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Tromso vs Baerum Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 80-74
17-20 16-21 26-12 21-21
Position#7
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game73.8
Tromso 🏆
Norway
vs
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game80.3
NorwayBLNO· Troms
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tromso v Baerum
03 Oct 2026
TROM115
BAER75
26 Oct 2024
TROM84
BAER95
11 Nov 2023
TROM92
BAER83
07 Oct 2023
TROM80
BAER74
27 Jan 2023
TROM91
BAER89
08 Feb 2022
TROM76
BAER94
13 Dec 2020
TROM77
BAER66
08 Dec 2019
TROM90
BAER80
13 Mar 2019
TROM82
BAER70
25 Nov 2018
TROM100
BAER90
25 Feb 2018
TROM81
BAER78
26 Nov 2017
TROM85
BAER83
19 Feb 2017
TROM62
BAER102
09 Oct 2016
TROM59
BAER66
01 Nov 2015
TROM82
BAER72
21 Mar 2015
TROM79
BAER81
15 Feb 2015
TROM87
BAER71
26 Oct 2014
TROM75
BAER72
02 Mar 2014
TROM78
BAER85
02 Feb 2014
TROM74
BAER67
17 Mar 2013
TROM65
BAER81
20 Jan 2013
TROM89
BAER78
07 Oct 2012
TROM75
BAER56
17 Mar 2012
TROM87
BAER91
12 Apr 2011
TROM74
BAER78
03 Apr 2011
TROM83
BAER90
01 Apr 2011
TROM87
BAER78
27 Feb 2011
TROM101
BAER73
10 Oct 2010
TROM103
BAER98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tromso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baerum winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TromsoNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTromso
Date
Competition
Asker
#10
W
95-69
95
69
+26
no box
A18/02
BLNO
Froya
#3
L
80-100
80
100
-20
no box
A19/02
BLNO
Fyllingen
#4
W
113-109
113
109
+4
no box
H04/03
BLNO
Oppsal
#11
W
100-75
100
75
+25
no box
H11/03
BLNO
Froya
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
H16/03
BLNO
Froya
#3
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
no box
A19/03
BLNO
Oppsal
#12
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
no box
H23/09
BLNO
Oppsal
#12
W
86-65
86
65
+21
71avg 75
H24/09
BLNO
Nidaros Jets
#10
W
83-64
83
64
+19
81avg 75
A30/09
BLNO
Nidaros Jets
#10
W
83-80
83
80
+3
72avg 75
A01/10
BLNO
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
21-24
23-13
26-14
17-12
14-26
24-34
25-28
27-20
31-31
32-26
23-32
17-19
31-22
20-17
32-17
22-22
19-11
16-17
22-35
12-17
25-17
28-26
13-18
15-18
15-13
25-16
19-27
17-8
22-18
23-26
24-13
19-19
15-16
21-14
28-15
22-19
16-19
18-13
27-29
171.9Avg total
89.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.273.8157.0+9.575%
Season at home (2)83.575.5159.0+8.050%
Season away (2)83.072.0155.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.082.9171.9+6.160%
Last 5 (5)84.678.2162.8+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)83.286.0169.2-2.850%
vs Similar (5)93.897.6191.4-3.840%
vs Weaker (21)94.677.1171.7+17.576%
This opponent (Baerum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaerumNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaerum
Date
Competition
Froya
#3
L
90-98
90
98
-8
no box
A12/03
BLNO
Fyllingen
#4
W
109-95
109
95
+14
no box
A16/03
BLNO
Fyllingen
#4
W
87-73
87
73
+14
no box
H19/03
BLNO
Gimle
#1
L
81-87
81
87
-6
no box
A29/03
BLNO
Gimle
#1
W
101-78
101
78
+23
no box
H02/04
BLNO
Gimle
#1
L
89-99
89
99
-10
no box
A04/04
BLNO
Gimle
#1
L
77-93
77
93
-16
no box
H11/04
BLNO
Ammerud
#11
W
109-74
109
74
+35
106avg 85
A24/09
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#2
W
83-75
83
75
+8
65avg 85
H26/09
BLNO
Froya
#6
L
52-92
52
92
-40
no box
H01/10
BLNO
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
22-21
23-31
22-31
21-20
31-24
22-23
35-28
21-13
18-24
27-23
21-13
14-20
19-24
21-15
27-28
22-25
32-13
27-22
20-18
23-29
18-26
28-24
20-20
27-31
24-22
3-12
23-28
25-24
28-15
28-19
28-16
22-20
22-20
24-18
15-17
10-19
8-23
19-21
15-29
174.2Avg total
87.8Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.380.3161.7+1.067%
Season at home (2)67.583.5151.0-16.050%
Season away (1)109.074.0183.0+35.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.886.4174.2+1.450%
Last 5 (5)82.086.6168.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.579.0155.5-2.550%
vs Similar (14)82.587.6170.1-5.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)92.072.3164.3+19.779%
This opponent (Tromso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
TromsoBaerum
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TromsoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Asker
#10
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A18/02
BLNO
Froya
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A19/02
BLNO
Fyllingen
#4
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H04/03
BLNO
Oppsal
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H11/03
BLNO
Froya
#3
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H16/03
BLNO
Froya
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A19/03
BLNO
Oppsal
#12
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H23/09
BLNO
Oppsal
#12
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H24/09
BLNO
Nidaros Jets
#10
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A30/09
BLNO
Nidaros Jets
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A01/10
BLNO
77.1Avg total
40.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.538.483.9+7.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.534.883.3+13.787%-
Last 30 away (15)42.541.984.5+0.633%-
Last 10 (10)40.236.977.1+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)35.632.868.4+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)40.844.885.5-4.025%-
vs Similar (5)46.647.694.2-1.020%-
vs Weaker (21)46.235.081.1+11.276%-
This opponent (Baerum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaerumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Froya
#3
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A12/03
BLNO
Fyllingen
#4
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A16/03
BLNO
Fyllingen
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H19/03
BLNO
Gimle
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A29/03
BLNO
Gimle
#1
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H02/04
BLNO
Gimle
#1
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A04/04
BLNO
Gimle
#1
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H11/04
BLNO
Ammerud
#11
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A24/09
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H26/09
BLNO
Froya
#6
L
18-42
18
42
-24
H01/10
BLNO
85.8Avg total
43.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.582.7+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.338.683.9+6.875%-
Last 30 away (14)40.940.581.4+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.885.8+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.445.887.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.541.584.0+1.050%-
vs Similar (14)40.244.484.6-4.229%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.434.280.6+12.193%-
This opponent (Tromso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tromsotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tromso: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
53%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.723.0
53.9%
51.7%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.0
30.0%
31.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.013.3
78.4%
69.4%13.3
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baerumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baerum: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
53%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.024.0
52.2%
51.7%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.06.7
24.7%
31.9%20.0
🏀 Free throws17.312.7
73.1%
69.4%12.7
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tromso
WWWLLLWWLW
Baerum
LWWLLWLWWL
#7
League position
#5
+16.5
Net rating
+1.3
100.6
Offensive rating
104.4
84.1
Defensive rating
103.2
50.5%
Effective FG%
46.6%
41.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
20.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
37.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.0%
3-point %
24.7%
53.8%
Assist %
52.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 104.4Defence84.1 · 103.2Shooting50.5% · 46.6%3-point %30.0% · 24.7%Ball care20.9% · 16.5%Off. rebounds33.3% · 37.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Tromso   ■ Baerum
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Tromso wins
7
Baerum wins
DateGameScore
05/02/23Baerum v Tromso95-80
27/01/23Tromso v Baerum91-89
23/10/22Baerum v Tromso94-89
08/02/22Tromso v Baerum76-94
13/11/21Baerum v Tromso87-71
17/10/21Baerum v Tromso87-66
10/01/21Baerum v Tromso100-84
13/12/20Tromso v Baerum77-66
01/11/20Baerum v Tromso93-87
08/12/19Tromso v Baerum90-80
Tromsolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/23ANidaros Jets83-80
30/09/23ANidaros Jets83-64
24/09/23HOppsal86-65
23/09/23HOppsal81-86 OT
19/03/23AFroya90-96 OT
16/03/23HFroya79-85
11/03/23HOppsal100-75
04/03/23HFyllingen113-109
19/02/23AFroya80-100
18/02/23AAsker95-69
Baerumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/23HFroya52-92
26/09/23HKongsberg Miners83-75
24/09/23AAmmerud109-74
11/04/23HGimle77-93
04/04/23AGimle89-99
02/04/23HGimle101-78
29/03/23AGimle81-87
19/03/23HFyllingen87-73
16/03/23AFyllingen109-95
12/03/23AFroya90-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tromso
BLNO 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game83.283.583.0
Allowed / game73.875.572.0
Point differential+9.5+8.0+11.0
Avg total157.0159.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
Baerum
BLNO 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game81.367.5109.0
Allowed / game80.383.574.0
Point differential+1.0-16.0+35.0
Avg total161.7151.0183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Froya440100%94.261.2+33.0
2 Tromso43175%83.273.8+9.5
3 Kongsberg Miners32167%78.371.0+7.3
4 Centrum Tigers32167%82.776.3+6.3
5 Baerum32167%81.380.3+1.0
6 Gimle31233%73.375.3-2.0
7 Asker31233%84.393.7-9.3
8 Oppsal31233%73.083.3-10.3
9 Nidaros Jets41325%69.576.2-6.8
10 Fyllingen2020%73.588.5-15.0
11 Ammerud2020%59.0105.0-46.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tromso1716262180
Baerum2021122174
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