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Trelleborg vs Aros Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 69-74 (OT)
23-16 14-13 16-20 14-18 2-7
Position#10
Record9-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#13
Record5-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game85.8
SwedenSuperettan· Vastervangshallen
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trelleborg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aros Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrelleborgSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrelleborg
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#12
L
79-94
79
94
-15
65avg 75
A29/11
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
67avg 75
H06/12
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
79-94
79
94
-15
72avg 75
H20/12
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
W
87-69
87
69
+18
no box
H17/01
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
109-104
109
104
+5
97avg 75
A24/01
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
81-91
81
91
-10
63avg 75
A25/01
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
99-61
99
61
+38
97avg 75
H31/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
102-101
102
101
+1
100avg 75
H07/02
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
72avg 75
A14/02
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
L
68-84
68
84
-16
55avg 75
A15/02
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
18-24
17-22
32-24
18-27
26-25
22-16
14-25
14-26
17-25
23-19
25-24
26-27
17-12
21-19
23-11
27-31
26-30
28-17
28-26
17-27
23-16
21-21
20-27
22-22
25-10
20-16
32-13
35-31
19-20
32-29
16-21
19-31
17-24
25-20
15-15
18-16
11-29
21-14
18-25
174.1Avg total
86.0Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.284.5167.7-1.345%
Season at home (10)87.982.3170.2+5.660%
Season away (10)78.586.7165.2-8.230%
Last 10 (10)86.088.1174.1-2.140%
Last 5 (5)85.285.4170.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.890.0165.8-14.220%
vs Similar (12)84.981.6166.5+3.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)95.384.0179.3+11.369%
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aros BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
91-96
91
96
-5
90avg 72
H29/11
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
77avg 72
H06/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
97-110 OT
97
110
-13
91avg 72
H13/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
83-97
83
97
-14
73avg 72
A20/12
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
A17/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
76-91
76
91
-15
64avg 72
H24/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
68avg 72
H01/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
77-85
77
85
-8
67avg 72
H07/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
84-68
84
68
+16
84avg 72
H15/02
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
108-87
108
87
+21
no box
H21/02
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
34-26
16-26
29-18
18-20
22-17
10-26
30-24
18-23
25-28
25-18
24-23
15-20
21-28
29-24
18-25
24-15
21-27
12-20
18-22
18-18
18-27
22-24
18-22
25-30
16-18
19-21
18-19
21-24
23-20
19-17
14-24
16-18
29-11
14-21
25-18
26-28
29-25
25-14
28-20
174.2Avg total
84.9Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.285.8166.9-4.626%
Season at home (10)84.784.6169.3+0.130%
Season away (9)77.287.1164.3-9.922%
Last 10 (10)84.989.3174.2-4.420%
Last 5 (5)84.683.8168.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.587.0166.5-7.524%
vs Similar (7)73.772.1145.9+1.643%
vs Weaker (6)90.586.2176.7+4.367%
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.7+0.7
TrelleborgAros Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrelleborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#12
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A29/11
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H06/12
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H20/12
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H17/01
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
L
53-61
53
61
-8
A24/01
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/01
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H31/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H07/02
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A14/02
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A15/02
Superettan
88.4Avg total
40.7Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.842.786.5+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.340.987.2+5.475%-
Last 30 away (14)40.944.985.8-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)40.747.788.4-7.030%-
Last 5 (5)41.245.286.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.043.880.8-6.840%-
vs Similar (12)42.942.285.1+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)47.242.890.1+4.469%-
This opponent (Aros Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aros BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H29/11
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H06/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H13/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A20/12
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A17/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H24/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H01/02
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H07/02
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H15/02
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
55-53
55
53
+2
H21/02
Superettan
88.0Avg total
43.1Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.743.082.7-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.742.483.1-1.733%-
Last 30 away (15)38.743.582.2-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)43.144.988.0-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.888.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.144.283.3-5.118%-
vs Similar (7)34.437.371.7-2.957%-
vs Weaker (6)47.546.293.7+1.350%-
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trelleborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trelleborg: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.9
52.9%
50.7%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.9
33.8%
30.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.014.2
64.5%
67.0%14.2
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aros Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aros Basket: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.724.8
54.3%
50.7%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.76.9
27.9%
30.9%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.413.3
68.6%
67.0%13.3
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trelleborg
LLWWLWWLLL
Aros Basket
WWLLLLLLLL
#10
League position
#13
-1.5
Net rating
-6.0
99.2
Offensive rating
94.6
100.7
Defensive rating
100.6
52.1%
Effective FG%
49.9%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
13.9%
Turnover %
18.1%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.8%
3-point %
27.9%
57.9%
Assist %
65.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 94.6Defence100.7 · 100.6Shooting52.1% · 49.9%3-point %33.8% · 27.9%Ball care13.9% · 18.1%Off. rebounds27.7% · 28.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Trelleborg   ■ Aros Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trelleborg wins
1
Aros Basket wins
DateGameScore
15/02/26Aros Basket v Trelleborg84-68
Trelleborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26AAros Basket68-84
14/02/26AEskilstuna76-90
07/02/26HEskilstuna102-101
31/01/26HAlvik99-61
25/01/26AAlvik81-91
24/01/26ABlackeberg109-104
17/01/26HIK Eos87-69
20/12/25HMalbas79-94
06/12/25HHuddinge80-93
29/11/25AOckelbo79-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HBlackeberg108-87
15/02/26HTrelleborg84-68
07/02/26HDjurgarden77-85
01/02/26HMalbas78-88
24/01/26HAIK Basket76-91
17/01/26AOckelbo75-84
20/12/25AHuddinge83-97
13/12/25HHuddinge97-110 OT
06/12/25HAlvik80-87
29/11/25HFryshuset Basket91-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trelleborg
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL45%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%60%30%
Points / game83.287.978.5
Allowed / game84.582.386.7
Point differential-1.3+5.6-8.2
Avg total167.7170.2165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aros Basket
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW26%
HomeLLLWW30%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %26%30%22%
Points / game81.284.777.2
Allowed / game85.884.687.1
Point differential-4.6+0.1-9.9
Avg total166.9169.3164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%30%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fryshuset Basket2117481%88.181.0+7.2
2 Malbas2116576%88.376.2+12.0
3 Wetterbygden Stars2013765%78.778.6+0.1
4 Djurgarden2012860%83.277.2+6.0
5 Huddinge2112957%87.887.0+0.9
6 Sollentuna20101050%79.277.7+1.5
7 Alvik20101050%78.581.5-3.1
8 Eskilstuna1991047%84.785.8-1.1
9 IK Eos2091145%82.881.2+1.6
10 Trelleborg2091145%83.284.5-1.3
11 AIK Basket1981142%79.978.6+1.3
12 Ockelbo2081240%76.779.5-2.8
13 Aros Basket1951426%81.285.8-4.6
14 Blackeberg2231914%75.592.6-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Trelleborg23141614269
Aros Basket16132018774
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