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U. De Concepcion vs Liceo Pablo Neruda Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 144-76
25-22 39-18 40-17 40-19
Position#1
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game64.2
U. De Concepcion 🏆
Chile
vs
Liceo Pablo Neruda
Chile
Position#11
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game57.8
Allowed / game90.8
ChileCopa Chile· Gimnasio de la Casa del Deporte (Concepción)
Other2023
Meetings · U. De Concepcion v Liceo Pablo Neruda
02 Mar 2024
U. D87
LICE67
05 Jan 2024
U. D111
LICE68
15 Oct 2023
U. D144
LICE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

U. De Concepcion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liceo Pablo Neruda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
Las Animas
#6
W
90-81
90
81
+9
no box
A07/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
85-65
85
65
+20
no box
H02/07
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
86-88
86
88
-2
no box
H03/07
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
73-64
73
64
+9
no box
A09/07
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
88-74
88
74
+14
no box
A10/07
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
H16/07
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
67-51
67
51
+16
no box
A29/09
Copa Chile
Puente Alto
#8
W
89-63
89
63
+26
88avg 74
A08/10
Copa Chile
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
53-82
53
82
-29
35avg 74
A08/10
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#11
W
96-61
96
61
+35
100avg 74
A13/10
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
18-25
25-20
26-18
19-17
20-18
30-15
16-15
20-26
29-23
12-20
25-19
22-15
18-19
19-12
14-18
21-17
23-17
21-29
23-11
30-17
18-23
19-16
7-16
15-13
25-12
10-10
17-16
25-21
23-16
22-12
19-14
12-21
8-14
16-22
17-25
30-15
33-15
20-14
13-17
150.2Avg total
80.1Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.264.2140.5+12.075%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)76.264.2140.5+12.075%
Last 10 (10)80.170.1150.2+10.080%
Last 5 (5)75.865.8141.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)87.673.4161.0+14.280%
This opponent (Liceo Pablo Neruda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Liceo Pablo NerudaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeruda
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#4
W
97-70
97
70
+27
no box
H13/08
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
W
95-85
95
85
+10
no box
A20/08
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
W
72-63
72
63
+9
no box
H27/08
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
H27/08
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
60-99
60
99
-39
no box
A03/09
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
W
66-48
66
48
+18
no box
A03/09
LNB 2
Catolica
#10
L
58-72
58
72
-14
no box
A30/09
Copa Chile
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
56-97
56
97
-41
45avg 46
A07/10
Copa Chile
Puente Alto
#8
L
56-98
56
98
-42
41avg 46
A08/10
Copa Chile
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
61-96
61
96
-35
50avg 46
H13/10
Copa Chile
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-14
32-17
18-27
15-12
30-12
23-21
22-25
20-27
19-23
14-12
27-12
12-16
27-20
22-21
20-19
17-24
16-20
16-23
11-30
17-26
17-13
14-15
16-15
19-5
3-23
14-28
22-7
19-14
13-26
7-19
26-24
10-28
14-17
9-33
20-22
13-26
15-30
15-33
14-20
17-13
151.9Avg total
70.7Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)57.890.8148.5-33.00%
Season at home (1)61.096.0157.0-35.00%
Season away (3)56.789.0145.7-32.30%
Last 10 (10)70.781.2151.9-10.550%
Last 5 (5)59.482.2141.6-22.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)53.488.4141.8-35.00%
vs Similar (4)71.073.5144.5-2.575%
vs Weaker (18)93.361.7155.1+31.6100%
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.2-3.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.2-3.2
U. De ConcepcionLiceo Pablo Neruda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Las Animas
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A07/06
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H02/07
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H03/07
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A09/07
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A10/07
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#2
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H16/07
LNB
Catolica
#10
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A29/09
Copa Chile
Puente Alto
#8
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A08/10
Copa Chile
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A08/10
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#11
W
63-30
63
30
+33
A13/10
Copa Chile
79.2Avg total
43.0Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.937.682.5+7.377%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.138.184.2+7.986%-
Last 30 away (16)43.937.181.0+6.869%-
Last 10 (10)43.036.279.2+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.833.477.2+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)44.937.682.5+7.377%-
This opponent (Liceo Pablo Neruda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Liceo Pablo NerudaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sergio Ceppi
#4
W
64-31
64
31
+33
H13/08
LNB 2
Sergio Ceppi
#4
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A20/08
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H27/08
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H27/08
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A03/09
LNB 2
Sportiva Italiana
#2
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A03/09
LNB 2
Catolica
#10
L
17-51
17
51
-34
A30/09
Copa Chile
Leones Quilpue
#2
L
20-45
20
45
-25
A07/10
Copa Chile
Puente Alto
#8
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A08/10
Copa Chile
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
30-63
30
63
-33
H13/10
Copa Chile
77.2Avg total
35.2Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)41.835.477.2+6.462%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.532.077.5+13.569%-
Last 30 away (13)38.238.876.9-0.654%-
Last 10 (10)35.242.077.2-6.840%-
Last 5 (5)24.247.471.6-23.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)26.952.379.1-25.40%-
vs Similar (4)36.236.873.0-0.550%-
vs Weaker (15)50.327.177.4+23.193%-
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.7 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.1 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.017.3
44.4%
49.2%34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.011.3
40.5%
31.1%34.0
🏀 Free throws13.38.7
65.0%
68.6%8.7
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liceo Pablo Nerudatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liceo Pablo Neruda: 56.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.3 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.0 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.1 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.716.7
45.5%
49.2%33.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.35.7
23.3%
31.1%17.0
🏀 Free throws7.36.0
81.8%
68.6%6.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
U. De Concepcion
WLWWWWWLWW
Liceo Pablo Neruda
LLLLWLWWWW
#1
League position
#11
+11.7
Net rating
-52.6
104.0
Offensive rating
74.1
92.4
Defensive rating
126.7
51.2%
Effective FG%
41.3%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
59.9%
17.5%
Turnover %
21.6%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
13.3%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.12
40.5%
3-point %
23.3%
64.0%
Assist %
67.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 74.1Defence92.4 · 126.7Shooting51.2% · 41.3%3-point %40.5% · 23.3%Ball care17.5% · 21.6%Off. rebounds30.2% · 13.3%Free throws0.20 · 0.12Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ U. De Concepcion   ■ Liceo Pablo Neruda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
U. De Concepcion wins
0
Liceo Pablo Neruda wins
DateGameScore
13/10/23Liceo Pablo Neruda v U. De Concepcion61-96
U. De Concepcionlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23ALiceo Pablo Neruda96-61
08/10/23ALeones Quilpue53-82
08/10/23APuente Alto89-63
29/09/23ACatolica67-51
16/07/23HLeones Quilpue74-72
10/07/23ALeones Quilpue88-74
09/07/23ALeones Quilpue73-64
03/07/23HLeones Quilpue86-88
02/07/23HLeones Quilpue85-65
07/06/23ALas Animas90-81
Liceo Pablo Nerudalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23HU. De Concepcion61-96
08/10/23APuente Alto56-98
07/10/23ALeones Quilpue56-97
30/09/23ACatolica58-72
03/09/23ASportiva Italiana66-48
03/09/23ASportiva Italiana60-99
27/08/23HSportiva Italiana86-84
27/08/23HSportiva Italiana72-63
20/08/23ASergio Ceppi95-85
13/08/23HSergio Ceppi97-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

U. De Concepcion
Copa Chile 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
Home--
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %75%-75%
Points / game76.2-76.2
Allowed / game64.2-64.2
Point differential+12.0-+12.0
Avg total140.5-140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%-75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Liceo Pablo Neruda
Copa Chile 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game57.861.056.7
Allowed / game90.896.089.0
Point differential-33.0-35.0-32.3
Avg total148.5157.0145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue440100%90.060.8+29.2
2 Tinguiririca54180%77.462.8+14.6
3 Valdivia54180%78.467.8+10.6
4 U. De Concepcion43175%76.264.2+12.0
5 Ancud43175%75.869.8+6.0
6 Puente Alto53260%76.467.4+9.0
7 Las Animas53260%82.876.0+6.8
8 Espanol Osorno53260%76.270.6+5.6
9 CD Puerto Varas42250%79.273.0+6.2
10 Catolica52340%70.067.4+2.6
11 Naviera Ulloa4040%68.590.5-22.0
12 Puerto Montt3030%59.384.7-25.3
13 Espanol de Talca5050%48.481.2-32.8
14 Liceo Pablo Neruda4040%57.890.8-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
U. De Concepcion25394040144
Liceo Pablo Neruda2218171976
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