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Trepca W vs Penza W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 82-86 (OT)
27-18 16-16 15-20 17-21 7-11
Position#6
Record2-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game59.6
Allowed / game78.5
Trepca W
Kosovo
vs
Penza W 🏆
Kosovo
Position#4
Record8-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game76.4
KosovoSuperliga WomenRound 18· Minatori Sports Hall
Women2024-25
Meetings · Trepca W v Penza W
15 Nov 2025
TREP66
PENZ73
21 Mar 2025
TREP82
PENZ86
01 Dec 2024
TREP63
PENZ77
14 Jan 2024
TREP65
PENZ84
28 Oct 2023
TREP81
PENZ78
17 Mar 2023
TREP58
PENZ71
17 Dec 2022
TREP60
PENZ77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trepca W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penza W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Trepca WKosovoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Penza W
#4
L
63-77
63
77
-14
42avg 43
H01/12
Superliga Women
Prishtina W
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
59avg 43
H08/12
Superliga Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
54-80
54
80
-26
40avg 43
A13/12
Superliga Women
Peja W
#2
L
51-83
51
83
-32
33avg 43
A18/01
Superliga Women
Junior 06 W
#5
L
64-69
64
69
-5
53avg 43
H25/01
Superliga Women
Penza W
#4
L
68-83
68
83
-15
53avg 43
A01/02
Superliga Women
Prishtina W
#3
L
50-84
50
84
-34
26avg 43
A09/02
Superliga Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
40-89
40
89
-49
25avg 43
H01/03
Superliga Women
Peja W
#2
L
41-100
41
100
-59
20avg 43
H08/03
Superliga Women
Junior 06 W
#5
W
60-59
60
59
+1
45avg 43
A14/03
Superliga Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
23-18
10-12
10-22
19-12
12-12
23-27
15-26
8-27
12-20
19-17
15-16
7-10
13-34
15-23
16-16
14-23
20-16
21-19
9-11
21-20
17-12
17-24
13-27
16-22
7-20
17-25
10-17
12-27
9-22
9-22
10-18
8-21
4-22
17-24
12-33
21-17
9-16
19-14
11-12
136.1Avg total
56.0Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)59.678.5138.1-18.912%
Season at home (8)57.679.0136.6-21.40%
Season away (9)61.378.1139.4-16.822%
Last 10 (10)56.080.1136.1-24.110%
Last 5 (5)51.883.0134.8-31.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)63.281.8144.9-18.55%
vs Similar (4)66.868.0134.8-1.250%
vs Weaker (6)70.068.2138.2+1.850%
This opponent (Penza W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penza WKosovoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Trepca W
#6
W
77-63
77
63
+14
88avg 66
A01/12
Superliga Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
75-79
75
79
-4
71avg 66
H06/12
Superliga Women
Peja W
#2
W
82-67
82
67
+15
83avg 66
A13/12
Superliga Women
Junior 06 W
#5
L
80-92
80
92
-12
73avg 66
A18/01
Superliga Women
Prishtina W
#3
L
66-72
66
72
-6
57avg 66
A25/01
Superliga Women
Trepca W
#6
W
83-68
83
68
+15
87avg 66
H01/02
Superliga Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
57avg 66
A27/02
Superliga Women
Peja W
#2
L
44-102
44
102
-58
28avg 66
H02/03
Superliga Women
Junior 06 W
#5
W
98-84
98
84
+14
97avg 66
H07/03
Superliga Women
Prishtina W
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
64avg 66
H14/03
Superliga Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
18-23
12-10
22-10
24-21
12-24
19-18
20-16
19-12
22-27
19-15
22-13
16-26
16-21
31-14
17-31
20-20
20-11
11-19
15-22
20-21
12-17
24-17
27-13
14-29
16-16
12-21
28-16
12-27
13-22
6-26
13-27
30-30
24-14
24-14
20-26
16-16
19-22
23-22
15-21
153.8Avg total
74.8Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.476.4151.8-1.047%
Season at home (9)73.076.8149.8-3.844%
Season away (8)78.176.0154.1+2.150%
Last 10 (10)74.879.0153.8-4.240%
Last 5 (5)73.683.4157.0-9.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)66.878.2144.9-11.422%
vs Similar (5)78.674.4153.0+4.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)83.476.1159.6+7.371%
This opponent (Trepca W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -7.7-7.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.8-5.8Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -7.7-7.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
Trepca WPenza W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Trepca WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penza W
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H01/12
Superliga Women
Prishtina W
#3
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H08/12
Superliga Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
20-47
20
47
-27
A13/12
Superliga Women
Peja W
#2
L
20-44
20
44
-24
A18/01
Superliga Women
Junior 06 W
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H25/01
Superliga Women
Penza W
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A01/02
Superliga Women
Prishtina W
#3
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A09/02
Superliga Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
21-49
21
49
-28
H01/03
Superliga Women
Peja W
#2
L
12-43
12
43
-31
H08/03
Superliga Women
Junior 06 W
#5
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A14/03
Superliga Women
66.8Avg total
27.2Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)31.939.671.4-7.728%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.839.972.7-7.129%-
Last 30 away (15)31.039.270.2-8.227%-
Last 10 (10)27.239.666.8-12.420%-
Last 5 (5)24.839.864.6-15.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)30.241.671.8-11.516%-
vs Similar (4)33.237.070.2-3.825%-
vs Weaker (6)36.334.771.0+1.767%-
This opponent (Penza W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trepca W
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A01/12
Superliga Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H06/12
Superliga Women
Peja W
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A13/12
Superliga Women
Junior 06 W
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A18/01
Superliga Women
Prishtina W
#3
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A25/01
Superliga Women
Trepca W
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H01/02
Superliga Women
Bashkimi W
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A27/02
Superliga Women
Peja W
#2
L
25-49
25
49
-24
H02/03
Superliga Women
Junior 06 W
#5
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H07/03
Superliga Women
Prishtina W
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H14/03
Superliga Women
78.7Avg total
36.8Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.339.674.9-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.039.675.6-3.633%-
Last 30 away (15)34.739.674.3-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.978.7-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.242.878.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)31.939.471.3-7.522%-
vs Similar (5)41.038.079.0+3.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.141.381.4-1.143%-
This opponent (Trepca W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trepca Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trepca W: 62.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.8 points a game
58%
27%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.114.9
45.0%
46.9%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.48.2
24.6%
28.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws12.88.5
66.4%
65.7%8.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penza Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penza W: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀66%
🏀🏀🏀17%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 66% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.8 points a game
58%
27%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.824.8
47.9%
46.9%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.64.3
25.9%
28.4%12.9
🏀 Free throws19.912.7
63.8%
65.7%12.7
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trepca W
WLLLLLLLLL
Penza W
LWLLWLLWLW
#6
League position
#4
-20.9
Net rating
-5.1
77.1
Offensive rating
90.6
98.0
Defensive rating
95.7
40.9%
Effective FG%
45.7%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
27.7%
Turnover %
25.0%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.29
24.6%
3-point %
25.9%
51.1%
Assist %
69.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence77.1 · 90.6Defence98.0 · 95.7Shooting40.9% · 45.7%3-point %24.6% · 25.9%Ball care27.7% · 25.0%Off. rebounds27.2% · 35.6%Free throws0.19 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Trepca W   ■ Penza W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Trepca W wins
8
Penza W wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Penza W v Trepca W83-68
01/12/24Trepca W v Penza W63-77
26/10/24Penza W v Trepca W75-65
24/02/24Penza W v Trepca W82-78
14/01/24Trepca W v Penza W65-84
02/12/23Penza W v Trepca W74-78
28/10/23Trepca W v Penza W81-78
17/03/23Trepca W v Penza W58-71
03/02/23Penza W v Trepca W77-59
17/12/22Trepca W v Penza W60-77
Trepca Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25AJunior 06 W60-59
08/03/25HPeja W41-100
01/03/25HBashkimi W40-89
09/02/25APrishtina W50-84
01/02/25APenza W68-83
25/01/25HJunior 06 W64-69
18/01/25APeja W51-83
13/12/24ABashkimi W54-80
08/12/24HPrishtina W69-77
01/12/24HPenza W63-77
Penza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25HPrishtina W73-81
07/03/25HJunior 06 W98-84
02/03/25HPeja W44-102
27/02/25ABashkimi W70-82
01/02/25HTrepca W83-68
25/01/25APrishtina W66-72
18/01/25AJunior 06 W80-92
13/12/24APeja W82-67
06/12/24HBashkimi W75-79
01/12/24ATrepca W77-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trepca W
Superliga Women 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW12%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %12%0%22%
Points / game59.657.661.3
Allowed / game78.579.078.1
Point differential-18.9-21.4-16.8
Avg total138.1136.6139.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penza W
Superliga Women 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL47%
HomeLWLWL44%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%44%50%
Points / game75.473.078.1
Allowed / game76.476.876.0
Point differential-1.0-3.8+2.1
Avg total151.8149.8154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bashkimi W1716194%79.462.7+16.7
2 Peja W1710759%75.263.7+11.5
3 Prishtina W1710759%73.370.1+3.2
4 Penza W178947%75.476.4-1.0
5 Junior 06 W1751229%69.581.0-11.5
6 Trepca W1721512%59.678.5-18.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Trepca W27161517782
Penza W181620211186
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