Tsukuba vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2014

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 64-95

8-26 12-16 19-22 25-31

Position#10

Record6-22

FormWLLLL

Points / game68.4

Allowed / game84.9

Tsukuba

Brave Thunders 🏆

Position#1

Record24-4

FormWWWLL

Points / game88.4

Allowed / game75.1

NBLRound 15

Other2013-14

Meetings · Tsukuba v Brave Thunders

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tsukuba winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Brave Thunders winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tsukuba

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trians

57-98

-41

A30/11

NBL

Trians

76-109

109

-33

A01/12

NBL

Alvark

71-105

105

-34

H07/12

NBL

Alvark

63-102

102

-39

H08/12

NBL

Hokkaido

57-81

-24

A13/12

NBL

Hokkaido

86-83

A14/12

NBL

Chiba

57-81

-24

H21/12

NBL

Chiba

63-75

-12

H22/12

NBL

Sun Rockers

63-84

-21

A25/01

NBL

Sun Rockers

63-91

-28

A26/01

NBL

8-23

14-22

14-29

21-24

14-34

24-27

23-28

15-20

14-27

17-27

25-20

15-31

15-23

20-18

12-28

16-33

19-22

14-15

16-21

8-23

19-16

17-23

16-23

34-21

4-21

13-26

19-14

21-20

15-18

19-18

14-15

15-24

17-26

16-20

14-24

16-14

15-16

16-21

20-18

12-36

156.5Avg total

65.6Scored

90.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	68.4	84.9	153.3	-16.5	21%
Season at home (14)	70.6	87.4	158.0	-16.7	29%
Season away (14)	66.2	82.4	148.6	-16.2	14%
Last 10 (10)	65.6	90.9	156.5	-25.3	10%
Last 5 (5)	66.4	82.8	149.2	-16.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	67.0	86.4	153.4	-19.5	12%
vs Similar (4)	77.2	75.8	153.0	+1.5	75%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brave Thunders Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tochigi Brex

109-80

109

+29

H30/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

86-64

+22

H01/12

NBL

Kumamoto

#12

109-81

109

+28

A07/12

NBL

Kumamoto

#12

97-85

+12

A08/12

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

89-80

H14/12

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

87-69

+18

H15/12

NBL

Kobe

#11

87-57

+30

A20/12

NBL

Kobe

#11

98-75

+23

A21/12

NBL

Trians

77-81

-4

H25/01

NBL

Trians

89-91

-2

H26/01

NBL

32-25

24-16

30-21

23-18

31-18

26-7

19-19

10-20

28-26

30-13

33-25

18-17

20-22

27-16

24-25

26-22

23-20

18-22

29-20

19-18

27-8

16-19

29-23

15-19

32-15

18-11

16-18

21-13

23-24

17-16

33-16

25-19

25-20

15-21

18-18

19-22

23-30

18-13

28-28

20-20

169.1Avg total

92.8Scored

76.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	88.4	75.1	163.5	+13.2	86%
Season at home (14)	88.4	78.1	166.5	+10.2	79%
Season away (14)	88.4	72.1	160.4	+16.3	93%
Last 10 (10)	92.8	76.3	169.1	+16.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	87.6	74.6	162.2	+13.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	81.8	79.5	161.2	+2.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	89.1	73.1	162.2	+16.0	95%

This opponent (Tsukuba) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TsukubaBrave Thunders

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	16.2	21.3	37.5	-5.1	29%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.7	22.8	40.5	-5.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (14)	14.7	19.8	34.5	-5.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.0	22.6	36.6	-8.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	19.4	33.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	15.8	21.3	37.0	-5.5	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	18.6	42.1	+4.8	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.6	19.6	44.1	+5.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.4	17.8	40.2	+4.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.4	20.8	47.2	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	19.4	45.4	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	20.9	19.4	40.2	+1.5	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	24.4	18.4	42.7	+6.0	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	16.4	21.0	37.5	-4.6	18%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.2	22.3	39.5	-5.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.6	19.8	35.4	-4.1	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	21.7	38.7	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	21.6	37.8	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	16.0	22.1	38.1	-6.1	8%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.0	14.8	33.8	+4.2	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	16.5	35.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	16.8	35.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	16.2	35.2	+2.7	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	15.4	36.3	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	16.0	32.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	15.5	19.9	35.4	-4.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.9	15.3	35.2	+4.6	68%	-

TsukubaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Trians

22-45

-23

A30/11

NBL

Trians

38-61

-23

A01/12

NBL

Alvark

31-54

-23

H07/12

NBL

Alvark

35-41

-6

H08/12

NBL

Hokkaido

33-37

-4

A13/12

NBL

Hokkaido

36-39

-3

A14/12

NBL

Chiba

17-47

-30

H21/12

NBL

Chiba

34-36

-2

H22/12

NBL

Sun Rockers

33-46

-13

A25/01

NBL

Sun Rockers

31-37

-6

A26/01

NBL

75.3Avg total

31.0Scored

44.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	32.6	42.3	75.0	-9.7	11%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.9	45.1	80.0	-10.1	14%	-
Last 30 away (14)	30.4	39.6	69.9	-9.2	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.0	44.3	75.3	-13.3	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.2	41.0	71.2	-10.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	31.8	43.4	75.1	-11.6	4%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.0	36.0	74.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tochigi Brex

56-41

+15

H30/11

NBL

Tochigi Brex

57-25

+32

H01/12

NBL

Kumamoto

#12

58-39

+19

A07/12

NBL

Kumamoto

#12

47-38

A08/12

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

41-42

-1

H14/12

NBL

Diamond Dolphins

43-27

+16

H15/12

NBL

Kobe

#11

50-26

+24

A20/12

NBL

Kobe

#11

40-40

A21/12

NBL

Trians

40-41

-1

H25/01

NBL

Trians

41-43

-2

H26/01

NBL

83.5Avg total

47.3Scored

36.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	35.1	77.3	+7.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.1	36.4	79.4	+6.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.4	34.1	75.4	+7.3	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.3	36.2	83.5	+11.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	35.4	78.2	+7.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	36.4	39.2	75.6	-2.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	44.3	33.6	77.9	+10.6	77%	-

This opponent (Tsukuba) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.9	20.5	38.4	-2.6	32%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.7	20.2	36.9	-3.5	29%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	20.9	39.9	-1.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	22.0	39.3	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.8	35.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	17.5	20.2	37.7	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.5	22.2	42.8	-1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	19.2	42.9	+4.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.4	20.7	45.1	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.1	17.9	41.1	+5.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.9	21.3	47.2	+4.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	20.6	45.4	+4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	22.5	18.5	41.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	24.1	19.5	43.6	+4.6	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	17.5	21.8	39.3	-4.2	21%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	21.6	39.9	-3.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	22.0	38.8	-5.2	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	24.6	41.9	-7.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.0	42.6	-3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	17.3	22.5	39.8	-5.2	21%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.8	17.5	36.2	+1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	21.1	42.0	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	19.9	41.5	+1.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	22.9	21.8	44.6	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.8	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	35.4	42.3	77.8	-6.9	29%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.0	41.8	76.8	-6.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.9	42.9	78.7	-7.0	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.6	46.6	81.2	-12.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	41.8	78.0	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	34.8	42.8	77.5	-8.0	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	39.2	39.8	79.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.0	39.7	84.7	+5.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.3	41.8	87.1	+3.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.8	37.8	82.6	+6.9	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	40.1	85.6	+5.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	39.2	84.0	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (8)	45.4	40.2	85.6	+5.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	44.9	39.5	84.3	+5.4	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tsukuba wins

Brave Thunders wins

No previous meetings.

Tsukubalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/01/14	A	Sun Rockers	63-91
25/01/14	A	Sun Rockers	63-84
22/12/13	H	Chiba	63-75
21/12/13	H	Chiba	57-81
14/12/13	A	Hokkaido	86-83
13/12/13	A	Hokkaido	57-81
08/12/13	H	Alvark	63-102
07/12/13	H	Alvark	71-105
01/12/13	A	Trians	76-109
30/11/13	A	Trians	57-98

Brave Thunderslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/01/14	H	Trians	89-91
25/01/14	H	Trians	77-81
21/12/13	A	Kobe	98-75
20/12/13	A	Kobe	87-57
15/12/13	H	Diamond Dolphins	87-69
14/12/13	H	Diamond Dolphins	89-80
08/12/13	A	Kumamoto	97-85
07/12/13	A	Kumamoto	109-81
01/12/13	H	Tochigi Brex	86-64
30/11/13	H	Tochigi Brex	109-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tsukuba

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	21%
Home	WLLLL	29%
Away	LLWLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	21%	29%	14%
Points / game	68.4	70.6	66.2
Allowed / game	84.9	87.4	82.4
Point differential	-16.5	-16.7	-16.2
Avg total	153.3	158.0	148.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

Brave Thunders

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	86%
Home	WWWLL	79%
Away	WWWWW	93%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	86%	79%	93%
Points / game	88.4	88.4	88.4
Allowed / game	75.1	78.1	72.1
Point differential	+13.2	+10.2	+16.3
Avg total	163.5	166.5	160.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	61%	43%	79%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (3)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	SeaHorses Mikawa	28	25	3	89%	87.4	74.9	+12.5
2	Brave Thunders	28	24	4	86%	88.4	75.1	+13.2
3	Alvark	28	20	8	71%	84.1	70.7	+13.4
4	Trians	28	20	8	71%	84.7	76.4	+8.3
5	Hokkaido	28	16	12	57%	78.3	76.7	+1.6
6	Diamond Dolphins	29	16	13	55%	79.2	75.4	+3.8
7	Tochigi Brex	29	16	13	55%	79.8	79.0	+0.8
8	Chiba	28	8	20	29%	68.8	75.1	-6.4
9	Sun Rockers	29	8	21	28%	73.9	82.5	-8.6
10	Tsukuba	28	6	22	21%	68.4	84.9	-16.5
11	Kobe	29	6	23	21%	73.4	84.8	-11.3
12	Kumamoto	28	5	23	18%	79.3	89.6	-10.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tsukuba	8	12	19	25	64
Brave Thunders	26	16	22	31	95

← all games of the day

Tsukuba vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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