78avg 75
A22/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
82-72
82
72
+10
75avg 75
H25/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
94-77
94
77
+17
94avg 75
H26/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
96-89
96
89
+7
101avg 75
A02/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
101-91
101
91
+10
98avg 75
A03/05
B League
Shinshu
#17
W
99-85
99
85
+14
90avg 75
A26/09
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
22-25
23-22
21-21
21-19
27-22
34-23
27-22
28-16
13-16
4-26
10-14
28-24
23-17
19-18
22-30
24-27
28-17
20-24
14-26
21-10
19-21
19-14
23-27
18-30
26-19
28-12
22-16
28-25
25-21
23-23
20-20
23-16
29-28
22-20
27-27
22-16
30-20
19-20
28-29
174.3Avg total
89.9Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)99.085.0184.0+14.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)99.085.0184.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.984.4174.3+5.570%
Last 5 (5)94.482.8177.2+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)80.387.6168.0-7.327%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.586.7171.2-2.233%
vs Weaker (2)88.074.5162.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
ShinshuToyama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A20/04
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A03/05
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A04/05
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A05/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A10/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A11/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A17/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A18/05
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A19/05
B2.League
Toyama
#11
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H26/09
B League
77.6Avg total
36.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.979.5-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.742.382.0-2.742%-
Last 30 away (18)37.939.977.9-2.044%-
Last 10 (10)36.840.877.6-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.673.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.045.780.7-10.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.240.278.4-2.045%-
vs Weaker (13)40.739.380.0+1.454%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H12/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H15/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H18/04
B League
Sendai
#11
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H19/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#10
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A22/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H25/04
B League
Akita
#26
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H26/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A02/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A03/05
B League
Shinshu
#17
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A26/09
B League
88.4Avg total
47.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.343.486.7-0.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.542.585.0+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)44.144.388.4-0.167%-
Last 10 (10)47.441.088.4+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)48.241.289.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)43.344.888.0-1.555%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.039.383.3+4.767%-
vs Weaker (2)42.040.082.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.016.7
46.4%
53.6%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.1
31.5%
32.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.111.5
71.4%
73.8%11.5
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 90.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.424.5
57.8%
53.6%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.7
35.7%
32.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.515.0
73.2%
73.8%15.0
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shinshu
LWLWLLWLWL
Toyama
WWWWWLWLWL
#17
League position
#11
-9.3
Net rating
+6.6
96.3
Offensive rating
102.6
105.6
Defensive rating
96.0
46.8%
Effective FG%
56.2%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
16.3%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.5%
3-point %
35.7%
66.1%
Assist %
69.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.3 · 102.6Defence105.6 · 96.0Shooting46.8% · 56.2%3-point %31.5% · 35.7%Ball care16.3% · 14.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Shinshu   ■ Toyama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Shinshu wins
4
Toyama wins
DateGameScore
26/09/26Shinshu v Toyama85-99
06/04/25Toyama v Shinshu96-85
05/04/25Toyama v Shinshu67-80
22/12/24Shinshu v Toyama96-89 OT
21/12/24Shinshu v Toyama92-96
10/11/24Toyama v Shinshu66-74
09/11/24Toyama v Shinshu80-78
21/04/24Toyama v Shinshu73-74
20/04/24Toyama v Shinshu62-71
05/11/23Shinshu v Toyama83-79
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26HToyama85-99
19/05/25AFukuoka101-94
18/05/25AFukuoka65-68
17/05/25AFukuoka72-68
11/05/25AAltiri Chiba66-75
10/05/25AAltiri Chiba59-83
05/05/25AKagoshima Rebnise91-73
04/05/25AKagoshima Rebnise74-96
03/05/25AKagoshima Rebnise78-75
20/04/25AAltiri Chiba73-82
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26AShinshu99-85
03/05/26AHiroshima D.101-91
02/05/26AHiroshima D.96-89
26/04/26HAkita94-77
25/04/26HAkita82-72
22/04/26ANeoPhoenix86-94
19/04/26HSendai92-89
18/04/26HSendai55-72
15/04/26HNagoya Fighting Eagles109-86
12/04/26HUtsunomiya Brex85-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shinshu
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game99.099.0-
Point differential-14.0-14.0-
Avg total184.0184.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Toyama
B League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game99.0-99.0
Allowed / game85.0-85.0
Point differential+14.0-+14.0
Avg total184.0-184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins110100%93.063.0+30.0
2 Gunma220100%83.566.5+17.0
3 Shimane220100%87.071.0+16.0
4 Toyama110100%99.085.0+14.0
5 Hiroshima D.110100%100.087.0+13.0
6 Utsunomiya Brex110100%88.078.0+10.0
7 NeoPhoenix220100%85.578.5+7.0
8 Kyoto110100%95.094.0+1.0
9 Sendai21150%77.065.0+12.0
10 Tokyo Sunrockers21150%93.588.0+5.5
11 Levanga Hokkaido21150%91.587.5+4.0
12 Osaka21150%78.576.5+2.0
13 Alvark21150%79.079.0+0.0
14 Ryukyu21150%79.079.0+0.0
15 Kobe21150%76.578.5-2.0
16 SeaHorses Mikawa21150%87.591.5-4.0
17 Chiba21150%88.093.5-5.5
18 Akita21150%65.077.0-12.0
19 Shiga1010%94.095.0-1.0
20 Ibaraki Robots2020%78.585.5-7.0
21 Yokohama1010%78.088.0-10.0
22 Saga1010%87.0100.0-13.0
23 Shinshu1010%85.099.0-14.0
24 Nagasaki2020%71.087.0-16.0
25 Altiri Chiba2020%66.583.5-17.0
26 Brave Thunders1010%63.093.0-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shinshu2528222499
Toyama1631142081
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