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UAB vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 74-70
33-29 41-41
Position#77
Record19-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game75.9
UAB 🏆
USA
vs
SMU Mustangs
USA
Position#99
Record20-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game67.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UAB winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UABUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#159
W
82-79 OT
82
79
+3
A01/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A04/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
W
76-73 OT
76
73
+3
H09/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A11/02
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H18/02
NCAA
Rice
#315
L
71-94
71
94
-23
H22/02
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A25/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H29/02
NCAA
Memphis
#57
L
87-106
87
106
-19
A03/03
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
100-72
100
72
+28
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
26-35
46-37
27-32
42-40
32-39
35-28
30-32
40-31
34-24
37-38
24-49
47-45
37-38
41-29
33-39
33-35
61-46
26-60
47-32
53-40
153.2Avg total
77.0Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.475.9153.3+1.563%
Season at home (18)77.675.2152.7+2.467%
Season away (12)77.276.9154.1+0.258%
Last 10 (10)77.076.2153.2+0.860%
Last 5 (5)80.482.6163.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.976.3148.1-4.443%
vs Similar (16)77.976.8154.7+1.262%
vs Weaker (6)80.076.3156.3+3.783%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#251
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H02/02
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
95-69
95
69
+26
A08/02
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
87-79
87
79
+8
A16/02
NCAA
Memphis
#57
W
106-79
106
79
+27
H18/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A23/02
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A25/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H02/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-32
42-44
32-27
40-42
40-37
55-32
30-34
41-34
37-41
50-38
58-36
48-43
37-41
33-39
26-34
42-45
36-34
37-43
22-30
43-35
155.5Avg total
80.2Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.167.4144.5+9.767%
Season at home (17)79.865.8145.5+14.082%
Season away (13)73.669.5143.1+4.246%
Last 10 (10)80.275.3155.5+4.970%
Last 5 (5)79.478.4157.8+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)71.370.8142.1+0.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)79.665.9145.5+13.781%
This opponent (UAB) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +3.6+3.6
UABSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UABLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Texas
#159
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A01/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A04/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H09/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A11/02
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H18/02
NCAA
Rice
#315
L
24-49
24
49
-25
H22/02
NCAA
Tulane
#251
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A25/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H29/02
NCAA
Memphis
#57
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A03/03
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A08/03
NCAA
71.7Avg total
35.1Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.337.473.7-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.037.773.7-1.744%-
Last 30 away (12)36.837.173.8-0.333%-
Last 10 (10)35.136.671.7-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.881.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.136.666.7-6.429%-
vs Similar (16)38.137.775.8+0.444%-
vs Weaker (6)37.539.376.8-1.833%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#251
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H02/02
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H04/02
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A08/02
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Tulane
#251
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/02
NCAA
Memphis
#57
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#35
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A23/02
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A25/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H02/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#250
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H07/03
NCAA
70.2Avg total
35.6Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.531.167.6+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.629.567.1+8.176%-
Last 30 away (13)35.233.168.2+2.162%-
Last 10 (10)35.634.670.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.070.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)35.431.166.6+4.356%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.031.068.0+6.076%-
This opponent (UAB) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UAB wins
1
SMU Mustangs wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24SMU Mustangs v UAB72-69
UABlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24ATemple100-72
03/03/24AMemphis87-106
29/02/24HWichita State66-74
25/02/24ATulane78-67
22/02/24HRice71-94
18/02/24HNorth Texas71-62
11/02/24ATulsa70-63
09/02/24HFlorida Atlantic76-73 OT
04/02/24ASMU Mustangs69-72
01/02/24ANorth Texas82-79 OT
SMU Mustangslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/24HEast Carolina80-77 OT
02/03/24HUTSA Roadrunners73-77
25/02/24ASouth Florida68-79
23/02/24AFlorida Atlantic70-80
18/02/24HMemphis106-79
16/02/24ATulane87-79
11/02/24HNorth Texas71-68
08/02/24ARice95-69
04/02/24HUAB72-69
02/02/24HTulane80-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UAB
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW63%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLWWLW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %63%67%58%
Points / game77.477.677.2
Allowed / game75.975.276.9
Point differential+1.5+2.4+0.2
Avg total153.3152.7154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%11%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)67% (9)75% (4)
Overtime %13%17%8%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW67%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLWWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %67%82%46%
Points / game77.179.873.6
Allowed / game67.465.869.5
Point differential+9.7+14.0+4.2
Avg total144.5145.5143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%59%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)67% (6)0% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Florida2923679%75.468.6+6.8
2 Florida Atlantic3124777%83.073.3+9.7
3 Memphis3122971%81.075.9+5.1
4 Charlotte30191163%69.265.9+3.4
5 UAB30191163%77.475.9+1.5
6 North Texas30171357%68.662.4+6.2
7 Tulsa30161453%74.973.5+1.3
8 Tulane30141647%82.380.0+2.3
9 East Carolina31141745%69.269.6-0.5
10 Wichita State31131842%72.873.1-0.3
11 Temple30111937%70.973.6-2.7
12 UTSA Roadrunners30111937%78.081.4-3.4
13 Rice31112035%71.775.3-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Carolina3125681%81.670.1+11.5
2 Duke3124777%80.267.2+13.0
3 Virginia3122971%63.559.1+4.3
4 Pittsburgh31211068%75.867.5+8.3
5 Clemson31211068%78.171.2+7.0
6 SMU Mustangs30201067%77.167.4+9.7
7 Syracuse31201165%76.775.4+1.3
8 Wake Forest31191261%78.770.5+8.2
9 Virginia Tech31181358%75.070.6+4.4
10 NC State31171455%75.572.8+2.7
11 Boston College31171455%74.873.1+1.7
12 Florida State31161552%76.575.8+0.7
13 Miami (FL)32151747%75.773.3+2.4
14 Georgia Tech31141745%70.774.9-4.2
15 Stanford30131743%76.576.4+0.1
16 California31131842%73.976.7-2.8
17 Notre Dame31121939%63.566.6-3.0
18 Louisville3182326%71.678.6-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UAB334174
SMU Mustangs294170
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