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Morehead State vs Southeast Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 58-65
34-29 24-36
Position#82
Record21-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game66.5
vs
Position#187
Record17-16
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game76.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Morehead State v Southeast Missouri State
06 Mar 2026
MORE66
SOUT61
10 Jan 2026
MORE71
SOUT69
06 Feb 2025
MORE51
SOUT80
29 Feb 2024
MORE72
SOUT50
03 Mar 2023
MORE58
SOUT65
14 Jan 2023
MORE86
SOUT91
19 Feb 2022
MORE84
SOUT92
03 Mar 2021
MORE61
SOUT54
21 Jan 2021
MORE76
SOUT65
30 Jan 2020
MORE90
SOUT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southeast Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#322
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H28/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
64-45
64
45
+19
H03/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
W
71-66 OT
71
66
+5
A04/02
NCAA
UALR
#322
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A10/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A11/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#151
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H17/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H18/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A23/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-34
38-38
20-23
35-27
33-24
31-21
35-29
24-30
30-29
38-43
34-25
31-34
34-24
40-40
38-23
33-35
39-25
30-38
32-24
40-34
129.2Avg total
68.5Scored
60.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)70.666.5137.1+4.268%
Season at home (16)77.361.8139.1+15.588%
Season away (15)63.571.4134.9-7.947%
Last 10 (10)68.560.7129.2+7.890%
Last 5 (5)70.260.4130.6+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.083.0142.0-24.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)66.868.2135.0-1.461%
vs Weaker (11)79.560.1139.6+19.591%
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southeast Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#322
W
99-98
99
98
+1
H03/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A04/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#151
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A10/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#82
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H17/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H18/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
L
102-105 OT
102
105
-3
A24/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A25/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H02/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#151
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-50
58-48
36-47
44-35
35-47
30-38
25-34
34-31
47-29
31-35
36-39
49-41
45-32
33-46
35-52
43-41
39-35
45-30
35-31
56-52
164.1Avg total
82.1Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)77.776.3154.0+1.452%
Season at home (15)79.170.3149.3+8.873%
Season away (18)76.681.4157.9-4.833%
Last 10 (10)82.182.0164.1+0.150%
Last 5 (5)88.085.2173.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)60.073.0133.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)75.980.5156.3-4.633%
vs Weaker (7)87.177.0164.1+10.186%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +2.6+2.6
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.3+7.31st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +2.6+2.6
Morehead StateSoutheast Missouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#322
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
20-23
20
23
-3
H28/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A04/02
NCAA
UALR
#322
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A10/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
34-25
34
25
+9
A11/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#151
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H17/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H18/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A23/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H25/02
NCAA
59.3Avg total
33.3Scored
26.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.429.564.9+5.973%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.127.865.9+10.281%-
Last 30 away (14)32.331.463.7+0.964%-
Last 10 (10)33.326.059.3+7.390%-
Last 5 (5)35.424.259.6+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.037.068.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)32.530.963.4+1.661%-
vs Weaker (11)40.526.567.0+13.9100%-
This opponent (Southeast Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southeast Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#322
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H03/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A04/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#151
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A10/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#82
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H11/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H17/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A24/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A25/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H02/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#151
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A03/03
NCAA
77.0Avg total
37.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.237.573.7-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.433.369.7+3.150%-
Last 30 away (16)36.041.277.2-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)37.439.677.0-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.875.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.042.078.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)33.839.373.1-5.624%-
vs Weaker (7)41.733.775.4+8.086%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23HUT Martin72-58
23/02/23AEastern Illinois69-63
18/02/23HLindenwood71-58
17/02/23HTennessee State74-64
11/02/23ASoutheast Missouri State65-59
10/02/23AUALR68-72
04/02/23ASouthern Indiana71-66 OT
03/02/23HTennessee Tech64-45
28/01/23HSiu Edwardsville55-50
27/01/23HUALR76-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23ATennessee State91-83
02/03/23HLindenwood84-65
25/02/23ASiu Edwardsville78-93
24/02/23ALindenwood102-105 OT
18/02/23HSouthern Indiana85-80
17/02/23HEastern Illinois78-64
11/02/23HMorehead State59-65
10/02/23ATennessee State65-85
04/02/23ATennessee Tech80-82
03/02/23HUALR99-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %68%88%47%
Points / game70.677.363.5
Allowed / game66.561.871.4
Point differential+4.2+15.5-7.9
Avg total137.1139.1134.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Southeast Missouri State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW52%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331518
Win %52%73%33%
Points / game77.779.176.6
Allowed / game76.370.381.4
Point differential+1.4+8.8-4.8
Avg total154.0149.3157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%47%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)67% (3)29% (7)
Overtime %6%7%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State31211068%70.666.5+4.2
2 UT Martin32191359%81.175.3+5.8
3 Siu Edwardsville33191458%74.671.3+3.3
4 Tennessee State32181456%78.175.0+3.1
5 Western Illinois29161355%73.572.6+0.9
6 Southeast Missouri State33171652%77.776.3+1.4
7 Southern Indiana32161650%76.574.1+2.4
8 Tennessee Tech31151648%73.373.2+0.1
9 Lindenwood32112134%69.673.8-4.2
10 UALR31102132%75.479.4-4.0
11 Eastern Illinois3192229%68.872.1-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State342458
Southeast Missouri State293665
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