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UAB vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 77-59
0-0 39-27 0-0 38-32
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game60.0
UAB 🏆
USA
vs
Position#15
Record1-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game64.0
USANIT
Other2023
Meetings · UAB v Morehead State
19 Mar 2023
UAB77
MORE59
12 Nov 2021
UAB85
MORE71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UAB winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UABUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
W
92-69
92
69
+23
H11/02
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
79-66
79
66
+13
A17/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A18/02
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H24/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
W
72-60
72
60
+12
A26/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
A04/03
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
87-60
87
60
+27
H10/03
NCAA
North Texas
#19
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A10/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
56-78
56
78
-22
A12/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#32
W
88-60
88
60
+28
H14/03
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
47-22
0-0
45-47
0-0
36-34
0-0
43-32
0-0
35-41
0-0
48-37
0-0
55-24
0-0
30-33
0-0
33-29
0-0
39-31
0-0
32-32
0-0
43-43
0-0
40-30
0-0
47-30
0-0
35-28
0-0
41-41
0-0
27-46
0-0
29-32
0-0
41-38
0-0
47-22
149.9Avg total
81.1Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)88.060.0148.0+28.0100%
Season at home (1)88.060.0148.0+28.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.168.8149.9+12.390%
Last 5 (5)80.071.6151.6+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)72.576.2148.7-3.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)80.469.8150.2+10.582%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
64-45
64
45
+19
H03/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
W
71-66 OT
71
66
+5
A04/02
NCAA
UALR
#322
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A11/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#151
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H17/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H18/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A23/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H25/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H04/03
NCAA
Clemson
#20
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A15/03
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-24
0-0
31-21
0-0
35-29
0-0
24-30
0-0
30-29
0-0
38-43
0-0
34-25
0-0
31-34
0-0
34-24
0-0
40-40
0-0
38-23
0-0
33-35
0-0
39-25
0-0
30-38
0-0
32-24
0-0
40-34
0-0
34-29
0-0
24-36
0-0
32-34
0-0
36-30
129.4Avg total
68.0Scored
61.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.064.0132.0+4.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)68.064.0132.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)68.061.4129.4+6.680%
Last 5 (5)67.661.6129.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)59.083.0142.0-24.00%
vs Similar (19)66.368.1134.4-1.758%
vs Weaker (9)79.360.9140.2+18.489%
This opponent (UAB) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +7.5+7.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.4+6.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +7.5+7.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +6.4+6.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
UABMorehead State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#143
W
47-22
47
22
+25
H11/02
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A17/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#331
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
55-24
55
24
+31
H24/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A26/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#149
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A04/03
NCAA
Rice
#164
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H10/03
NCAA
North Texas
#19
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A10/03
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#6
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A12/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#32
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H14/03
NIT
70.5Avg total
38.1Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.731.268.9+6.657%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.229.570.7+11.671%-
Last 30 away (13)33.233.366.5-0.138%-
Last 10 (10)38.132.470.5+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)35.034.869.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)33.335.869.2-2.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)37.629.967.5+7.759%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A04/02
NCAA
UALR
#322
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A10/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A11/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#151
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H17/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H18/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A23/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H25/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Clemson
#20
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A15/03
NIT
60.7Avg total
34.1Scored
26.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.930.265.1+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.528.766.3+8.880%-
Last 30 away (15)32.331.663.9+0.760%-
Last 10 (10)34.126.660.7+7.590%-
Last 5 (5)35.027.062.0+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)31.037.068.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (19)32.630.863.4+1.863%-
vs Weaker (9)40.627.768.2+12.9100%-
This opponent (UAB) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
UAB wins
0
Morehead State wins
DateGameScore
13/11/21UAB v Morehead State85-71
UABlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/23HSouthern Miss88-60
12/03/23AFlorida Atlantic56-78
10/03/23ANorth Texas76-69
10/03/23HRice87-60
04/03/23ACharlotte93-91 OT
26/02/23AWestern Kentucky72-60
24/02/23HRice85-57
18/02/23AUTSA Roadrunners83-78
17/02/23AUTEP79-66
11/02/23HMiddle Tenn. St.92-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/23AClemson68-64
04/03/23HSoutheast Missouri State58-65
25/02/23HUT Martin72-58
23/02/23AEastern Illinois69-63
18/02/23HLindenwood71-58
17/02/23HTennessee State74-64
11/02/23ASoutheast Missouri State65-59
10/02/23AUALR68-72
04/02/23ASouthern Indiana71-66 OT
03/02/23HTennessee Tech64-45

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UAB
NIT 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game88.088.0-
Allowed / game60.060.0-
Point differential+28.0+28.0-
Avg total148.0148.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Morehead State
NIT 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game68.0-68.0
Allowed / game64.0-64.0
Point differential+4.0-+4.0
Avg total132.0-132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UAB110100%88.060.0+28.0
2 Oregon110100%84.058.0+26.0
3 UCF Knights110100%67.049.0+18.0
4 North Texas110100%69.053.0+16.0
5 Utah Valley State110100%83.069.0+14.0
6 Cincinnati220100%80.068.5+11.5
7 Wisconsin220100%78.066.5+11.5
8 Oklahoma State220100%70.062.0+8.0
9 Vanderbilt220100%68.563.5+5.0
10 Morehead State110100%68.064.0+4.0
11 Sam Houston St.110100%58.056.0+2.0
12 Colorado110100%65.064.0+1.0
13 Michigan21150%77.573.0+4.5
14 Liberty21150%66.566.0+0.5
15 East. Washington21150%70.572.5-2.0
16 Hofstra21150%76.582.5-6.0
17 Seton Hall1010%64.065.0-1.0
18 Rutgers1010%86.088.0-2.0
19 Santa Clara1010%56.058.0-2.0
20 Clemson1010%64.068.0-4.0
21 Villanova1010%57.062.0-5.0
22 Youngstown State1010%64.069.0-5.0
23 Washington State1010%74.081.0-7.0
24 Virginia Tech1010%72.081.0-9.0
25 Yale1010%62.071.0-9.0
26 Toledo1010%80.090.0-10.0
27 New Mexico1010%69.083.0-14.0
28 Alcorn State1010%53.069.0-16.0
29 Florida1010%49.067.0-18.0
30 Bradley1010%62.081.0-19.0
31 UC Irvine1010%58.084.0-26.0
32 Southern Miss1010%60.088.0-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 32 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
UAB03903877
Morehead State02703259
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