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Tubingen vs Dresden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 89-88
29-18 21-21 15-23 24-26
Position#7
Record16-12
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#11
Record15-13
FormLWLWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game86.1
GermanyPro ARound 29· Paul Horn Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Tubingen v Dresden
22 Mar 2025
TUB89
DRES88
19 Apr 2023
TUB98
DRES69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tubingen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dresden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TubingenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Hagen
#8
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A18/01
Pro A
Jena
#1
L
73-99
73
99
-26
H25/01
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#3
L
51-83
51
83
-32
A01/02
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H07/02
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H09/02
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A15/02
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A02/03
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
L
80-92
80
92
-12
H07/03
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
71-86
71
86
-15
H09/03
Pro A
Bochum
#9
W
103-92
103
92
+11
A15/03
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
16-19
21-29
16-20
15-22
27-17
15-29
16-31
11-25
19-15
14-25
7-18
17-13
19-15
18-14
20-17
24-27
25-13
9-11
18-16
17-29
22-21
19-17
26-20
16-25
24-22
19-11
16-15
24-31
15-20
26-22
15-19
12-23
20-22
25-23
14-18
25-14
26-22
24-19
28-37
159.3Avg total
76.4Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.579.3157.8-0.957%
Season at home (14)79.078.9157.9+0.157%
Season away (14)77.979.7157.6-1.857%
Last 10 (10)76.482.9159.3-6.540%
Last 5 (5)82.686.0168.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.479.7153.1-6.436%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.584.3165.8-2.850%
vs Weaker (8)81.674.2155.9+7.488%
This opponent (Dresden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DresdenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#4
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H17/01
Pro A
Artland
#15
W
104-93
104
93
+11
A26/01
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H02/02
Pro A
Bochum
#9
W
111-100 OT
111
100
+11
A07/02
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
95-87
95
87
+8
A09/02
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#3
L
87-96
87
96
-9
H16/02
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
90-75
90
75
+15
H28/02
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
80-108
80
108
-28
A07/03
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
102-77
102
77
+25
A09/03
Pro A
Bayreuth
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H15/03
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
22-17
19-16
21-27
26-24
26-11
29-26
23-32
14-15
16-17
22-22
21-11
14-20
16-21
24-14
24-23
29-14
20-17
22-29
24-27
22-22
21-19
24-25
20-30
23-15
22-21
23-17
22-22
23-30
21-33
16-23
20-22
17-18
24-18
33-19
28-22
22-21
11-16
28-21
27-26
177.9Avg total
90.8Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.886.1171.9-0.354%
Season at home (14)87.381.2168.5+6.164%
Season away (14)84.391.0175.3-6.743%
Last 10 (10)90.887.1177.9+3.770%
Last 5 (5)89.488.0177.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)81.390.0171.3-8.730%
vs Similar ◀ (11)87.283.7170.9+3.555%
vs Weaker (9)89.984.4174.3+5.478%
This opponent (Tubingen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
TubingenDresden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TubingenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Hagen
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A18/01
Pro A
Jena
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H25/01
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#3
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A01/02
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H07/02
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H09/02
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A15/02
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A02/03
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H07/03
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H09/03
Pro A
Bochum
#9
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A15/03
Pro A
81.6Avg total
39.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.680.2-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.439.578.9-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.741.781.4-2.127%-
Last 10 (10)39.841.881.6-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.245.886.0-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.437.174.5+0.355%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.043.883.8-3.820%-
vs Weaker (8)42.141.183.2+1.038%-
This opponent (Dresden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#4
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H17/01
Pro A
Artland
#15
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A26/01
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H02/02
Pro A
Bochum
#9
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A07/02
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A09/02
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H16/02
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H28/02
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A07/03
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A09/03
Pro A
Bayreuth
#13
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H15/03
Pro A
80.0Avg total
40.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.983.7+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.839.982.7+2.960%-
Last 30 away (15)40.943.884.7-2.933%-
Last 10 (10)40.539.580.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.683.8-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.845.585.3-5.740%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.040.679.6-1.627%-
vs Weaker (9)47.739.387.0+8.378%-
This opponent (Tubingen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tubingentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tubingen: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.9
52.5%
-39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.0
30.3%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws20.015.2
76.0%
-15.2
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dresdentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dresden: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.019.0
59.4%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.013.0
36.1%
-39.0
🏀 Free throws9.08.0
88.9%
-8.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 22 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tubingen
WLLWLWWLLL
Dresden
WWLWLWWWWL
#7
League position
#11
-22.3
Net rating
-1.2
98.9
Offensive rating
102.7
121.2
Defensive rating
103.9
49.6%
Effective FG%
56.6%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
61.2%
19.0%
Turnover %
19.1%
23.1%
Off. rebound %
11.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.13
30.3%
3-point %
36.1%
63.4%
Assist %
75.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Tubingen   ■ Dresden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Tubingen wins
0
Dresden wins
DateGameScore
20/10/24Dresden v Tubingen67-71
19/04/23Tubingen v Dresden98-69
17/12/22Dresden v Tubingen76-94
Tubingenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25ABochum103-92
09/03/25HTrier71-86
07/03/25HKirchheim80-92
02/03/25AVechta 275-73
15/02/25APS Karlsruhe84-87
09/02/25HKoblenz76-67
07/02/25HBremerhaven74-59
01/02/25ACrailsheim Merlins51-83
25/01/25HJena73-99
18/01/25APhoenix Hagen77-91
Dresdenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HBayreuth88-84
09/03/25APS Karlsruhe102-77
07/03/25ATrier80-108
28/02/25HKoblenz90-75
16/02/25HCrailsheim Merlins87-96
09/02/25ADusseldorf95-87
07/02/25ABochum111-100 OT
02/02/25HVechta 273-65
26/01/25AArtland104-93
17/01/25HGiessen78-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tubingen
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW57%
HomeLWWLL57%
AwayLLLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %57%57%57%
Points / game78.579.077.9
Allowed / game79.378.979.7
Point differential-0.9+0.1-1.8
Avg total157.8157.9157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (1)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dresden
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW54%
HomeLWLWW64%
AwayWWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %54%64%43%
Points / game85.887.384.3
Allowed / game86.181.291.0
Point differential-0.3+6.1-6.7
Avg total171.9168.5175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%43%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jena2826293%91.873.9+17.8
2 Trier2822679%92.780.7+12.0
3 Crailsheim Merlins2819968%89.179.4+9.8
4 Giessen2819968%86.276.9+9.2
5 Bremerhaven29181162%81.675.9+5.7
6 Phoenix Hagen28171161%83.679.8+3.8
7 Bochum28171161%83.984.3-0.4
8 Tubingen28161257%78.579.3-0.9
9 Kirchheim29161355%81.781.8-0.2
10 Munster28151354%83.582.6+0.9
11 Dresden28151354%85.886.1-0.3
12 PS Karlsruhe28111739%78.583.4-4.9
13 Nurnberger28101836%75.280.8-5.5
14 Bayreuth29101934%83.088.7-5.7
15 Koblenz2772026%74.985.4-10.5
16 Dusseldorf2862221%77.886.4-8.6
17 Artland2962321%79.187.0-7.9
18 Vechta 22942514%77.491.2-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tubingen2921152489
Dresden1821232688
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