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Truenos De Talca vs Sergio Ceppi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 90-62
24-15 22-9 26-16 18-22
Position#2
Record8-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game68.1
Truenos De Talca 🏆
Chile
vs
Sergio Ceppi
Chile
Position#6
Record10-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game72.5
ChileLNB 2· Cendyr Sur
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Truenos De Talca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sergio Ceppi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Truenos De TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
66avg 58
A20/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
57-61
57
61
-4
36avg 58
A21/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
70-58
70
58
+12
64avg 58
A28/04
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
W
77-65
77
65
+12
69avg 58
H01/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
72avg 58
H05/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
61-59
61
59
+2
53avg 58
A12/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
75-72
75
72
+3
32avg 58
H19/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
57-43
57
43
+14
47avg 58
A25/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
62-78
62
78
-16
51avg 58
H02/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
72-54
72
54
+18
67avg 58
A08/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
18-15
20-26
24-13
16-23
12-15
13-11
16-12
23-22
24-10
14-14
9-12
13-22
19-14
26-14
19-15
26-15
17-21
21-29
23-19
9-21
21-16
24-12
7-10
17-11
20-15
16-20
22-26
23-16
6-13
12-7
16-7
10-16
15-18
16-24
21-20
12-11
24-14
21-17
15-12
134.5Avg total
69.3Scored
65.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)70.868.1138.9+2.657%
Season at home (6)75.272.5147.7+2.767%
Season away (8)67.564.9132.4+2.650%
Last 10 (10)69.365.2134.5+4.170%
Last 5 (5)65.461.2126.6+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)65.980.1146.0-14.20%
vs Similar (5)70.466.4136.8+4.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)71.865.8137.5+6.069%
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sergio CeppiChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeppi
Date
Competition
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
102avg 68
A14/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
91-58
91
58
+33
93avg 68
H21/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
53-74
53
74
-21
31avg 68
A28/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
82-73
82
73
+9
88avg 68
H05/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 68
A11/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
69-87
69
87
-18
54avg 68
H19/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
63-80
63
80
-17
48avg 68
H26/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
W
93-91
93
91
+2
83avg 68
A01/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
58-55
58
55
+3
40avg 68
A02/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
68-67
68
67
+1
61avg 68
H09/06
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
12-18
6-16
29-22
27-8
20-12
16-18
28-20
10-13
15-11
11-23
17-27
27-13
18-21
20-22
17-17
23-18
24-19
17-20
17-27
22-21
15-20
12-26
20-20
18-15
13-26
10-18
22-21
24-27
22-21
30-21
17-22
18-21
13-15
12-9
15-10
11-13
12-15
24-24
21-15
152.5Avg total
76.0Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.772.5147.3+2.267%
Season at home (8)75.068.1143.1+6.975%
Season away (7)74.477.6152.0-3.157%
Last 10 (10)76.076.5152.5-0.560%
Last 5 (5)70.276.0146.2-5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)73.088.8161.8-15.825%
vs Similar (17)71.066.0137.0+5.076%
vs Weaker (5)75.274.4149.6+0.860%
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
Truenos De TalcaSergio Ceppi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Truenos De TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A20/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A21/04
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A28/04
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H01/05
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H05/05
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A12/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H19/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A25/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H02/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A08/06
LNB 2
67.0Avg total
33.8Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.434.268.7+0.245%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.933.468.3+1.546%-
Last 30 away (16)34.034.968.9-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)33.833.267.0+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)31.430.261.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.637.672.1-3.033%-
vs Similar (5)35.430.666.0+4.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)34.033.567.5+0.547%-
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sergio CeppiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A14/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H21/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A28/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H05/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A11/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H19/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H26/05
LNB 2
Aleman
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A01/06
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A02/06
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H09/06
LNB 2
72.0Avg total
37.3Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)36.037.073.0-1.052%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.634.069.6+1.655%-
Last 30 away (12)36.239.876.0-3.550%-
Last 10 (10)37.334.772.0+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)33.638.872.4-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.748.484.1-12.714%-
vs Similar (13)35.731.867.5+3.962%-
vs Weaker (3)37.733.070.7+4.7100%-
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Truenos De Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Truenos De Talca: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.218.8
46.8%
44.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.55.9
26.2%
28.7%17.7
🏀 Free throws20.013.2
66.0%
63.6%13.2
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sergio Ceppitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sergio Ceppi: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.521.2
44.6%
44.9%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.2
31.3%
28.7%18.6
🏀 Free throws22.514.4
64.0%
63.6%14.4
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Truenos De Talca
WLWWWWWWLL
Sergio Ceppi
WWWLLLWLWW
#2
League position
#6
+5.4
Net rating
-0.8
94.6
Offensive rating
89.7
89.2
Defensive rating
90.5
44.1%
Effective FG%
45.3%
44.9%
Opp. effective FG%
43.9%
18.2%
Turnover %
23.9%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
26.2%
3-point %
31.3%
48.6%
Assist %
52.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 89.7Defence89.2 · 90.5Shooting44.1% · 45.3%3-point %26.2% · 31.3%Ball care18.2% · 23.9%Off. rebounds30.5% · 31.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Truenos De Talca   ■ Sergio Ceppi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Truenos De Talca wins
1
Sergio Ceppi wins
DateGameScore
13/04/24Sergio Ceppi v Truenos De Talca85-73
Truenos De Talcalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/06/24AMunicipal Chillan72-54
02/06/24HColo Colo62-78
25/05/24AArabe Valparaiso57-43
19/05/24HLuis Matte Larrain75-72
12/05/24ABrisas61-59
05/05/24HArturo Prat San Felipe87-84
01/05/24HAleman77-65
28/04/24ABoston C. C.70-58
21/04/24AQuilpue Basquetbol57-61
20/04/24AStadio Italiano75-78
Sergio Ceppilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/06/24HStadio Italiano68-67
02/06/24AMunicipal Chillan58-55
01/06/24AAleman93-91
26/05/24HBoston C. C.63-80
19/05/24HColo Colo69-87
11/05/24AArabe Valparaiso81-84
05/05/24HQuilpue Basquetbol82-73
28/04/24ALuis Matte Larrain53-74
21/04/24HBrisas91-58
14/04/24AArturo Prat San Felipe102-96 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Truenos De Talca
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW57%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game70.875.267.5
Allowed / game68.172.564.9
Point differential+2.6+2.7+2.6
Avg total138.9147.7132.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sergio Ceppi
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW67%
HomeWWLLW75%
AwayWLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%75%57%
Points / game74.775.074.4
Allowed / game72.568.177.6
Point differential+2.2+6.9-3.1
Avg total147.3143.1152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo14140100%85.564.9+20.6
2 Sergio Ceppi1510567%74.772.5+2.2
3 Boston C. C.1610662%71.268.1+3.1
4 Truenos De Talca148657%70.868.1+2.6
5 Aleman158753%74.071.1+2.9
6 Stadio Italiano158753%66.564.6+1.9
7 Arabe Valparaiso147750%66.770.3-3.6
8 Luis Matte Larrain146843%69.171.0-1.9
9 Quilpue Basquetbol146843%66.870.1-3.3
10 Municipal Chillan1661038%61.867.9-6.2
11 Brisas1321115%67.273.2-6.0
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe1421214%72.585.4-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Truenos De Talca2422261890
Sergio Ceppi159162262
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