Tulsa hosts Oral Roberts on 11 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Tulsa the clear favourite, rating them 97% to win largely because of their undefeated 2-0 record, 96.0 points per game and only 62.5 allowed per game, placing them 17th in the league. Tulsa has won both of its games, scoring an average of 96.0 points and conceding 62.5, and both were at home, giving a 2-0 home record with the same averages; in the last five games Tulsa won four and lost one, and recent results include a 94-75 victory over Northern Illinois and a 98-50 win over Ottawa Braves. Oral Roberts, by contrast, is 1-1 overall, 74.5 points per game and 62.0 allowed, ranked 202nd, and has a 0-1 road record with 55.0 points scored and 85.0 allowed; in their last five they won three and lost two, with a 94-39 win over Northwestern Oklahoma State and a 55-85 loss to Central Arkansas. Historically the teams have met five times, Oral Roberts winning three, the most recent being an 88-87 Tulsa win on 12 November 2025. Pythia gives Tulsa a 97% chance to win, Oral Roberts 3%, projects a 88-67 score and 154.9 total points, with Tulsa covering the -18.5 line 61% of the time and the over on a 154.0 line 52% of the time, and a 1% chance of overtime. Tulsa's dominant early season performance suggests they will control the game from the opening tip.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Tulsa winWon
96.7%fair 1.03
Best odds1.04
Implied92.7%
Edge+3.9pp
Oral Roberts winLost
3.3%fair 29.98
Best odds16.00
Implied7.3%
Edge-3.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Tulsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 149Actual: Over 149
Over 149
64.5%
@ 1.43-0.4pp
Under 149
35.5%
@ 2.65+0.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.43
Under
Bet365
2.65
Over/Under 154 · main lineActual: Under 154
Over 154
52.1%
@ 1.93+2.8pp
Under 154
47.9%
@ 1.94-2.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.89
SBO
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Under
Bet365
1.94
SBO
1.88
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.82
Over/Under 159Actual: Under 159
Over 159
39.6%
@ 2.50+2.1pp
Under 159
60.4%
@ 1.50-2.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50
📊 3. Team Totals
Tulsa total 82Actual: Tulsa under 82
Over 82
74.8%
Under 82
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tulsa total 86 · main lineActual: Tulsa under 86
Over 86
59.8%
@ 1.87+10.0pp
Under 86
40.2%
@ 1.85-10.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Tulsa total 90Actual: Tulsa under 90
Over 90
43.0%
Under 90
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oral Roberts total 64Actual: Oral Roberts over 64
Over 64
60.2%
Under 64
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oral Roberts total 68 · main lineActual: Oral Roberts over 68
Over 68
43.7%
@ 1.86-6.2pp
Under 68
56.3%
@ 1.85+6.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Oral Roberts total 72Actual: Oral Roberts under 72
Over 72
28.3%
Under 72
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Tulsa -21Actual: Oral Roberts +21
TULS -21
52.8%
@ 2.34+11.9pp
ORAL +21
47.2%
@ 1.62-11.9pp
Best 5 market prices
TULS
Pinnacle
2.34
Bet365
2.22
ORAL
Pinnacle
1.62
Bet365
1.58
Spread Tulsa -18 · main lineActual: Oral Roberts +18
TULS -18
63.6%
@ 1.92+13.5pp
ORAL +18
36.4%
@ 1.94-13.5pp
Best 5 market prices
TULS
Pinnacle
1.92
SBO
1.88
Marathon Be
1.83
Bet365
1.80
ORAL
Bet365
1.94
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.88
SBO
1.81
Spread Tulsa -15Actual: Oral Roberts +15
TULS -15
73.3%
@ 1.63+14.6pp
ORAL +15
26.7%
@ 2.50-14.6pp
Best 5 market prices
TULS
Pinnacle
1.63
Bet365
1.50
ORAL
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.31
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
TulsaOral Roberts
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Tulsa -15
73.3%
1.56
Pinnacle
1.63
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
+14.6pp
Lost
Tulsa -15.5
71.1%
1.61
1xBet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
+12.4pp
Lost
Tulsa -16
70.2%
1.60
Pinnacle
1.62
Bet365
1.58
-
-
-
+11.2pp
Lost
Tulsa -14
76.1%
1.43
Bet365
1.43
-
-
-
-
+11.2pp
Lost
Tulsa -13.5
76.8%
1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+11.1pp
Lost
Tulsa -14.5
74.1%
1.47
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+11.1pp
Lost
Tulsa -13
78.8%
1.36
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
-
+10.7pp
Lost
Tulsa -12.5
79.4%
1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+10.7pp
Lost
Tulsa -11.5
81.7%
1.29
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
+10.4pp
Lost
Tulsa -10.5
83.9%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
+10.2pp
Lost
Tulsa -12
81.3%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+9.9pp
Lost
Tulsa -7.5
89.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+8.9pp
Won
Tulsa -11
83.6%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+8.8pp
Lost
Tulsa over 80.5
78.7%
1.31
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
+8.5pp
Lost
Tulsa over 82.5
72.3%
1.42
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
-
+8.4pp
Lost
Tulsa (regulation)
96.1%
1.04
1xBet
1.05
Betano
1.04
Marathon Bet
1.03
-
-
+7.8pp
Won
Tulsa over 81.5
75.6%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
Betano
1.34
-
-
-
+7.3pp
Lost
Tulsa over 79.5
81.5%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+6.8pp
Won
Tulsa -2.5
95.2%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Won
Tulsa over 76.5
88.5%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+6.2pp
Won
Tulsa +2.5
97.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.1pp
Won
Tulsa over 75.5
90.3%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+5.9pp
Won
Tulsa over 71.5
95.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.9pp
Won
Tulsa over 73.5
93.3%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+5.3pp
Won
Tulsa over 77.5
86.4%
1.14
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
+5.1pp
Won
Oral Roberts under 73.5
75.9%
1.30
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.29
-
-
+4.8pp
Won
Oral Roberts under 72.5
72.7%
1.35
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
+4.6pp
Won
Oral Roberts under 76.5
84.1%
1.16
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
+4.2pp
Won
Tulsa win
96.7%
1.02
Betano
1.04
WilliamHill
1.02
Marathon Bet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
+3.9pp
Won
Oral Roberts under 75.5
81.6%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+3.9pp
Won
Oral Roberts under 74.5
78.9%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+3.6pp
Won
Oral Roberts under 80.5
91.7%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+2.7pp
Won
Oral Roberts under 79.5
90.2%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+2.7pp
Won
Oral Roberts under 77.5
86.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+2.6pp
Won
Oral Roberts under 78.5
88.4%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+2.3pp
Won
Over 128.5
95.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.2pp
Won
Under 178.5
92.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Won
Over 133.5
90.8%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Won
Oral Roberts over 51.5
93.3%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Won
Oral Roberts over 52.5
92.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Won
Over 146
71.3%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
-0.1pp
Won
Over 145.5
72.0%
1.28
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
-
-0.4pp
Won
Tulsa under 99.5
87.0%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-0.5pp
Won
Oral Roberts over 53.5
90.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-0.8pp
Won
Over 138.5
84.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-1.0pp
Won
Oral Roberts over 54.5
88.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-1.1pp
Won
Under 173.5
87.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-1.4pp
Won
Over 143.5
76.0%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-1.8pp
Won
Tulsa under 96.5
79.6%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
-1.9pp
Won
Tulsa under 97.5
82.3%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-2.1pp
Won
Oral Roberts over 55.5
86.5%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-2.5pp
Won
Under 168.5
80.2%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-2.9pp
Won
Oral Roberts over 56.5
84.2%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-3.7pp
Won
Tulsa under 95.5
76.6%
1.15
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
-3.9pp
Won
Under 163.5
70.5%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
-4.0pp
Won
Oral Roberts over 57.5
81.7%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-4.4pp
Won
Oral Roberts over 58.5
78.9%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-4.5pp
Won
Oral Roberts over 59.5
75.9%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
-5.5pp
Won
Oral Roberts over 60.5
72.6%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
-6.2pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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