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UALR vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 72-68
29-30 43-38
Position#322
Record7-18
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game79.2
UALR 🏆
USA
vs
Position#82
Record16-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game67.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · UALR v Morehead State
26 Feb 2026
UALR70
MORE76
09 Jan 2025
UALR53
MORE59
09 Mar 2024
UALR55
MORE69
15 Feb 2024
UALR69
MORE68
09 Feb 2023
UALR72
MORE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UALR winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lindenwood
#304
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H05/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H07/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A13/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H20/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#151
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H21/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#82
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A27/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A28/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
98-99
98
99
-1
A03/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-27
21-40
33-36
35-38
36-40
31-34
25-32
38-38
30-37
45-40
39-29
50-48
34-38
38-38
40-39
51-50
50-41
48-58
37-46
44-38
155.3Avg total
76.6Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.779.2153.8-4.528%
Season at home (10)78.672.4151.0+6.260%
Season away (15)72.183.7155.7-11.67%
Last 10 (10)76.678.7155.3-2.120%
Last 5 (5)86.285.0171.2+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)72.380.7153.0-8.319%
vs Similar (5)71.275.4146.6-4.220%
vs Weaker (3)72.369.3141.7+3.067%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#206
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H06/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H07/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A13/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
86-91
86
91
-5
H14/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A20/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A21/01
NCAA
UALR
#322
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H28/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
64-45
64
45
+19
H03/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
W
71-66 OT
71
66
+5
A04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-37
48-43
38-20
31-39
35-36
27-43
49-47
37-44
36-26
31-32
39-33
33-30
38-34
38-38
20-23
35-27
33-24
31-21
35-29
24-30
136.9Avg total
70.6Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)70.867.4138.2+3.464%
Season at home (13)78.562.2140.7+16.285%
Season away (12)62.573.1135.6-10.642%
Last 10 (10)70.666.3136.9+4.380%
Last 5 (5)67.659.2126.8+8.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.077.0140.0-14.00%
vs Similar (17)64.569.8134.3-5.253%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.158.8139.9+22.391%
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: +5.0+5.02nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -1.2-1.2
UALRMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lindenwood
#304
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H05/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H07/01
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A13/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A14/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H20/01
NCAA
Tennessee State
#151
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H21/01
NCAA
Morehead State
#82
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A27/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A28/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A03/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H04/02
NCAA
73.0Avg total
36.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.136.769.9-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.332.768.0+2.750%-
Last 30 away (18)31.739.471.1-7.822%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.573.0+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.678.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)33.139.572.6-6.424%-
vs Similar (5)33.032.265.2+0.840%-
vs Weaker (3)31.030.361.3+0.767%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#206
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H06/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
38-20
38
20
+18
H07/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A13/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A20/01
NCAA
Lindenwood
#304
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A21/01
NCAA
UALR
#322
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
20-23
20
23
-3
H28/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#206
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A04/02
NCAA
66.8Avg total
35.9Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.030.665.6+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.428.666.9+9.879%-
Last 30 away (16)32.132.464.4-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)35.930.966.8+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)33.028.661.6+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.535.568.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (17)32.032.164.1-0.153%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.127.567.5+12.691%-
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UALR wins
1
Morehead State wins
DateGameScore
27/01/23Morehead State v UALR76-72
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23HSiu Edwardsville81-84
03/02/23ASoutheast Missouri State98-99
28/01/23ATennessee Tech91-89
27/01/23AMorehead State72-76
21/01/23HTennessee State89-77
20/01/23HTennessee Tech75-77
14/01/23AEastern Illinois63-70
13/01/23ASouthern Indiana67-74
07/01/23HSoutheast Missouri State68-74
05/01/23HLindenwood62-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23ASouthern Indiana71-66 OT
03/02/23HTennessee Tech64-45
28/01/23HSiu Edwardsville55-50
27/01/23HUALR76-72
21/01/23ALindenwood72-63
20/01/23ASiu Edwardsville67-58
14/01/23HSoutheast Missouri State86-91
13/01/23ATennessee Tech62-79
07/01/23HEastern Illinois69-59
06/01/23HSouthern Indiana84-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UALR
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL28%
HomeLLLWL60%
AwayLLLWL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251015
Win %28%60%7%
Points / game74.778.672.1
Allowed / game79.272.483.7
Point differential-4.5+6.2-11.6
Avg total153.8151.0155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)25% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeWLWWW85%
AwayLLWWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %64%85%42%
Points / game70.878.562.5
Allowed / game67.462.273.1
Point differential+3.4+16.2-10.6
Avg total138.2140.7135.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%46%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)80% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siu Edwardsville2516964%73.969.2+4.8
2 Morehead State2516964%70.867.4+3.4
3 UT Martin25151060%81.074.5+6.5
4 Western Illinois25151060%73.672.0+1.6
5 Tennessee State25141156%77.274.3+2.9
6 Southern Indiana25131252%76.773.0+3.7
7 Southeast Missouri State25131252%76.975.2+1.7
8 Tennessee Tech25111444%72.472.8-0.4
9 Lindenwood2591636%68.471.8-3.4
10 Eastern Illinois2571828%68.171.4-3.2
11 UALR2571828%74.779.2-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UALR294372
Morehead State303868
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