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Trefl Sopot vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 77-93
18-30 26-21 21-16 12-26
Position#26
Record4-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Murcia 🏆
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game70.1
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 2· Ergo Arena
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trefl Sopot winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Trefl SopotLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSopot
Date
Competition
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
97-61
97
61
+36
101avg 81
H02/11
Energa Basket Liga
Neftchi IK
#17
L
87-92
87
92
-5
82avg 81
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gdynia
#7
L
83-85
83
85
-2
75avg 81
H09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Absheron Lions
#27
W
98-78
98
78
+20
99avg 81
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
81-93
81
93
-12
73avg 81
A15/11
Energa Basket Liga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
83-101
83
101
-18
80avg 81
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Szczecin
#2
W
84-74
84
74
+10
85avg 81
H23/11
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
W
88-78
88
78
+10
86avg 81
A06/12
Energa Basket Liga
Rostock
#10
L
72-97
72
97
-25
64avg 81
A10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Lublin
#13
W
105-84
105
84
+21
110avg 81
A13/12
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-13
24-13
20-22
22-13
26-26
23-21
22-30
16-15
23-22
14-17
20-23
26-23
25-18
26-21
20-21
27-18
20-18
19-30
17-21
25-24
22-29
20-20
21-34
20-18
25-13
25-17
15-17
19-27
22-13
26-28
15-20
25-17
20-21
12-30
23-21
17-25
27-19
24-24
29-20
25-21
172.1Avg total
87.8Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.183.6172.7+5.657%
Season at home (3)94.366.3160.7+28.0100%
Season away (4)85.296.5181.8-11.225%
Last 10 (10)87.884.3172.1+3.550%
Last 5 (5)86.486.8173.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)79.085.7164.7-6.733%
vs Similar (20)86.982.8169.7+4.260%
vs Weaker (6)94.577.7172.2+16.883%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
82avg 78
A02/11
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
89-61
89
61
+28
86avg 78
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#10
W
84-65
84
65
+19
66avg 78
H08/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
W
87-63
87
63
+24
90avg 78
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
L
83-96
83
96
-13
66avg 78
H16/11
ACB
Lublin
#30
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 78
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
107-71
107
71
+36
101avg 78
A22/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
110-88
110
88
+22
111avg 78
A06/12
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
97-67
97
67
+30
92avg 78
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 78
H14/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-16
22-26
17-19
8-17
23-20
22-23
19-9
25-9
20-18
24-14
17-21
23-12
21-16
22-17
29-10
15-20
15-25
23-23
19-22
26-26
22-19
17-27
27-13
14-16
31-18
23-12
25-18
28-23
28-20
30-26
28-27
24-15
19-20
25-18
29-16
24-13
19-25
13-13
25-16
23-23
163.9Avg total
89.8Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.370.1156.4+16.186%
Season at home (4)85.267.0152.2+18.2100%
Season away (3)87.774.3162.0+13.367%
Last 10 (10)89.874.1163.9+15.790%
Last 5 (5)94.875.6170.4+19.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.071.0157.0+15.0100%
vs Similar (12)84.482.4166.8+2.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.975.9165.8+14.075%
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +3.6+3.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +3.6+3.6
Trefl SopotMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Trefl SopotLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GTK Gliwice
#15
W
55-26
55
26
+29
H02/11
Energa Basket Liga
Neftchi IK
#17
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gdynia
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Absheron Lions
#27
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Dabrowa Gornicza
#9
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A15/11
Energa Basket Liga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Szczecin
#2
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H23/11
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#1
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A06/12
Energa Basket Liga
Rostock
#10
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Lublin
#13
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A13/12
Energa Basket Liga
86.7Avg total
45.4Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.140.485.5+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.737.582.1+7.273%-
Last 30 away (15)45.543.388.9+2.260%-
Last 10 (10)45.441.386.7+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.642.887.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)42.041.383.3+0.767%-
vs Similar (20)44.541.385.8+3.260%-
vs Weaker (6)47.836.584.3+11.383%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#5
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A02/11
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#10
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H08/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H16/11
ACB
Lublin
#30
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Forca Lleida
#14
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A22/11
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A06/12
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H10/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H14/12
ACB
84.9Avg total
45.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.281.1+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.640.282.8+2.362%-
Last 30 away (14)41.238.079.2+3.264%-
Last 10 (10)45.339.684.9+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)45.439.685.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.033.074.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (12)41.439.280.6+2.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.039.481.4+2.662%-
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trefl Sopottheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trefl Sopot: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.0
50.4%
52.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.2
39.1%
34.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.516.0
71.1%
73.4%16.0
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.3
54.3%
52.0%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.0
35.7%
34.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws22.715.4
67.8%
73.4%15.4
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trefl Sopot
WLWWLLWLLW
Murcia
WWWWWLWWWW
#26
League position
#2
+3.5
Net rating
+21.0
108.9
Offensive rating
116.1
105.4
Defensive rating
95.1
53.6%
Effective FG%
54.0%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.9%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
36.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
39.1%
3-point %
35.7%
77.8%
Assist %
62.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 116.1Defence105.4 · 95.1Shooting53.6% · 54.0%3-point %39.1% · 35.7%Ball care19.0% · 15.9%Off. rebounds30.0% · 36.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Trefl Sopot   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trefl Sopot wins
0
Murcia wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25ALublin105-84
10/12/25ARostock72-97
06/12/25ALegia88-78
23/11/25HSzczecin84-74
19/11/25ABC Kalev/Cramo83-101
15/11/25ADabrowa Gornicza81-93
12/11/25HAbsheron Lions98-78
09/11/25HGdynia83-85
05/11/25ANeftchi IK87-92
02/11/25HGTK Gliwice97-61
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25HJoventut Badalona80-77
10/12/25HSzombathely97-67
06/12/25ASan Pablo Burgos110-88
22/11/25AForca Lleida107-71
19/11/25HLublin80-75
16/11/25HBreogan83-96
11/11/25HKK Bosna87-63
08/11/25HManresa84-65
04/11/25ARilski Sportist89-61
02/11/25ABarcelona81-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trefl Sopot
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game89.194.385.2
Allowed / game83.666.396.5
Point differential+5.6+28.0-11.2
Avg total172.7160.7181.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game86.385.287.7
Allowed / game70.167.074.3
Point differential+16.1+18.2+13.3
Avg total156.4152.2162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao87188%99.267.5+31.8
2 Peristeri87188%89.474.9+14.5
3 Rostock87188%89.575.8+13.8
4 Murcia76186%86.370.1+16.1
5 PAOK76186%89.783.3+6.4
6 Petkim Spor86275%86.273.2+13.0
7 Cedevita Junior75271%88.780.3+8.4
8 CSM Oradea75271%83.478.6+4.9
9 KK Bosna96367%79.273.0+6.2
10 Basketball Braunschweig64267%83.781.3+2.3
11 Basket Zaragoza85362%90.879.9+10.9
12 Vechta85362%86.080.2+5.8
13 Sporting CP74357%87.780.1+7.6
14 Reggiana74357%84.077.0+7.0
15 Trefl Sopot74357%89.183.6+5.6
16 Sassari84450%86.479.4+7.0
17 Anwil Wloclawek84450%91.484.6+6.8
18 Antwerp Giants63350%84.079.3+4.7
19 BC Prievidza105550%83.982.0+1.9
20 Dijon63350%83.583.3+0.2
21 Szombathely84450%82.282.2+0.0
22 Neftchi IK63350%87.088.7-1.7
23 Cibona84450%81.083.1-2.1
24 AEK Larnaca63350%81.084.7-3.7
25 Bashkimi84450%78.584.1-5.6
26 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%82.589.8-7.3
27 Absheron Lions83538%86.287.6-1.4
28 Brno83538%77.585.5-8.0
29 Bakken Bears62433%85.786.5-0.8
30 Lublin62433%79.784.8-5.2
31 Tartu Ulikool62433%82.890.7-7.8
32 FC Porto62433%76.085.8-9.8
33 Keravnos62433%78.090.2-12.2
34 Corona Brasov82625%78.284.4-6.1
35 Anorthosis82625%72.091.1-19.1
36 Pelister61517%80.393.3-13.0
37 Rilski Sportist61517%68.781.7-13.0
38 Valcea61517%71.398.8-27.5
39 Kutaisi61517%63.798.3-34.7
40 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
41 Trepca6060%75.786.5-10.8
42 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
43 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
44 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 44 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trefl Sopot1826211277
Murcia3021162693
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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