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Arkansas State vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 62-67
27-30 35-37
Position#278
Record10-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game64.8
Allowed / game67.3
vs
Troy 🏆
USA
Position#115
Record16-11
FormLLWWW
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game65.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Arkansas State v Troy
07 Jan 2026
ARKA86
TROY74
15 Feb 2025
ARKA70
TROY71
22 Feb 2024
ARKA79
TROY71
16 Feb 2023
ARKA62
TROY67
11 Jan 2020
ARKA76
TROY68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#236
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H13/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
57-74
57
74
-17
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H20/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
78-87 OT
78
87
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A27/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
51-63
51
63
-12
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
62-82
62
82
-20
H03/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H04/02
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-28
34-33
33-33
24-41
30-43
41-37
23-31
48-40
27-33
30-40
25-31
26-32
30-44
32-38
28-24
45-33
30-33
32-33
24-30
29-38
133.3Avg total
62.2Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)64.867.3132.1-2.537%
Season at home (16)70.867.1137.9+3.856%
Season away (11)56.067.6123.6-11.69%
Last 10 (10)62.271.1133.3-8.910%
Last 5 (5)60.267.2127.4-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)61.372.8134.1-11.59%
vs Similar (12)62.666.4129.0-3.842%
vs Weaker (6)75.062.5137.5+12.583%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#320
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A13/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A14/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H21/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A27/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A28/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H03/02
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H05/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H10/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H11/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-27
35-26
20-25
25-33
42-35
32-39
31-27
46-26
17-41
40-31
25-37
35-40
23-30
42-44
45-24
23-40
27-34
34-23
30-35
50-30
132.7Avg total
66.5Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)72.565.5138.0+7.059%
Season at home (14)80.164.1144.2+16.179%
Season away (13)64.267.0131.2-2.838%
Last 10 (10)66.566.2132.7+0.350%
Last 5 (5)66.867.4134.2-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.089.0176.0-2.00%
vs Similar (12)62.468.6131.0-6.217%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)72.862.6135.4+10.292%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.6-5.61st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: +3.0+3.0
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.6-5.61st half: -2.5-2.52nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: +3.0+3.0
Arkansas StateTroy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas State
#236
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H13/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H14/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H20/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
23-31
23
31
-8
H21/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A27/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H03/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#294
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H04/02
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A10/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A11/02
NCAA
60.4Avg total
27.4Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.031.961.9-2.027%-
Last 30 at home (19)31.932.764.6-0.832%-
Last 30 away (11)26.630.557.2-3.918%-
Last 10 (10)27.433.060.4-5.610%-
Last 5 (5)27.432.459.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)27.333.761.0-6.50%-
vs Similar (12)28.331.559.8-3.225%-
vs Weaker (6)36.530.266.7+6.367%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia State
#320
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A13/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
20-25
20
25
-5
A14/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H21/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
17-41
17
41
-24
A27/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A28/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#21
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H03/02
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H05/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H10/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H11/02
NCAA
60.5Avg total
29.0Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.231.364.5+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.530.167.6+7.469%-
Last 30 away (14)28.232.660.9-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)29.031.560.5-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)30.032.062.0-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (12)27.232.860.1-5.625%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)33.829.263.0+4.769%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Arkansas State wins
2
Troy wins
DateGameScore
07/01/23Troy v Arkansas State66-54
11/02/22Troy v Arkansas State79-77
25/01/20Troy v Arkansas State62-78
11/01/20Arkansas State v Troy76-68 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23AGeorgia Southern53-68
10/02/23ATexas State62-66
04/02/23HCoastal Carolina73-57
03/02/23HSouth Alabama62-82
28/01/23AAppalachian State51-63
27/01/23ASouthern Miss57-73
21/01/23HMarshall78-87 OT
20/01/23HLouisiana Lafayette71-80
14/01/23HSouthern Miss57-74
13/01/23HTexas State58-61
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/23HLouisiana Lafayette80-65
10/02/23HSouth Alabama61-57
05/02/23HTexas State68-64
03/02/23HSouthern Miss65-74
28/01/23ASouth Alabama60-77
27/01/23ALouisiana Lafayette57-72
21/01/23HLouisiana Monroe77-53
20/01/23HJames Madison87-89 OT
14/01/23AAppalachian State45-58
13/01/23AGeorgia State65-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL37%
HomeLLLLW56%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %37%56%9%
Points / game64.870.856.0
Allowed / game67.367.167.6
Point differential-2.5+3.8-11.6
Avg total132.1137.9123.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Troy
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW59%
HomeWLWWW79%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %59%79%38%
Points / game72.580.164.2
Allowed / game65.564.167.0
Point differential+7.0+16.1-2.8
Avg total138.0144.2131.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%57%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss2823582%75.064.9+10.1
2 Marshall2822679%82.270.6+11.5
3 Louisiana Lafayette2721678%79.571.1+8.4
4 James Madison2819968%81.166.8+14.3
5 Troy27161159%72.565.5+7.0
6 Old Dominion27161159%67.566.4+1.1
7 Appalachian State28151354%70.864.3+6.5
8 South Alabama28141450%70.565.6+4.9
9 Georgia Southern28141450%69.066.9+2.1
10 Texas State28121643%65.066.4-1.4
11 Coastal Carolina27111641%73.672.6+1.0
12 Louisiana Monroe28111739%68.469.4-0.9
13 Georgia State27101737%66.767.6-0.9
14 Arkansas State27101737%64.867.3-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State273562
Troy303767
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