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Dresden vs Giessen Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-86
16-26 22-17 19-16 21-27
Position#11
Record8-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Giessen 🏆
Germany
Position#4
Record11-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game76.9
GermanyPro ARound 19· Margon Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Dresden v Giessen
17 Jan 2025
DRES78
GIE86
21 Oct 2023
DRES85
GIE88
07 May 2023
DRES72
GIE89
22 Oct 2022
DRES90
GIE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dresden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Giessen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DresdenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trier
#2
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H10/11
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
68-97
68
97
-29
A16/11
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
100-97
100
97
+3
A30/11
Pro A
Munster
#10
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H07/12
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H15/12
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#3
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A23/12
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
101-71
101
71
+30
H29/12
Pro A
Jena
#1
L
78-101
78
101
-23
A03/01
Pro A
Nurnberger
#14
L
69-102
69
102
-33
A05/01
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H12/01
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
22-19
22-20
18-22
13-22
19-22
23-24
13-29
30-23
33-31
18-21
19-22
25-22
25-10
30-22
22-20
20-16
25-26
21-16
26-17
9-19
21-14
33-18
14-27
23-17
26-25
24-16
28-13
15-30
23-23
15-27
25-21
11-20
21-28
18-29
19-25
20-23
25-19
27-18
20-19
172.4Avg total
86.8Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)83.085.6168.6-2.644%
Season at home (9)89.681.2170.8+8.367%
Season away (9)76.489.9166.3-13.422%
Last 10 (10)86.885.6172.4+1.260%
Last 5 (5)83.486.2169.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)81.187.1168.3-6.043%
vs Similar (11)83.582.3165.8+1.345%
vs Weaker (12)90.381.4171.8+8.967%
This opponent (Giessen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GiessenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Artland
#15
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A10/11
Pro A
Dresden
#11
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H16/11
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A30/11
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H07/12
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
L
82-95
82
95
-13
A14/12
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
95-56
95
56
+39
H21/12
Pro A
Bochum
#9
W
98-81
98
81
+17
A28/12
Pro A
Nurnberger
#14
W
93-62
93
62
+31
H03/01
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A05/01
Pro A
Munster
#10
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H11/01
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
21-21
22-18
22-15
22-13
22-19
24-23
29-13
22-23
14-19
24-26
19-19
22-10
19-23
24-25
23-27
19-23
15-25
22-21
26-26
20-19
26-9
24-16
25-12
22-5
24-26
29-30
23-20
24-17
27-24
21-11
21-10
16-22
21-17
16-16
27-28
17-17
23-28
18-16
20-24
165.6Avg total
87.6Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.976.9162.8+9.061%
Season at home (9)86.272.0158.2+14.278%
Season away (9)85.681.8167.3+3.844%
Last 10 (10)87.678.0165.6+9.660%
Last 5 (5)88.873.4162.2+15.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.785.7160.3-11.00%
vs Similar (10)85.482.8168.2+2.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.276.1164.4+12.175%
This opponent (Dresden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +4.1+4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +4.1+4.1
DresdenGiessen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trier
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H10/11
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A16/11
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A30/11
Pro A
Munster
#10
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H07/12
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H15/12
Pro A
Crailsheim Merlins
#3
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A23/12
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H29/12
Pro A
Jena
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A03/01
Pro A
Nurnberger
#14
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A05/01
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H12/01
Pro A
86.3Avg total
43.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.641.184.7+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.739.985.5+5.873%-
Last 30 away (15)41.542.383.9-0.840%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.086.3+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.843.682.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.044.083.0-5.043%-
vs Similar (11)41.541.382.8+0.336%-
vs Weaker (12)48.239.287.4+8.983%-
This opponent (Giessen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GiessenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Artland
#15
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A10/11
Pro A
Dresden
#11
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H16/11
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A30/11
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H07/12
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A14/12
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H21/12
Pro A
Bochum
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A28/12
Pro A
Nurnberger
#14
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H03/01
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A05/01
Pro A
Munster
#10
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H11/01
Pro A
80.1Avg total
41.7Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.083.0+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.638.983.6+5.775%-
Last 30 away (14)41.341.182.4+0.129%-
Last 10 (10)41.738.480.1+3.350%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.880.8+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.341.378.7-4.033%-
vs Similar (10)45.040.985.9+4.170%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.038.481.4+4.650%-
This opponent (Dresden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dresdentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dresden: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.019.0
59.4%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.013.0
36.1%
-39.0
🏀 Free throws9.08.0
88.9%
-8.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Giessentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Giessen: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.718.9
48.8%
-37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.4
35.4%
-25.2
🏀 Free throws18.813.2
70.2%
-13.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dresden
WLLWLWWWLW
Giessen
LLWWWLWLWW
#11
League position
#4
-1.2
Net rating
-17.8
102.7
Offensive rating
100.7
103.9
Defensive rating
118.5
56.6%
Effective FG%
50.5%
61.2%
Opp. effective FG%
58.9%
19.1%
Turnover %
21.2%
11.8%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.13
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.1%
3-point %
35.4%
75.0%
Assist %
56.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Dresden   ■ Giessen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Dresden wins
7
Giessen wins
DateGameScore
16/11/24Giessen v Dresden97-68
27/04/24Giessen v Dresden89-88
21/10/23Dresden v Giessen85-88
10/05/23Giessen v Dresden89-76
07/05/23Dresden v Giessen72-89
05/05/23Giessen v Dresden96-94
04/02/23Giessen v Dresden90-76
22/10/22Dresden v Giessen90-87
Dresdenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25HBremerhaven92-79
05/01/25ANurnberger69-102
03/01/25AJena78-101
29/12/24HPS Karlsruhe101-71
23/12/24ACrailsheim Merlins77-78
15/12/24HPhoenix Hagen92-75
07/12/24HMunster102-74
30/11/24AVechta 2100-97
16/11/24AGiessen68-97
10/11/24HTrier89-82
Giessenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25HMunster78-85
05/01/25APhoenix Hagen80-83
03/01/25HNurnberger93-62
28/12/24ABochum98-81
21/12/24HKoblenz95-56
14/12/24ATubingen82-95
07/12/24HBremerhaven88-85
30/11/24ATrier79-87
16/11/24HDresden97-68
10/11/24AArtland86-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dresden
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayLWLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%67%22%
Points / game83.089.676.4
Allowed / game85.681.289.9
Point differential-2.6+8.3-13.4
Avg total168.6170.8166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Giessen
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL61%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayWLLWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %61%78%44%
Points / game85.986.285.6
Allowed / game76.972.081.8
Point differential+9.0+14.2+3.8
Avg total162.8158.2167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%56%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jena1816289%90.173.4+16.6
2 Trier1814478%92.478.8+13.6
3 Crailsheim Merlins1812667%89.881.1+8.8
4 Bremerhaven1812667%82.977.1+5.8
5 Munster1812667%86.481.2+5.2
6 Phoenix Hagen1812667%84.480.1+4.4
7 Tubingen1812667%79.677.3+2.3
8 Bochum1812667%82.280.4+1.7
9 Giessen1811761%85.976.9+9.0
10 Kirchheim1810856%81.381.7-0.4
11 Dresden1881044%83.085.6-2.6
12 PS Karlsruhe1861233%75.280.9-5.7
13 Koblenz1861233%72.684.1-11.6
14 Bayreuth1851328%82.689.2-6.6
15 Dusseldorf1851328%76.785.7-8.9
16 Artland1841422%78.585.3-6.8
17 Nurnberger1841422%73.881.1-7.3
18 Vechta 2181176%78.195.4-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dresden1622192178
Giessen2617162786
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