The LNB clash on 5 November 2026 pits U. De Concepcion against Ancud, with the model favouring the former at 91% due to its 37-8 record, 93.1 points per game and 78.2 allowed, the best in the league, while Ancud sits 15-27, 80.6 points per game and 83.5 allowed. U. De Concepcion has dominated all 45 games this season, winning 22 of 24 at home with 98.2 points per game and 76.0 allowed, and has won every one of its last five outings, including a 93-78 win over Ancud on 4 November. Ancud has struggled on the road, winning only six of 22 away games and losing four of its last five, most recently falling 80-89 to U. De Concepcion. Historically, the teams have met ten times, with U. De Concepcion winning eight and Ancud two, the last encounter ending 89-80 in favour of the home side. Pythia projects a 93-78 score, a total of 170.9 points, and a 46% chance that U. De Concepcion will cover the home line of -16.5, while the 72% probability of the over on the 161.5 line suggests a high-scoring affair; the odds of overtime stand at 2%. The game will likely see U. De Concepcion extend its winning streak and Ancud continue to struggle on the road.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (45) | 93.1 | 78.2 | 171.2 | +14.9 | 82% |
| Season at home (24) | 98.2 | 76.0 | 174.2 | +22.2 | 92% |
| Season away (21) | 87.1 | 80.7 | 167.8 | +6.5 | 71% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.7 | 81.6 | 168.3 | +5.1 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 92.4 | 75.2 | 167.6 | +17.2 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (2) | 88.0 | 88.5 | 176.5 | -0.5 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (28) | 90.2 | 79.1 | 169.3 | +11.2 | 75% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (42) | 80.6 | 83.5 | 164.1 | -2.9 | 36% |
| Season at home (20) | 82.5 | 82.4 | 164.9 | +0.0 | 45% |
| Season away (22) | 78.9 | 84.5 | 163.4 | -5.6 | 27% |
| Last 10 (10) | 79.8 | 85.7 | 165.5 | -5.9 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.0 | 87.6 | 168.6 | -6.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 80.4 | 87.1 | 167.5 | -6.7 | 23% |
| vs Similar (15) | 78.5 | 78.7 | 157.3 | -0.2 | 47% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 77.5 | 73.5 | 151.0 | +4.0 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (29) | 44.1 | 41.0 | 85.1 | +3.0 | 59% | 48% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 47.1 | 38.2 | 85.4 | +8.9 | 81% | 44% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 40.3 | 44.5 | 84.8 | -4.2 | 31% | 54% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.2 | 41.1 | 81.3 | -0.9 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.0 | 36.2 | 80.2 | +7.8 | 100% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (2) | 38.5 | 46.5 | 85.0 | -8.0 | 50% | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (27) | 44.5 | 40.6 | 85.1 | +3.9 | 59% | 48% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.5 | 40.9 | 79.4 | -2.4 | 37% | 27% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 38.9 | 41.1 | 80.0 | -2.1 | 43% | 29% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 38.1 | 40.8 | 78.9 | -2.7 | 31% | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.0 | 42.4 | 81.4 | -3.4 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.8 | 43.2 | 80.0 | -6.4 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 38.3 | 44.9 | 83.2 | -6.6 | 23% | 46% |
| vs Similar (15) | 38.3 | 37.9 | 76.1 | +0.4 | 47% | 13% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 41.5 | 38.0 | 79.5 | +3.5 | 50% | 0% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 161 | 73.2% | 1.81 | 1.81 | - | - | - | - | +23.5pp | Lost |
| Over 160.5 | 73.7% | 1.73 | 1.78 | 1.69 | - | - | - | +21.7pp | Lost |
| Over 161.5 | 71.7% | 1.80 | 1.85 | 1.82 | 1.74 | - | - | +21.7pp | Lost |
| Over 162 | 71.1% | 1.82 | 1.82 | - | - | - | - | +21.6pp | Lost |
| U. De Concepcion over 87.5 | 71.7% | 1.78 | 1.78 | - | - | - | - | +20.5pp | Won |
| Ancud +22.5 | 73.6% | 1.65 | 1.65 | - | - | - | - | +19.3pp | Won |
| Ancud +21.5 | 70.7% | 1.74 | 1.74 | - | - | - | - | +19.3pp | Lost |
| U. De Concepcion win | 91.0% | 1.06 | 1.10 | 1.08 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.04 | +6.8pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 98.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | - |
| U. De Concepcion (regulation) | 89.6% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -2.5pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.4 | 18.8 | 52.2% | 37.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.2 | 9.7 | 31.9% | 29.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.3 | 16.4 | 71.0% | 16.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.3 | 17.5 | 52.2% | 35.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.3 | 8.8 | 31.9% | 26.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.1 | 13.0 | 71.0% | 13.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | U. De Concepcion v Ancud | 89-80 |
| 22/10/26 | U. De Concepcion v Ancud | 95-78 |
| 15/10/26 | Ancud v U. De Concepcion | 91-73 |
| 31/10/25 | Ancud v U. De Concepcion | 67-79 |
| 29/10/25 | U. De Concepcion v Ancud | 79-70 |
| 19/10/25 | U. De Concepcion v Ancud | 63-77 |
| 03/10/25 | Ancud v U. De Concepcion | 75-84 |
| 14/09/25 | Ancud v U. De Concepcion | 73-82 |
| 29/03/25 | U. De Concepcion v Ancud | 99-86 |
| 01/03/25 | Ancud v U. De Concepcion | 90-94 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | H | Ancud | 89-80 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Valdivia | 91-76 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Puente Alto | 98-78 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Leones Quilpue | 89-64 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Ancud | 95-78 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Ancud | 73-91 |
| 15/10/26 | A | Espanol Osorno | 75-89 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Valdivia | 85-101 |
| 08/10/26 | H | Espanol Osorno | 74-68 |
| 03/10/26 | A | CD Puerto Varas | 98-91 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | A | U. De Concepcion | 80-89 |
| 29/10/26 | H | Leones Quilpue | 81-91 |
| 29/10/26 | H | Valdivia | 92-95 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Espanol Osorno | 74-68 |
| 22/10/26 | A | U. De Concepcion | 78-95 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Puente Alto | 70-78 |
| 15/10/26 | H | U. De Concepcion | 91-73 |
| 08/10/26 | A | Puente Alto | 77-90 |
| 07/10/26 | A | Leones Quilpue | 75-85 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Puerto Montt | 80-93 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 82% |
| Home | WWWWW | 92% |
| Away | WWLLL | 71% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 45 | 24 | 21 |
| Win % | 82% | 92% | 71% |
| Points / game | 93.1 | 98.2 | 87.1 |
| Allowed / game | 78.2 | 76.0 | 80.7 |
| Point differential | +14.9 | +22.2 | +6.5 |
| Avg total | 171.2 | 174.2 | 167.8 |
| Over 161.5 | 73% | 79% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 58% | 75% | 38% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (6) | 33% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Overtime % | 2% | 0% | 5% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLL | 36% |
| Home | WWLLL | 45% |
| Away | LLLWL | 27% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 42 | 20 | 22 |
| Win % | 36% | 45% | 27% |
| Points / game | 80.6 | 82.5 | 78.9 |
| Allowed / game | 83.5 | 82.4 | 84.5 |
| Point differential | -2.9 | +0.1 | -5.6 |
| Avg total | 164.1 | 164.8 | 163.4 |
| Over 161.5 | 62% | 60% | 64% |
| Win by 10+ | 19% | 25% | 14% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 25% (12) | 20% (5) | 29% (7) |
| Overtime % | 2% | 5% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 82% | 93.1 | 78.2 | +14.9 | |
| 2 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 78% | 82.6 | 75.9 | +6.7 | |
| 3 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 77% | 86.8 | 75.4 | +11.4 | |
| 4 | 43 | 24 | 19 | 56% | 82.0 | 80.5 | +1.6 | |
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 53% | 84.2 | 80.6 | +3.6 | |
| 6 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 52% | 78.8 | 78.0 | +0.8 | |
| 7 | 52 | 24 | 28 | 46% | 78.4 | 81.7 | -3.3 | |
| 8 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 44% | 82.3 | 93.7 | -11.4 | |
| 9 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 40% | 78.3 | 81.9 | -3.5 | |
| 10 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 36% | 80.6 | 83.5 | -2.9 | |
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 23 | 32% | 76.4 | 82.7 | -6.4 | |
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 24 | 29% | 78.1 | 88.1 | -10.0 | |
| 13 | 35 | 10 | 25 | 29% | 78.6 | 81.6 | -3.0 | |
| 14 | 32 | 5 | 27 | 16% | 76.1 | 89.6 | -13.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 23 | 30 | 17 | 91 | |
| 26 | 18 | 10 | 15 | 69 |
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