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U. De Concepcion vs Ancud Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 99-86
34-20 23-27 28-18 14-21
Position#1
Record20-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#6
Record10-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game79.3
ChileLNB· Gimnasio de la Casa del Deporte
Other2024-25
Meetings · U. De Concepcion v Ancud
05 Nov 2026
U. D91
ANCU69
04 Nov 2026
U. D89
ANCU80
21 Oct 2026
U. D95
ANCU78
29 Oct 2025
U. D79
ANCU70
19 Oct 2025
U. D63
ANCU77
29 Mar 2025
U. D99
ANCU86
31 Jan 2025
U. D84
ANCU75
13 Nov 2024
U. D91
ANCU75
12 Jan 2024
U. D90
ANCU107
21 Dec 2023
U. D86
ANCU63
27 Jan 2023
U. D115
ANCU78
08 Jan 2022
U. D93
ANCU65
26 Jan 2020
U. D96
ANCU84
09 Dec 2018
U. D69
ANCU76
07 Oct 2017
U. D72
ANCU80
29 Oct 2016
U. D98
ANCU97
13 Dec 2015
U. D83
ANCU81
03 Jan 2015
U. D81
ANCU74
08 Nov 2014
U. D97
ANCU59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

U. De Concepcion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ancud winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
61-81
61
81
-20
49avg 83
A02/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
W
104-81
104
81
+23
102avg 83
H06/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
106-51
106
51
+55
112avg 83
H08/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
103-57
103
57
+46
104avg 83
H09/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
W
114-82
114
82
+32
114avg 83
A13/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
104-65
104
65
+39
102avg 83
A15/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
82-79
82
79
+3
72avg 83
A16/03
LNB
Valdivia
#11
L
79-88
79
88
-9
70avg 83
A21/03
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
W
85-84
85
84
+1
74avg 83
A22/03
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
114-80
114
80
+34
114avg 83
A27/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
18-19
17-17
12-18
20-21
30-22
33-12
21-26
30-18
22-13
34-11
20-9
19-10
27-24
34-11
23-12
35-30
25-17
27-22
27-13
27-14
27-19
29-15
21-17
27-20
20-20
17-25
18-14
17-32
26-12
13-27
23-17
21-21
23-21
21-25
20-17
32-23
23-19
30-23
29-15
170.0Avg total
95.2Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)90.974.8165.7+16.283%
Season at home (11)96.576.3172.7+20.291%
Season away (13)86.273.5159.7+12.877%
Last 10 (10)95.274.8170.0+20.480%
Last 5 (5)92.879.2172.0+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.059.0117.0-1.00%
vs Similar (5)78.679.6158.2-1.080%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)90.974.8165.7+16.283%
This opponent (Ancud) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AncudChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAncud
Date
Competition
Las Animas
#8
W
95-83
95
83
+12
97avg 75
A02/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
L
86-87
86
87
-1
80avg 75
A06/03
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
75-70
75
70
+5
69avg 75
A07/03
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
64-85
64
85
-21
59avg 75
A09/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
W
84-80
84
80
+4
80avg 75
H13/03
LNB
Catolica
#10
L
64-66
64
66
-2
56avg 75
H15/03
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
76-84
76
84
-8
72avg 75
H16/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
67-70
67
70
-3
54avg 75
H21/03
LNB
Valdivia
#11
W
87-70
87
70
+17
88avg 75
H23/03
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
102-104 OT
102
104
-2
96avg 75
A28/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
28-20
21-24
25-27
20-21
19-24
25-22
22-20
13-16
16-22
17-11
29-21
19-24
18-20
12-19
15-22
22-16
18-23
23-24
21-17
16-17
17-14
16-18
15-17
18-21
25-19
19-19
14-25
17-24
18-16
17-16
15-14
20-9
24-25
26-15
17-21
23-17
17-28
26-23
24-22
159.9Avg total
80.0Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.079.3156.3-2.242%
Season at home (12)77.877.4155.2+0.350%
Season away (12)76.381.2157.5-4.833%
Last 10 (10)80.079.9159.9+0.140%
Last 5 (5)79.278.8158.0+0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)74.882.2157.0-7.428%
vs Similar (3)84.779.3164.0+5.367%
vs Weaker (9)76.868.2145.0+8.678%
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: -0.9-0.9
U. De ConcepcionAncud
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A02/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H06/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H08/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H09/03
LNB
Puente Alto
#9
W
60-47
60
47
+13
A13/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#12
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A15/03
LNB
Colo Colo
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A16/03
LNB
Valdivia
#11
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A21/03
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A22/03
LNB
Las Animas
#8
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A27/03
LNB
88.5Avg total
48.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)45.240.385.6+4.966%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.538.282.7+6.373%-
Last 30 away (14)46.142.688.7+3.457%-
Last 10 (10)48.340.288.5+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)48.640.288.8+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.037.069.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (5)41.041.482.4-0.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)46.740.387.0+6.574%-
This opponent (Ancud) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AncudLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Las Animas
#8
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A02/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A06/03
LNB
Catolica
#10
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A07/03
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A09/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H13/03
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H15/03
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H16/03
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H21/03
LNB
Valdivia
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H23/03
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#3
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A28/03
LNB
77.7Avg total
38.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.639.377.9-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.938.479.3+2.469%-
Last 30 away (14)36.140.276.3-4.121%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.877.7+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.077.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.840.979.7-2.244%-
vs Similar (3)41.043.384.3-2.333%-
vs Weaker (9)37.634.672.1+3.056%-
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 94.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.126.4
57.3%
50.4%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.3
34.3%
32.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.716.3
75.1%
71.2%16.3
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ancudtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ancud: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.719.6
52.0%
50.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.2
35.5%
32.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.112.2
67.4%
71.2%12.2
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
U. De Concepcion
WWLWWWWWWL
Ancud
LWLLLWLWLW
#1
League position
#6
+25.3
Net rating
-0.1
120.1
Offensive rating
105.3
94.8
Defensive rating
105.4
55.3%
Effective FG%
52.5%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
11.9%
Turnover %
20.1%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.3%
3-point %
35.5%
64.3%
Assist %
60.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence120.1 · 105.3Defence94.8 · 105.4Shooting55.3% · 52.5%3-point %34.3% · 35.5%Ball care11.9% · 20.1%Off. rebounds28.8% · 33.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ U. De Concepcion   ■ Ancud
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
U. De Concepcion wins
2
Ancud wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25ALas Animas114-80
22/03/25ACD Puerto Varas85-84
21/03/25AValdivia79-88
16/03/25AColo Colo82-79
15/03/25AEspanol de Talca104-65
13/03/25APuente Alto114-82
09/03/25HColo Colo103-57
08/03/25HEspanol de Talca106-51
06/03/25HPuente Alto104-81
02/03/25AEspanol Osorno61-81
Ancudlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/25ACD Puerto Varas102-104 OT
23/03/25HValdivia87-70
21/03/25HEspanol Osorno67-70
16/03/25HLeones Quilpue76-84
15/03/25HCatolica64-66
13/03/25HSportiva Italiana84-80
09/03/25ALeones Quilpue64-85
07/03/25ACatolica75-70
06/03/25ASportiva Italiana86-87
02/03/25ALas Animas95-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

U. De Concepcion
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWLWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %83%91%77%
Points / game90.996.586.2
Allowed / game74.876.373.5
Point differential+16.2+20.2+12.8
Avg total165.7172.7159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%55%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Ancud
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL42%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%50%33%
Points / game77.077.876.3
Allowed / game79.377.481.2
Point differential-2.2+0.3-4.8
Avg total156.3155.2157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)40% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue2523292%82.068.6+13.4
2 U. De Concepcion2420483%90.974.8+16.2
3 Espanol Osorno2518772%79.570.6+8.9
4 CD Puerto Varas25151060%79.277.0+2.2
5 Sportiva Italiana25141156%87.082.8+4.3
6 Puente Alto24111346%81.179.6+1.5
7 Colo Colo25111444%76.879.4-2.6
8 Ancud24101442%77.079.3-2.2
9 Las Animas25101540%77.283.5-6.3
10 Catolica2491538%64.572.8-8.3
11 Valdivia2552020%71.079.4-8.3
12 Espanol de Talca252238%66.384.6-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
U. De Concepcion3423281499
Ancud2027182186
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