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Aleman vs Sergio Ceppi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 91-93
27-24 21-22 21-30 22-17
Position#3
Record7-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game69.9
vs
Position#6
Record7-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game72.9
ChileLNB 2· Polideportivo Aleman
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aleman winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sergio Ceppi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlemanChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAleman
Date
Competition
Boston C. C.
#5
W
84-64
84
64
+20
76avg 63
A31/03
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
52-68
52
68
-16
38avg 63
H13/04
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
78-55
78
55
+23
72avg 63
H20/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
88-87
88
87
+1
87avg 63
A28/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
65-77
65
77
-12
49avg 63
A01/05
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
H04/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
78avg 63
A12/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
76-64
76
64
+12
69avg 63
H18/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
69-63
69
63
+6
58avg 63
H19/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
67-69
67
69
-2
48avg 63
A25/05
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
24-16
26-17
14-15
14-17
16-14
15-20
7-17
24-14
29-18
19-14
6-9
22-25
26-9
19-30
21-23
22-13
14-19
14-26
15-19
–
–
–
–
15-24
15-27
24-23
29-21
23-15
25-16
16-16
12-17
12-21
23-15
17-13
17-14
21-20
15-20
19-11
12-18
145.0Avg total
74.2Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.269.9143.2+3.358%
Season at home (6)71.362.5133.8+8.883%
Season away (6)75.277.3152.5-2.233%
Last 10 (10)74.270.8145.0+3.460%
Last 5 (5)75.071.4146.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)57.486.3143.6-28.911%
vs Similar ◀ (5)70.673.6144.2-3.040%
vs Weaker (6)73.862.7136.5+11.283%
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sergio CeppiChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeppi
Date
Competition
Boston C. C.
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
77avg 69
A04/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
56-67
56
67
-11
45avg 69
A06/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
85-73
85
73
+12
84avg 69
H13/04
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
102avg 69
A14/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
91-58
91
58
+33
93avg 69
H21/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
53-74
53
74
-21
31avg 69
A28/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
82-73
82
73
+9
88avg 69
H05/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 69
A11/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
69-87
69
87
-18
54avg 69
H19/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
63-80
63
80
-17
48avg 69
H26/05
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
19-22
15-14
24-16
13-23
15-17
21-5
7-22
18-17
26-18
21-20
20-18
29-20
12-18
6-16
29-22
27-8
20-12
16-18
28-20
10-13
15-11
11-23
17-27
27-13
18-21
20-22
17-17
23-18
24-19
17-20
17-27
22-21
15-20
12-26
20-20
18-15
13-26
10-18
22-21
152.8Avg total
76.0Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.272.9148.1+2.258%
Season at home (7)76.068.3144.3+7.771%
Season away (5)74.079.4153.4-5.440%
Last 10 (10)76.076.8152.8-0.850%
Last 5 (5)69.679.6149.2-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.687.0158.6-15.422%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.765.2135.9+5.573%
vs Weaker (6)73.373.8147.2-0.550%
This opponent (Aleman) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.9-0.9
AlemanSergio Ceppi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlemanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston C. C.
#5
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A31/03
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H13/04
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H20/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A28/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A01/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A12/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H18/05
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/05
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A25/05
LNB 2
75.4Avg total
40.0Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)31.941.373.2-9.525%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.440.172.5-7.621%-
Last 30 away (14)31.342.673.9-11.329%-
Last 10 (9)40.035.475.4+4.656%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.075.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)27.645.773.3-18.16%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.033.470.4+3.660%-
vs Weaker (5)42.033.675.6+8.460%-
This opponent (Sergio Ceppi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sergio CeppiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston C. C.
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A04/04
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A06/04
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H13/04
LNB 2
Arturo Prat San Felipe
#12
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A14/04
LNB 2
Brisas
#11
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H21/04
LNB 2
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A28/04
LNB 2
Quilpue Basquetbol
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H05/05
LNB 2
Arabe Valparaiso
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A11/05
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H19/05
LNB 2
Boston C. C.
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H26/05
LNB 2
74.0Avg total
38.4Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)36.437.073.3-0.660%-
Last 30 at home (10)36.934.671.5+2.360%-
Last 30 away (10)35.839.375.1-3.560%-
Last 10 (10)38.435.674.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.472.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.748.484.1-12.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.430.166.5+6.380%-
vs Weaker (3)37.733.070.7+4.7100%-
This opponent (Aleman) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alemantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aleman: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.1
45.5%
44.9%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.57.5
25.4%
28.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.412.7
65.5%
63.6%12.7
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sergio Ceppitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sergio Ceppi: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.6 points a game
54%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.523.2
45.9%
44.9%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.55.4
29.2%
28.7%16.2
🏀 Free throws19.512.8
65.6%
63.6%12.8
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aleman
LWWLWLWWLW
Sergio Ceppi
LLLWLWWWLW
#3
League position
#6
+0.2
Net rating
-1.2
88.9
Offensive rating
88.7
88.7
Defensive rating
89.9
42.4%
Effective FG%
45.4%
44.6%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
19.2%
Turnover %
23.6%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
25.4%
3-point %
29.2%
61.3%
Assist %
60.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence88.9 · 88.7Defence88.7 · 89.9Shooting42.4% · 45.4%3-point %25.4% · 29.2%Ball care19.2% · 23.6%Off. rebounds28.2% · 30.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Aleman   ■ Sergio Ceppi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aleman wins
1
Sergio Ceppi wins
DateGameScore
30/03/24Sergio Ceppi v Aleman72-64
Alemanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/24AMunicipal Chillan67-69
19/05/24HQuilpue Basquetbol69-63
18/05/24HArabe Valparaiso76-64
12/05/24AColo Colo83-95
04/05/24HLuis Matte Larrain80-66
01/05/24ATruenos De Talca65-77
28/04/24ABrisas88-87
20/04/24HArturo Prat San Felipe78-55
13/04/24HStadio Italiano52-68
31/03/24ABoston C. C.84-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/05/24HBoston C. C.63-80
19/05/24HColo Colo69-87
11/05/24AArabe Valparaiso81-84
05/05/24HQuilpue Basquetbol82-73
28/04/24ALuis Matte Larrain53-74
21/04/24HBrisas91-58
14/04/24AArturo Prat San Felipe102-96 OT
13/04/24HTruenos De Talca85-73
06/04/24AStadio Italiano56-67
04/04/24ABoston C. C.78-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aleman
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL58%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game73.271.375.2
Allowed / game69.962.577.3
Point differential+3.3+8.8-2.2
Avg total143.2133.8152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%67%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sergio Ceppi
LNB 2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL58%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%71%40%
Points / game75.276.074.0
Allowed / game72.968.379.4
Point differential+2.2+7.7-5.4
Avg total148.1144.3153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Colo Colo12120100%83.765.7+18.0
2 Aleman127558%73.269.9+3.3
3 Truenos De Talca127558%71.468.5+2.9
4 Stadio Italiano127558%67.664.9+2.7
5 Sergio Ceppi127558%75.272.9+2.2
6 Boston C. C.127558%70.469.0+1.4
7 Luis Matte Larrain126650%69.270.8-1.6
8 Arabe Valparaiso126650%66.169.8-3.8
9 Quilpue Basquetbol125742%66.968.6-1.7
10 Municipal Chillan125742%63.570.0-6.5
11 Brisas1221017%66.872.8-6.1
12 Arturo Prat San Felipe121118%73.184.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aleman2721212291
Sergio Ceppi2422301793
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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