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Troy vs Sam Houston St. Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 86-88 (OT)
42-33 36-45 8-10
Position#98
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game65.5
vs
Position#93
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game72.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sam Houston St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#278
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A19/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
82-78 OT
82
78
+4
A23/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
95-74
95
74
+21
H25/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H02/03
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A04/03
NCAA
Fort Lauderdale
#601
W
92-47
92
47
+45
H06/11
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A09/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
80-81 OT
80
81
-1
A11/11
NCAA
Reinhardt
#651
W
111-46
111
46
+65
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-27
37-35
30-38
48-50
32-41
35-26
49-31
46-43
30-34
33-25
35-40
37-35
38-18
54-29
28-43
42-45
32-32
29-29
58-20
53-26
150.8Avg total
81.0Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.265.5153.8+22.850%
Season at home (2)101.546.5148.0+55.0100%
Season away (2)75.084.5159.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)81.069.8150.8+11.260%
Last 5 (5)85.067.4152.4+17.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.084.0163.0-5.00%
vs Similar (11)62.469.7132.1-7.418%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)76.764.3140.9+12.487%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#102
W
64-59 OT
64
59
+5
A02/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H04/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H09/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H11/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#19
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A16/03
NIT
North Texas
#1
L
55-75
55
75
-20
A19/03
NIT
Pacific
#361
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A07/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
L
73-79 OT
73
79
-6
H10/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A12/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A18/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
27-21
0-0
27-33
0-0
32-21
0-0
40-33
0-0
33-17
0-0
31-34
0-0
42-36
0-0
33-42
0-0
30-26
0-0
28-30
0-0
19-38
0-0
36-37
0-0
25-25
0-0
39-32
0-0
27-24
0-0
37-40
0-0
30-38
0-0
40-47
0-0
33-31
0-0
34-39
132.6Avg total
66.2Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.572.8141.2-4.225%
Season at home (1)73.079.0152.0-6.00%
Season away (3)67.070.7137.7-3.733%
Last 10 (10)66.266.4132.6-0.250%
Last 5 (5)65.873.2139.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)55.075.0130.0-20.00%
vs Similar (2)70.074.5144.5-4.50%
vs Weaker (26)69.861.5131.3+8.373%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: -2.2-2.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: -2.2-2.2
TroySam Houston St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#278
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A17/02
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A23/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H25/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H02/03
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A04/03
NCAA
Fort Lauderdale
#601
W
38-18
38
18
+20
H06/11
NCAA
Ohio
#120
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A09/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A11/11
NCAA
Reinhardt
#651
W
58-20
58
20
+38
H15/11
NCAA
68.6Avg total
36.2Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.531.864.4+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.929.966.8+7.164%-
Last 30 away (16)28.733.662.2-4.925%-
Last 10 (10)36.232.468.6+3.840%-
Last 5 (5)38.230.668.8+7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.737.773.3-2.033%-
vs Similar (11)26.633.860.5-7.218%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)35.930.166.0+5.760%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#102
W
27-21
27
21
+6
A02/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#227
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H04/03
NCAA
California Baptist
#184
W
33-17
33
17
+16
H09/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H11/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#19
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A16/03
NIT
North Texas
#1
L
19-38
19
38
-19
A19/03
NIT
Pacific
#361
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A07/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#207
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H10/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#297
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A12/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#109
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A18/11
NCAA
57.5Avg total
29.8Scored
27.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.628.961.5+3.670%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.524.960.4+10.585%-
Last 30 away (17)30.432.062.4-1.659%-
Last 10 (10)29.827.757.5+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)26.831.258.0-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)19.038.057.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (2)30.027.557.5+2.5100%-
vs Weaker (26)33.428.862.2+4.669%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Troy wins
0
Sam Houston St. wins
No previous meetings.
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23HReinhardt111-46
11/11/23AOregon State80-81 OT
09/11/23AOhio70-88
06/11/23HFort Lauderdale92-47
04/03/23AJames Madison72-75
02/03/23HArkansas State63-59
25/02/23HCoastal Carolina95-74
23/02/23ALouisiana Monroe82-78 OT
19/02/23AMarshall78-88
17/02/23AArkansas State67-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23AOle Miss67-70
12/11/23AOklahoma State70-85
10/11/23HUtah Valley State73-79 OT
07/11/23APacific64-57
19/03/23ANorth Texas55-75
16/03/23ASanta Clara58-56
11/03/23HGrand Canyon75-78
09/03/23HCalifornia Baptist64-51
04/03/23HAbilene Christian72-54
02/03/23AStephen F. Austin64-59 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game88.2101.575.0
Allowed / game65.546.584.5
Point differential+22.8+55.0-9.5
Avg total153.8148.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game68.573.067.0
Allowed / game72.879.070.7
Point differential-4.2-6.0-3.7
Avg total141.2152.0137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%100%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 James Madison440100%93.885.8+8.0
2 Troy42250%88.265.5+22.8
3 Louisiana Lafayette42250%85.574.0+11.5
4 Georgia State42250%79.076.5+2.5
5 Marshall42250%72.872.8+0.0
6 Texas State42250%66.872.8-6.0
7 South Alabama63350%75.882.0-6.2
8 Southern Miss52340%65.260.0+5.2
9 Appalachian State31233%78.773.7+5.0
10 Old Dominion31233%72.072.0+0.0
11 Louisiana Monroe31233%56.073.7-17.7
12 Coastal Carolina41325%79.285.2-6.0
13 Arkansas State41325%81.290.0-8.8
14 Georgia Southern5050%69.283.4-14.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UTEP440100%100.870.5+30.2
2 Liberty550100%83.260.6+22.6
3 Delaware440100%80.562.2+18.2
4 Kennesaw State54180%87.272.8+14.4
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%73.261.8+11.5
6 Western Kentucky43175%83.072.8+10.2
7 Missouri State43175%67.262.2+5.0
8 Louisiana Tech32167%82.062.3+19.7
9 New Mexico State53260%71.668.0+3.6
10 Jacksonville State41325%71.563.2+8.2
11 Sam Houston St.41325%68.572.8-4.2
12 Florida International61517%71.780.7-9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Troy4236886
Sam Houston St.33451088
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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