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TX A&M Commerce vs Abilene Christian Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-67
20-27 48-40
Position#363
Record1-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.9
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#208
Record7-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game71.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TX A&M Commerce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Abilene Christian winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A07/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
55-87
55
87
-32
A09/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H14/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
L
46-81
46
81
-35
A20/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
56-84
56
84
-28
A22/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
65-67
65
67
-2
A26/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
L
57-77
57
77
-20
H30/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
53-65
53
65
-12
A07/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-32
51-59
24-50
31-37
37-35
33-33
20-42
26-39
33-38
23-46
32-30
33-37
26-36
31-41
31-45
48-38
25-39
28-26
32-38
40-43
142.0Avg total
63.6Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)63.979.4143.3-15.59%
Season at home (3)66.375.3141.7-9.033%
Season away (8)63.080.9143.9-17.90%
Last 10 (10)63.678.4142.0-14.810%
Last 5 (5)65.274.6139.8-9.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)61.878.2140.0-16.46%
vs Similar (12)73.374.8148.2-1.550%
vs Weaker (2)81.577.0158.5+4.550%
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
56-79
56
79
-23
H10/11
NCAA
McMurry
#571
W
101-55
101
55
+46
H13/11
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H16/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A21/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H26/11
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
59-85
59
85
-26
A27/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
71-55
71
55
+16
A01/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A05/12
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
57-88
57
88
-31
A10/12
NCAA
Hardin Simmons
#477
W
93-62
93
62
+31
H15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-44
26-35
48-17
53-38
32-25
40-35
42-40
36-44
49-40
33-34
30-47
29-38
39-19
32-36
27-30
51-40
22-46
35-42
49-27
44-35
145.9Avg total
74.7Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.671.5149.1+6.264%
Season at home (6)85.267.3152.5+17.883%
Season away (5)68.676.4145.0-7.840%
Last 10 (10)74.771.2145.9+3.560%
Last 5 (5)71.672.0143.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)64.972.0136.9-7.136%
vs Similar (11)67.171.4138.5-4.345%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)90.972.9163.7+18.0100%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.3-9.31st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: -5.5-5.52nd half: +0.2+0.2
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.3-9.31st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: -5.5-5.52nd half: +0.2+0.2
TX A&M CommerceAbilene Christian
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#146
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A07/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#70
L
24-50
24
50
-26
A09/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H14/11
NCAA
Uconn
#63
L
20-42
20
42
-22
A20/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#136
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A22/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A26/11
NCAA
IPFW
#128
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H30/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#304
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A06/12
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#190
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A07/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H15/12
NCAA
67.7Avg total
29.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.335.365.6-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (11)31.334.165.4-2.836%-
Last 30 away (19)29.836.065.8-6.221%-
Last 10 (10)29.238.567.7-9.320%-
Last 5 (5)29.237.666.8-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)28.337.265.6-8.912%-
vs Similar (12)31.132.863.8-1.733%-
vs Weaker (2)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Abilene Christian) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Abilene ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H10/11
NCAA
McMurry
#571
W
48-17
48
17
+31
H13/11
NCAA
Texas State
#207
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H16/11
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H26/11
NCAA
Montana State
#238
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A27/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
39-19
39
19
+20
A01/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A05/12
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
22-46
22
46
-24
A10/12
NCAA
Hardin Simmons
#477
W
49-27
49
27
+22
H15/12
NCAA
70.3Avg total
36.8Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.633.568.1+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.932.471.3+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)30.234.764.9-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)36.833.570.3+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)33.433.867.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)29.335.865.1-6.518%-
vs Similar (11)32.531.664.2+0.955%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.033.977.9+10.171%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
TX A&M Commerce wins
1
Abilene Christian wins
DateGameScore
10/12/22Abilene Christian v TX A&M Commerce83-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HSouth Alabama72-81
07/12/24AIncarnate Word53-65
06/12/24AHouston Christian79-83
30/11/24HIPFW57-77
26/11/24AStonehill65-67
22/11/24AOklahoma56-84
20/11/24AUconn46-81
14/11/24HSouthern Univ.70-68
09/11/24ATexas A&M55-87
07/11/24ASouth Dakota Coyotes83-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HHardin Simmons93-62
10/12/24ABaylor57-88
05/12/24ANew Mexico State78-70
01/12/24ANebraska O.71-55
27/11/24AMontana State59-85
26/11/24HSouthern Miss82-74
21/11/24AKennesaw State78-84
16/11/24HTexas State72-60
13/11/24HMcMurry101-55
10/11/24HMiddle Tenn. St.56-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1138
Win %9%33%0%
Points / game63.966.363.0
Allowed / game79.475.380.9
Point differential-15.5-9.0-17.9
Avg total143.3141.7143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Abilene Christian
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW64%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%83%40%
Points / game77.685.268.6
Allowed / game71.567.376.4
Point differential+6.2+17.8-7.8
Avg total149.1152.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nicholls State117464%74.566.4+8.2
2 UTRGV106460%80.575.3+5.2
3 Texas A&M-CC116555%79.968.2+11.7
4 Lamar116555%76.565.6+10.9
5 Incarnate Word116555%77.171.0+6.1
6 McNeese State105550%76.767.8+8.9
7 Northwestern St.115645%73.068.3+4.7
8 SE Louisiana115645%69.967.8+2.1
9 Stephen F. Austin115645%64.163.6+0.5
10 Houston Christian114736%69.071.7-2.7
11 New Orleans92722%67.183.2-16.1
12 TX A&M Commerce111109%63.979.4-15.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Utah128467%77.571.8+5.8
2 Abilene Christian117464%77.671.5+6.2
3 UT Arlington115645%79.775.7+4.0
4 Utah Valley State115645%74.172.0+2.1
5 California Baptist115645%76.276.9-0.7
6 Tarleton123925%61.773.6-11.9
7 Utah Tech1331023%70.075.8-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TX A&M Commerce204868
Abilene Christian274067
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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