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Tureberg vs AIK Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-79
26-18 9-21 15-25 18-15
Position#8
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game60.0
vs
Position#2
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game75.4
SwedenSuperettan· Sollentuna Sporthall (Sollentuna)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Tureberg v AIK Basket
07 Oct 2024
TURE71
AIK 80
12 Apr 2024
TURE81
AIK 72
25 Oct 2023
TURE68
AIK 79
24 Sep 2022
TURE104
AIK 93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tureberg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TurebergSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTureberg
Date
Competition
RIG Mark
#9
W
76-64
76
64
+12
no box
A09/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#8
L
100-102
100
102
-2
no box
A19/03
Superettan
Team4Q
#14
W
90-57
90
57
+33
no box
H25/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
W
98-90
98
90
+8
no box
A01/04
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
88-100
88
100
-12
no box
A05/04
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
H11/04
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
68-61
68
61
+7
62avg 70
H01/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
73-61
73
61
+12
76avg 70
H08/10
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
70-52
70
52
+18
67avg 70
H14/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
81-66
81
66
+15
77avg 70
A17/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
13-15
17-18
22-16
17-29
33-19
30-28
20-26
24-4
24-15
17-18
25-20
25-24
19-17
30-26
24-23
16-21
29-24
13-35
30-20
19-26
17-19
19-16
24-25
18-13
16-16
13-21
21-11
16-15
22-23
20-12
15-11
9-6
19-18
19-17
23-11
18-18
21-20
23-12
19-16
156.2Avg total
82.3Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.060.0133.0+13.0100%
Season at home (3)70.358.0128.3+12.3100%
Season away (1)81.066.0147.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.373.9156.2+8.470%
Last 5 (5)74.265.2139.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.889.6167.4-11.820%
vs Similar ◀ (5)84.483.6168.0+0.860%
vs Weaker (20)87.077.6164.6+9.470%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Helsingborg
#3
W
95-84
95
84
+11
no box
H01/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
77-97
77
97
-20
no box
H06/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
94-94
94
94
+0
no box
A10/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
87-82
87
82
+5
75avg 77
H17/09
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
W
81-76
81
76
+5
75avg 77
A23/09
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
87-68
87
68
+19
88avg 77
H30/09
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
82-74
82
74
+8
79avg 77
H07/10
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
77-64
77
64
+13
67avg 77
H15/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
90-85
90
85
+5
80avg 77
A18/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
83-79
83
79
+4
77avg 77
A22/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
28-24
26-18
24-25
17-26
17-26
18-18
25-27
26-26
14-26
27-25
27-17
15-26
19-18
32-22
21-16
18-22
23-29
20-11
20-14
18-25
23-10
17-12
29-21
18-17
24-20
28-17
12-20
14-11
27-19
21-14
15-20
21-20
22-18
20-32
27-15
17-24
29-7
11-24
26-24
165.6Avg total
85.3Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.975.4159.3+8.4100%
Season at home (4)83.272.0155.2+11.2100%
Season away (3)84.780.0164.7+4.7100%
Last 10 (10)85.380.3165.6+5.080%
Last 5 (5)83.874.0157.8+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)85.192.2177.3-7.136%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.780.3164.0+3.477%
vs Weaker (6)87.072.2159.2+14.883%
This opponent (Tureberg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
TurebergAIK Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TurebergLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
RIG Mark
#9
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A09/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#8
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A19/03
Superettan
Team4Q
#14
W
48-19
48
19
+29
H25/03
Superettan
IK Eos
#10
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A01/04
Superettan
Norrort
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/04
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H11/04
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H01/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H08/10
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H14/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A17/10
Superettan
75.6Avg total
39.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.982.5+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.336.978.3+4.460%-
Last 30 away (15)43.842.986.7+0.967%-
Last 10 (10)39.935.775.6+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)35.034.869.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.047.286.2-8.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)44.641.886.4+2.880%-
vs Weaker (20)43.037.680.6+5.370%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsingborg
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H06/04
Superettan
Helsingborg
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A10/04
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H17/09
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A23/09
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H30/09
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H07/10
Superettan
KFUM Kalmar
#14
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H15/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A18/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A22/10
Superettan
81.8Avg total
40.7Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.583.2+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.940.683.6+2.362%-
Last 30 away (14)42.440.382.7+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.181.8-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)42.634.276.8+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.546.987.4-6.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.337.380.6+6.077%-
vs Weaker (6)45.535.581.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Tureberg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Turebergtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tureberg: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.5 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.219.0
57.1%
50.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.5
33.6%
31.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws12.06.5
54.2%
66.9%6.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.7 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.724.9
49.0%
50.1%49.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.66.0
30.7%
31.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws21.715.1
69.7%
66.9%15.1
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/7 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tureberg
WWWWLLWWLW
AIK Basket
WWWWWWWLLW
#8
League position
#2
+20.6
Net rating
+11.0
103.5
Offensive rating
101.4
83.0
Defensive rating
90.4
54.1%
Effective FG%
48.2%
39.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.4%
20.3%
Turnover %
20.2%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
37.8%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.6%
3-point %
30.7%
62.3%
Assist %
62.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 101.4Defence83.0 · 90.4Shooting54.1% · 48.2%3-point %33.6% · 30.7%Ball care20.3% · 20.2%Off. rebounds28.4% · 37.8%Free throws0.20 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Tureberg   ■ AIK Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Tureberg wins
1
AIK Basket wins
DateGameScore
19/03/23AIK Basket v Tureberg102-100
24/09/22Tureberg v AIK Basket104-93
Tureberglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/23ANorrort81-66
14/10/23HKFUM Kalmar70-52
08/10/23HWetterbygden Stars73-61
01/10/23HOckelbo68-61
11/04/23HNorrort79-86
05/04/23ANorrort88-100
01/04/23AIK Eos98-90
25/03/23HTeam4Q90-57
19/03/23AAIK Basket100-102
09/03/23ARIG Mark76-64
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/23AHelsingborg83-79
18/10/23AHuddinge90-85
15/10/23HKFUM Kalmar77-64
07/10/23HWetterbygden Stars82-74
30/09/23HOckelbo87-68
23/09/23AHogsbo81-76
17/09/23HKFUM Fryshuset87-82
10/04/23AHelsingborg94-94
06/04/23HHelsingborg77-97
01/04/23HHelsingborg95-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tureberg
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game73.070.381.0
Allowed / game60.058.066.0
Point differential+13.0+12.3+15.0
Avg total133.0128.3147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.983.284.7
Allowed / game75.472.080.0
Point differential+8.4+11.2+4.7
Avg total159.3155.2164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tureberg440100%73.060.0+13.0
2 AIK Basket770100%83.975.4+8.4
3 Helsingborg75271%83.974.6+9.3
4 Huddinge75271%86.077.3+8.7
5 IK Eos64267%82.274.3+7.8
6 Djurgarden85362%87.283.4+3.9
7 KFUM Fryshuset85362%85.085.4-0.4
8 Hogsbo53260%84.277.2+7.0
9 Wetterbygden Stars94544%77.775.1+2.6
10 Malbas73443%76.074.7+1.3
11 Ockelbo83538%68.871.9-3.1
12 Sloga Uppsala72529%72.081.4-9.4
13 Norrort82625%68.675.8-7.1
14 Eskilstuna51420%69.084.0-15.0
15 RIG Mark71614%68.075.1-7.1
16 KFUM Kalmar71614%64.179.3-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tureberg269151868
AIK Basket1821251579
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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