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TSU vs CIU Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 10:00
Projected 85-85
Projected total 170.7
Final 89-96 (OT)
12-22 25-14 22-30 24-17 6-13
Position#6
Record3-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game84.2
TSU
Georgia
Vs
50%
50%
■ TSU 50%■ CIU 50%
Pythia win probability
CIU 🏆
Georgia
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game75.4
GeorgiaSuperleagueRound 7· Olympic Palace
Other2026-27
Meetings · TSU v CIU
13 Nov 2026
TSU89
CIU96
25 Apr 2026
TSU78
CIU70
23 Apr 2026
TSU85
CIU74
20 Dec 2025
TSU93
CIU80
08 Feb 2025
TSU82
CIU87
28 Apr 2024
TSU98
CIU99
20 Apr 2024
TSU100
CIU94
19 Apr 2024
TSU84
CIU89
10 Feb 2024
TSU82
CIU99
30 Oct 2022
TSU61
CIU71
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

The Superleague clash on 13 November 2026 between TSU and CIU is a tight affair with no clear favourite, as the odds sit evenly at 50% for each side. TSU's season has been a rollercoaster, finishing 3-3 overall with an average of 84.5 points scored and 84.2 allowed, placing them 7th in the league, while their home record is 1-1 with 84.5 points for and 80.5 against; the last five games saw two wins and three losses, including a 81-98 defeat away to Kutaisi. CIU, on the other hand, is unbeaten at 5-0, averaging 95.2 points scored and 75.4 allowed, and sits at the top of the standings; their road record is 1-0, 80.0 points for and 71.0 against, and in the last five they have four wins and one loss, highlighted by a 103-89 home victory over Iverioni. Historically, TSU has led the series 7-3, with the most recent meeting ending 80-73 in favour of TSU on 28 April 2026. Pythia projects a score of 85-85, a total of 170.7 points, and assigns a 5% chance of overtime. The model names TSU as the favourite, but the probability of either side winning remains exactly 50%. The game will hinge on whether CIU can sustain its offensive output against TSU's balanced defence, a question that will be answered on the court.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TSU winLost
50.4%fair 1.98
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CIU winWon
49.6%fair 2.02
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 14:18 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TSUGeorgiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTSU
Date
Competition
Batumi
#1
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 78
H21/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
63-91
63
91
-28
40avg 78
H23/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
76-81
76
81
-5
62avg 78
A26/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
81-90 OT
81
90
-9
69avg 78
A28/05
Superleague
Rustavi
#2
W
88-77
88
77
+11
55avg 78
H03/10
Superleague
Margveti
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
72avg 78
A11/10
Superleague
Black Fortress
#11
W
89-82
89
82
+7
80avg 78
A17/10
Superleague
Kutaisi
#10
L
81-98
81
98
-17
71avg 78
A25/10
Superleague
Akhaltsikhe
#5
L
81-84
81
84
-3
73avg 78
H31/10
Superleague
Batumi
#4
L
82-85
82
85
-3
no box
A07/11
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
25-23
12-25
19-14
15-26
18-21
17-16
13-28
14-21
27-21
19-15
16-24
20-16
14-25
23-13
24-27
19-22
22-23
24-15
23-17
10-22
26-28
25-16
25-13
22-22
26-21
13-20
28-19
26-20
18-23
16-29
21-26
21-21
27-21
21-20
12-22
20-30
21-18
20-18
21-19
165.2Avg total
80.9Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.584.2168.7+0.350%
Season at home (2)84.580.5165.0+4.050%
Season away (4)84.586.0170.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)80.984.3165.2-3.440%
Last 5 (5)83.885.6169.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.684.3162.9-5.729%
vs Similar (6)86.081.2167.2+4.883%
vs Weaker (17)86.282.6168.9+3.665%
This opponent (CIU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CIUGeorgiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCIU
Date
Competition
TSU
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
60avg 78
A25/04
Superleague
TSU
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
62avg 78
H28/04
Superleague
Dubrava
#14
L
82-87
82
87
-5
67avg 78
A29/09
ENBL
Black Fortress
#11
W
108-84
108
84
+24
108avg 78
H04/10
Superleague
Kutaisi
#10
W
97-65
97
65
+32
102avg 78
H09/10
Superleague
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
97-88
97
88
+9
91avg 78
H14/10
ENBL
Akhaltsikhe
#5
W
88-68
88
68
+20
87avg 78
H19/10
Superleague
Batumi
#4
W
80-71
80
71
+9
68avg 78
A24/10
Superleague
Jonava
#9
L
67-80
67
80
-13
51avg 78
H28/10
ENBL
Iverioni
#8
W
103-89
103
89
+14
no box
H08/11
Superleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
14-23
24-16
13-22
11-22
26-16
20-22
16-20
26-18
20-28
18-13
18-28
27-18
32-22
24-16
25-28
20-23
19-16
31-12
27-14
28-22
30-23
18-25
21-18
16-15
25-14
25-12
22-27
29-16
25-28
7-20
19-7
18-20
20-17
12-24
17-19
27-18
25-23
26-22
25-26
165.5Avg total
86.5Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)95.275.4170.6+19.8100%
Season at home (4)99.076.5175.5+22.5100%
Season away (1)80.071.0151.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.579.0165.5+7.560%
Last 5 (5)87.079.2166.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.685.6162.2-9.010%
vs Similar (9)87.184.3171.4+2.844%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)89.877.4167.2+12.573%
This opponent (TSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 161Actual: Over 161
Over 161
71.8%
Under 161
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166Actual: Over 166
Over 166
60.5%
Under 166
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171Actual: Over 171
Over 171
48.2%
Under 171
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

TSU total 79.5Actual: TSU over 79.5
Over 79.5
71.3%
Under 79.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSU total 83.5Actual: TSU over 83.5
Over 83.5
56.9%
Under 83.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSU total 87.5Actual: TSU over 87.5
Over 87.5
41.6%
Under 87.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CIU total 78.5Actual: CIU over 78.5
Over 78.5
74.2%
Under 78.5
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CIU total 82.5Actual: CIU over 82.5
Over 82.5
60.3%
Under 82.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CIU total 86.5Actual: CIU over 86.5
Over 86.5
45.0%
Under 86.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread TSU -3Actual: CIU +3
TSU -3
41.3%
CIU +3
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
TSU
No market prices yet.
CIU
No market prices yet.
Spread TSU 0Actual: CIU 0
TSU 0
50.4%
CIU 0
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
TSU
No market prices yet.
CIU
No market prices yet.
Spread TSU +3Actual: CIU -3
TSU +3
59.5%
CIU -3
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
TSU
No market prices yet.
CIU
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
TSUCIU
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Batumi
#1
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H21/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H23/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A26/05
Superleague
Batumi
#1
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A28/05
Superleague
Rustavi
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H03/10
Superleague
Margveti
#9
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A11/10
Superleague
Black Fortress
#11
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A17/10
Superleague
Kutaisi
#10
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A25/10
Superleague
Akhaltsikhe
#5
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H31/10
Superleague
Batumi
#4
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A07/11
Superleague
85.5Avg total
41.7Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.584.2+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.842.484.2-0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)43.540.784.2+2.856%-
Last 10 (10)41.743.885.5-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.445.288.6-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)40.742.983.6-2.129%-
vs Similar (6)44.343.587.8+0.867%-
vs Weaker (17)42.940.283.2+2.759%-
This opponent (CIU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CIULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
TSU
#2
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A25/04
Superleague
TSU
#2
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H28/04
Superleague
Dubrava
#14
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A29/09
ENBL
Black Fortress
#11
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H04/10
Superleague
Kutaisi
#10
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H09/10
Superleague
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H14/10
ENBL
Akhaltsikhe
#5
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H19/10
Superleague
Batumi
#4
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A24/10
Superleague
Jonava
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/10
ENBL
Iverioni
#8
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H08/11
Superleague
85.6Avg total
45.7Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.483.6+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.440.385.6+5.171%-
Last 30 away (13)40.440.681.0-0.254%-
Last 10 (10)45.739.985.6+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)48.639.287.8+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.541.480.9-1.950%-
vs Similar (9)43.140.183.2+3.078%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.639.886.5+6.864%-
This opponent (TSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
TSUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

TSU: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.5
50.9%
48.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.7
30.3%
31.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.912.2
58.4%
64.0%12.2
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CIUtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CIU: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
51%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.4
53.3%
48.2%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.1
32.9%
31.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.614.5
58.9%
64.0%14.5
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
TSU
LLLWWWLLLW
CIU
WLWWWWWLLL
#6
League position
#1
-0.4
Net rating
-1.9
88.7
Offensive rating
84.2
89.2
Defensive rating
86.1
48.6%
Effective FG%
51.9%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
11.9%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.3%
3-point %
32.9%
67.5%
Assist %
66.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence88.7 · 84.2Defence89.2 · 86.1Shooting48.6% · 51.9%3-point %30.3% · 32.9%Ball care11.9% · 15.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ TSU   ■ CIU
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
TSU wins
3
CIU wins
DateGameScore
28/04/26CIU v TSU73-80
25/04/26TSU v CIU78-70
23/04/26TSU v CIU85-74
04/04/26CIU v TSU78-86
20/12/25TSU v CIU93-80
08/02/25TSU v CIU82-87
20/10/24CIU v TSU74-76
28/04/24TSU v CIU98-99 OT
25/04/24CIU v TSU86-98
24/04/24CIU v TSU88-74
TSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ABatumi82-85
31/10/26HAkhaltsikhe81-84
25/10/26AKutaisi81-98
17/10/26ABlack Fortress89-82
11/10/26AMargveti86-79
03/10/26HRustavi88-77
28/05/26ABatumi81-90 OT
26/05/26ABatumi76-81
23/05/26HBatumi63-91
21/05/26HBatumi82-76
CIUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HIverioni103-89
28/10/26HJonava67-80
24/10/26ABatumi80-71
19/10/26HAkhaltsikhe88-68
14/10/26HLausanne Basket97-88
09/10/26HKutaisi97-65
04/10/26HBlack Fortress108-84
29/09/26ADubrava82-87
28/04/26HTSU73-80
25/04/26ATSU70-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TSU
Superleague 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game84.584.584.5
Allowed / game84.280.586.0
Point differential+0.3+4.0-1.5
Avg total168.7165.0170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CIU
Superleague 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.299.080.0
Allowed / game75.476.571.0
Point differential+19.8+22.5+9.0
Avg total170.6175.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CIU550100%95.275.4+19.8
2 Orbi54180%84.082.4+1.6
3 Rustavi54180%87.286.6+0.6
4 Batumi43175%77.877.2+0.5
5 Akhaltsikhe53260%76.078.8-2.8
6 Telavi63350%83.881.7+2.2
7 TSU63350%84.584.2+0.3
8 Iverioni52340%79.483.2-3.8
9 Margveti51420%77.681.0-3.4
10 Kutaisi61517%79.083.8-4.8
11 Black Fortress6060%79.887.8-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
TSU12252224689
CIU221430171396
← all games of the day
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