PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Murcia vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-96
15-25 23-23 19-22 26-26
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Breogan 🏆
Spain
Position#11
Record2-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game91.7
SpainACBRound 7· Palacio de Deportes de Murcia
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Murcia v Breogan
25 Apr 2027
MUR v BRE
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
MUR83
BRE96
16 Nov 2024
MUR79
BRE63
12 May 2024
MUR68
BRE61
29 Sep 2022
MUR70
BRE84
23 Mar 2022
MUR91
BRE72
03 Nov 2018
MUR76
BRE64
01 Oct 2010
MUR83
BRE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#12
W
93-71
93
71
+22
81avg 76
A11/10
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
77-63
77
63
+14
70avg 76
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#8
L
80-96
80
96
-16
66avg 76
A18/10
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
L
72-87
72
87
-15
60avg 76
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
W
89-84
89
84
+5
81avg 76
H26/10
ACB
Lublin
#30
W
102-75
102
75
+27
103avg 76
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
82avg 76
A02/11
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
89-61
89
61
+28
86avg 76
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#10
W
84-65
84
65
+19
66avg 76
H08/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
W
87-63
87
63
+24
90avg 76
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-12
26-18
23-22
34-19
19-9
10-19
21-21
27-14
22-26
10-21
25-27
23-22
17-22
21-26
14-21
20-18
26-21
23-17
19-24
21-22
21-26
24-22
25-12
32-15
34-16
22-26
17-19
8-17
23-20
22-23
19-9
25-9
20-18
24-14
17-21
23-12
21-16
22-17
29-10
15-20
159.7Avg total
85.4Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.076.3163.3+10.783%
Season at home (3)89.371.0160.3+18.3100%
Season away (3)84.781.7166.3+3.067%
Last 10 (10)85.474.3159.7+11.180%
Last 5 (5)88.668.4157.0+20.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.575.5156.0+5.050%
vs Similar (12)82.882.3165.1+0.458%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)84.573.5157.9+11.067%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
56avg 72
H11/05
ACB
Granada
#17
L
82-91
82
91
-9
67avg 72
A17/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
74-82
74
82
-8
59avg 72
H25/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
61-108
61
108
-47
40avg 72
A30/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
L
68-87
68
87
-19
45avg 72
A04/10
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
90-113
90
113
-23
75avg 72
H12/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 72
A18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
85-100
85
100
-15
71avg 72
A25/10
ACB
Granada
#18
W
95-74
95
74
+21
82avg 72
H01/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
81-92
81
92
-11
79avg 72
H08/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
14-10
27-25
15-20
16-23
24-26
18-22
24-20
18-27
18-13
17-32
21-10
13-25
18-22
12-29
18-32
15-23
15-22
16-19
22-23
27-19
20-35
27-30
16-29
16-19
27-24
23-24
22-17
18-28
23-16
26-28
18-28
38-14
13-22
20-17
24-21
11-23
26-26
27-28
17-15
170.3Avg total
79.3Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.591.7176.2-7.233%
Season at home (3)88.793.0181.7-4.333%
Season away (3)80.390.3170.7-10.033%
Last 10 (10)79.391.0170.3-11.720%
Last 5 (5)87.892.6180.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)81.390.1171.4-8.835%
vs Similar (7)85.088.6173.6-3.643%
vs Weaker (3)83.781.7165.3+2.067%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -1.8-1.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -1.8-1.8
MurciaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#12
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A11/10
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tenerife
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A18/10
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H26/10
ACB
Lublin
#30
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Barcelona
#5
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A02/11
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#37
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Manresa
#10
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H08/11
ACB
KK Bosna
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
80.6Avg total
41.7Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.278.3+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.738.680.3+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)38.537.876.3+0.760%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.980.6+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.639.686.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (12)41.238.880.1+2.458%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)38.337.976.2+0.553%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H11/05
ACB
Granada
#17
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A17/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H25/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A30/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A04/10
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H12/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A25/10
ACB
Granada
#18
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H01/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H08/11
ACB
82.4Avg total
38.3Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.782.1-1.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.239.777.9-1.527%-
Last 30 away (15)42.543.886.3-1.327%-
Last 10 (10)38.344.182.4-5.810%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.289.0-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.441.681.0-2.220%-
vs Similar (7)42.742.385.0+0.443%-
vs Weaker (3)41.341.382.7+0.033%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.0
55.3%
50.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.0
31.7%
42.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.615.0
72.8%
74.7%15.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.916.2
45.1%
50.0%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.4
34.6%
42.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.015.2
72.4%
74.7%15.2
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WWWWWWLLWW
Breogan
LWLWLLLLLL
#4
League position
#11
+14.0
Net rating
-14.8
111.9
Offensive rating
102.9
97.9
Defensive rating
117.7
52.0%
Effective FG%
48.2%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
16.6%
Turnover %
17.0%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.7%
3-point %
34.6%
55.3%
Assist %
59.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 102.9Defence97.9 · 117.7Shooting52.0% · 48.2%3-point %31.7% · 34.6%Ball care16.6% · 17.0%Off. rebounds35.7% · 29.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Murcia   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Murcia wins
3
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
22/03/25Breogan v Murcia70-86
16/11/24Murcia v Breogan79-63
12/05/24Murcia v Breogan68-61
17/12/23Breogan v Murcia74-83
07/05/23Breogan v Murcia60-65
29/09/22Murcia v Breogan70-84
23/03/22Murcia v Breogan91-72
31/10/21Breogan v Murcia94-89
10/02/19Breogan v Murcia77-73
03/11/18Murcia v Breogan76-64
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/25HKK Bosna87-63
08/11/25HManresa84-65
04/11/25ARilski Sportist89-61
02/11/25ABarcelona81-78
29/10/25ALublin102-75
26/10/25HBaskonia89-84
21/10/25AKK Bosna72-87
18/10/25ATenerife80-96
15/10/25HRilski Sportist77-63
11/10/25ABasquet Girona93-71
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HGran Canaria81-92
01/11/25HGranada95-74
25/10/25ABarcelona85-100
18/10/25ABasket Zaragoza88-84
12/10/25HValencia90-113
04/10/25AForca Lleida68-87
30/05/25AValencia61-108
25/05/25HGran Canaria74-82
17/05/25AGranada82-91
11/05/25HReal Madrid69-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game87.089.384.7
Allowed / game76.371.081.7
Point differential+10.7+18.3+3.0
Avg total163.3160.3166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game84.588.780.3
Allowed / game91.793.090.3
Point differential-7.2-4.3-10.0
Avg total176.2181.7170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia76186%97.483.6+13.9
2 Real Madrid76186%87.979.9+8.0
3 Murcia65183%87.076.3+10.7
4 Joventut Badalona75271%88.079.7+8.3
5 Tenerife75271%92.985.4+7.4
6 Unicaja74357%82.680.9+1.7
7 Forca Lleida74357%85.086.3-1.3
8 Baskonia63350%88.290.2-2.0
9 Gran Canaria73443%83.383.6-0.3
10 Bilbao73443%80.982.7-1.9
11 Manresa73443%82.084.7-2.7
12 Basquet Girona73443%85.390.7-5.4
13 MoraBanc Andorra73443%84.392.4-8.1
14 Barcelona62433%84.387.2-2.8
15 Breogan62433%84.591.7-7.2
16 Basket Zaragoza72529%88.091.6-3.6
17 San Pablo Burgos71614%88.094.3-6.3
18 Granada71614%78.386.9-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1523192683
Breogan2523222696
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.