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Tromso vs Baerum Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 92-83
19-21 23-23 33-26 17-13
Position#7
Record5-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game82.2
Tromso 🏆
Norway
vs
Position#5
Record6-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game79.8
NorwayBLNO· Troms
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tromso v Baerum
03 Oct 2026
TROM115
BAER75
26 Oct 2024
TROM84
BAER95
11 Nov 2023
TROM92
BAER83
07 Oct 2023
TROM80
BAER74
27 Jan 2023
TROM91
BAER89
08 Feb 2022
TROM76
BAER94
13 Dec 2020
TROM77
BAER66
08 Dec 2019
TROM90
BAER80
13 Mar 2019
TROM82
BAER70
25 Nov 2018
TROM100
BAER90
25 Feb 2018
TROM81
BAER78
26 Nov 2017
TROM85
BAER83
19 Feb 2017
TROM62
BAER102
09 Oct 2016
TROM59
BAER66
01 Nov 2015
TROM82
BAER72
21 Mar 2015
TROM79
BAER81
15 Feb 2015
TROM87
BAER71
26 Oct 2014
TROM75
BAER72
02 Mar 2014
TROM78
BAER85
02 Feb 2014
TROM74
BAER67
17 Mar 2013
TROM65
BAER81
20 Jan 2013
TROM89
BAER78
07 Oct 2012
TROM75
BAER56
17 Mar 2012
TROM87
BAER91
12 Apr 2011
TROM74
BAER78
03 Apr 2011
TROM83
BAER90
01 Apr 2011
TROM87
BAER78
27 Feb 2011
TROM101
BAER73
10 Oct 2010
TROM103
BAER98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tromso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Baerum winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TromsoNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTromso
Date
Competition
Froya
#3
L
90-96 OT
90
96
-6
no box
A19/03
BLNO
Oppsal
#12
L
81-86 OT
81
86
-5
no box
H23/09
BLNO
Oppsal
#12
W
86-65
86
65
+21
71avg 66
H24/09
BLNO
Nidaros Jets
#10
W
83-64
83
64
+19
81avg 66
A30/09
BLNO
Nidaros Jets
#10
W
83-80
83
80
+3
72avg 66
A01/10
BLNO
Baerum
#5
W
80-74
80
74
+6
67avg 66
H07/10
BLNO
Fyllingen
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
9avg 66
A14/10
BLNO
Froya
#6
L
79-102
79
102
-23
66avg 66
A15/10
BLNO
Asker
#9
W
85-84
85
84
+1
77avg 66
H21/10
BLNO
Fyllingen
#1
L
88-101
88
101
-13
86avg 66
H04/11
BLNO
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
25-17
28-26
13-18
15-18
15-13
25-16
19-27
17-8
22-18
23-26
24-13
19-19
15-16
21-14
28-15
22-19
16-19
18-13
27-29
17-20
16-21
26-12
21-21
16-23
17-21
27-15
17-25
16-23
27-28
21-23
15-28
19-17
18-23
20-27
28-17
25-19
22-28
20-23
21-31
166.8Avg total
83.2Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.482.2164.7+0.256%
Season at home (5)84.082.0166.0+2.060%
Season away (4)80.582.5163.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)83.283.6166.8-0.450%
Last 5 (5)81.889.0170.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)82.188.1170.2-6.038%
vs Similar (4)95.098.5193.5-3.550%
vs Weaker (18)92.178.3170.3+13.872%
This opponent (Baerum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaerumNorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBaerum
Date
Competition
Ammerud
#11
W
109-74
109
74
+35
106avg 75
A24/09
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#2
W
83-75
83
75
+8
65avg 75
H26/09
BLNO
Froya
#6
L
52-92
52
92
-40
no box
H01/10
BLNO
Tromso
#7
L
74-80
74
80
-6
60avg 75
A07/10
BLNO
Asker
#9
W
93-86
93
86
+7
94avg 75
H15/10
BLNO
Gimle
#4
W
89-76
89
76
+13
88avg 75
A21/10
BLNO
Fyllingen
#1
L
76-88
76
88
-12
67avg 75
A22/10
BLNO
Centrum Tigers
#3
L
56-66
56
66
-10
43avg 75
A02/11
BLNO
Nidaros Jets
#10
W
80-78
80
78
+2
77avg 75
H05/11
BLNO
Oppsal
#12
W
89-83
89
83
+6
74avg 75
H07/11
BLNO
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
28-15
28-19
28-16
22-20
22-20
24-18
15-17
10-19
8-23
19-21
15-29
20-17
21-16
12-26
21-21
26-18
22-24
23-11
22-33
27-16
27-21
19-24
16-15
15-18
16-19
19-25
26-26
17-18
14-19
10-15
15-14
19-19
18-24
20-16
23-19
21-19
22-22
24-18
22-24
159.9Avg total
80.1Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.179.8159.9+0.360%
Season at home (5)79.482.8162.2-3.480%
Season away (5)80.876.8157.6+4.040%
Last 10 (10)80.179.8159.9+0.360%
Last 5 (5)78.078.2156.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.580.5160.0-1.050%
vs Similar (12)83.789.3173.0-5.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)93.578.9172.4+14.671%
This opponent (Tromso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
TromsoBaerum
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TromsoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Froya
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A19/03
BLNO
Oppsal
#12
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H23/09
BLNO
Oppsal
#12
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H24/09
BLNO
Nidaros Jets
#10
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A30/09
BLNO
Nidaros Jets
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A01/10
BLNO
Baerum
#5
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H07/10
BLNO
Fyllingen
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A14/10
BLNO
Froya
#6
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A15/10
BLNO
Asker
#9
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H21/10
BLNO
Fyllingen
#1
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H04/11
BLNO
75.8Avg total
37.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.482.7+3.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.936.582.4+9.567%-
Last 30 away (15)40.542.482.9-1.927%-
Last 10 (10)37.138.775.8-1.620%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.683.2-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.945.285.1-5.412%-
vs Similar (4)47.246.894.0+0.525%-
vs Weaker (18)43.835.279.1+8.667%-
This opponent (Baerum) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BaerumLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ammerud
#11
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A24/09
BLNO
Kongsberg Miners
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H26/09
BLNO
Froya
#6
L
18-42
18
42
-24
H01/10
BLNO
Tromso
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A07/10
BLNO
Asker
#9
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H15/10
BLNO
Gimle
#4
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A21/10
BLNO
Fyllingen
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A22/10
BLNO
Centrum Tigers
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A02/11
BLNO
Nidaros Jets
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/11
BLNO
Oppsal
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H07/11
BLNO
79.1Avg total
40.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.185.1+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.941.788.7+5.273%-
Last 30 away (15)41.140.581.6+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.179.1+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.078.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.539.281.8+3.250%-
vs Similar (12)41.246.187.3-4.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.937.484.2+9.586%-
This opponent (Tromso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tromsotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tromso: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
53%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.923.0
51.3%
51.7%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.8
32.3%
31.9%23.2
🏀 Free throws16.112.6
78.3%
69.4%12.6
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baerumtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Baerum: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
53%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.522.0
51.8%
51.7%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.5
28.8%
31.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.912.6
70.4%
69.4%12.6
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tromso
LWLLWWWWLL
Baerum
WWLLWWLLWW
#7
League position
#5
+1.1
Net rating
+0.1
101.9
Offensive rating
101.4
100.8
Defensive rating
101.3
50.3%
Effective FG%
48.5%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
19.1%
Turnover %
20.0%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.3%
3-point %
28.8%
50.4%
Assist %
56.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 101.4Defence100.8 · 101.3Shooting50.3% · 48.5%3-point %32.3% · 28.8%Ball care19.1% · 20.0%Off. rebounds30.9% · 35.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Tromso   ■ Baerum
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Tromso wins
7
Baerum wins
DateGameScore
07/10/23Tromso v Baerum80-74
05/02/23Baerum v Tromso95-80
27/01/23Tromso v Baerum91-89
23/10/22Baerum v Tromso94-89
08/02/22Tromso v Baerum76-94
13/11/21Baerum v Tromso87-71
17/10/21Baerum v Tromso87-66
10/01/21Baerum v Tromso100-84
13/12/20Tromso v Baerum77-66
01/11/20Baerum v Tromso93-87
Tromsolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HFyllingen88-101
21/10/23HAsker85-84
15/10/23AFroya79-102
14/10/23AFyllingen77-84
07/10/23HBaerum80-74
01/10/23ANidaros Jets83-80
30/09/23ANidaros Jets83-64
24/09/23HOppsal86-65
23/09/23HOppsal81-86 OT
19/03/23AFroya90-96 OT
Baerumlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/23HOppsal89-83
05/11/23HNidaros Jets80-78
02/11/23ACentrum Tigers56-66
22/10/23AFyllingen76-88
21/10/23AGimle89-76
15/10/23HAsker93-86
07/10/23ATromso74-80
01/10/23HFroya52-92
26/09/23HKongsberg Miners83-75
24/09/23AAmmerud109-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tromso
BLNO 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL56%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game82.484.080.5
Allowed / game82.282.082.5
Point differential+0.2+2.0-2.0
Avg total164.7166.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%20%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
Baerum
BLNO 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game80.179.480.8
Allowed / game79.882.876.8
Point differential+0.3-3.4+4.0
Avg total159.9162.2157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Froya108280%88.973.5+15.4
2 Fyllingen108280%94.779.6+15.1
3 Centrum Tigers107370%80.269.7+10.5
4 Kongsberg Miners85362%81.870.1+11.6
5 Baerum106460%80.179.8+0.3
6 Tromso95456%82.482.2+0.2
7 Asker94544%86.185.2+0.9
8 Nidaros Jets125742%79.783.4-3.8
9 Gimle93633%75.077.6-2.6
10 Oppsal91811%71.992.1-20.2
11 Ammerud8080%68.9102.1-33.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tromso1923331792
Baerum2123261383
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