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UALR vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 55-81
28-42 27-39
Position#311
Record4-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game72.4
vs
Position#49
Record4-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UALR winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#130
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A06/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H09/11
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#599
W
115-51
115
51
+64
H13/11
NCAA
Arkansas Baptist
#408
W
91-60
91
60
+31
H14/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#275
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A18/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
L
59-77
59
77
-18
H21/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H22/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A27/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
55-86
55
86
-31
A02/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-30
31-37
34-37
35-29
63-29
52-22
45-38
46-22
33-42
30-40
21-36
38-41
34-18
33-42
42-38
21-39
20-43
35-43
34-49
44-44
143.9Avg total
72.0Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.372.4145.8+0.944%
Season at home (5)80.262.8143.0+17.480%
Season away (4)64.884.5149.2-19.80%
Last 10 (10)72.071.9143.9+0.140%
Last 5 (5)64.478.6143.0-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)62.873.2136.0-10.38%
vs Similar (14)67.469.4136.8-1.943%
vs Weaker (4)92.561.0153.5+31.5100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#279
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H06/03
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A06/03
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H10/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#308
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H14/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
77-55
77
55
+22
A18/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
92-66
92
66
+26
A23/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#267
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H24/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
L
74-79 OT
74
79
-5
A02/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#56
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-13
35-42
37-40
32-31
41-45
53-54
42-29
36-31
33-22
44-33
55-25
37-41
43-45
33-32
32-19
40-35
34-32
30-32
27-35
41-39
145.6Avg total
76.6Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.970.5149.4+8.450%
Season at home (5)77.672.8150.4+4.840%
Season away (3)81.066.7147.7+14.367%
Last 10 (10)76.669.0145.6+7.650%
Last 5 (5)76.470.0146.4+6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)59.871.8131.6-12.00%
vs Similar (4)74.261.0135.2+13.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)76.868.8145.6+8.075%
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +1.1+1.1
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -0.5-0.51st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: +0.6+0.62nd half: +1.1+1.1
UALRMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#130
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A06/03
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/11
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#599
W
63-29
63
29
+34
H13/11
NCAA
Arkansas Baptist
#408
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H14/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#275
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A18/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
L
21-36
21
36
-15
H21/11
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
34-18
34
18
+16
H22/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#292
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A27/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#14
L
20-43
20
43
-23
A02/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A04/12
NCAA
71.5Avg total
35.5Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.134.066.1-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.930.965.8+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)29.337.166.4-7.727%-
Last 10 (10)35.536.071.5-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)30.236.867.0-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)26.337.463.8-11.10%-
vs Similar (14)32.931.964.7+1.071%-
vs Weaker (4)46.831.278.0+15.575%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valparaiso
#279
W
31-13
31
13
+18
H06/03
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H10/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#308
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H14/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A18/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
55-25
55
25
+30
A23/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#267
W
32-19
32
19
+13
H24/11
NCAA
Illinois State
#269
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A02/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#56
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H04/12
NCAA
68.0Avg total
37.5Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.531.768.2+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.430.966.3+4.565%-
Last 30 away (13)38.032.770.7+5.369%-
Last 10 (10)37.530.568.0+7.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.231.269.4+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.038.669.6-7.620%-
vs Similar (4)35.827.563.2+8.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.031.169.1+6.975%-
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UALR wins
1
Missouri State wins
DateGameScore
22/12/20Missouri State v UALR85-77
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/21AArkansas78-93
02/12/21AColorado State55-86
27/11/21ATulsa63-77
22/11/21HNorthern Illinois67-60
21/11/21HSam Houston St.59-77
18/11/21ALoyola Marymount63-82
14/11/21HArkansas Baptist91-60
13/11/21HChampion Christian Tigers115-51
09/11/21HSouthern Illinois69-66
06/03/21AAppalachian State60-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/21HBrigham Young68-74
02/12/21AIllinois State74-79 OT
24/11/21HGeorge Washington72-54
24/11/21HEast Tennessee St76-77
23/11/21ALong Beach State92-66
18/11/21ASam Houston St.77-55
14/11/21HAlabama State78-60
10/11/21HSoutheast Missouri State94-99
06/03/21ADrake69-71
06/03/21HValparaiso66-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UALR
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL44%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%80%0%
Points / game73.380.264.8
Allowed / game72.462.884.5
Point differential+0.9+17.4-19.8
Avg total145.8143.0149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Missouri State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%40%67%
Points / game78.977.681.0
Allowed / game70.572.866.7
Point differential+8.4+4.8+14.3
Avg total149.4150.4147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Illinois108280%83.071.8+11.2
2 Morehead State96367%68.063.8+4.2
3 Southeast Missouri State84450%75.076.9-1.9
4 UALR94544%73.372.4+0.9
5 UT Martin93633%73.473.4+0.0
6 Siu Edwardsville93633%67.269.9-2.7
7 Tennessee Tech92722%70.373.2-2.9
8 Eastern Illinois102820%58.170.6-12.5
9 Tennessee State71614%73.072.4+0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Middle Tenn. St.97278%79.764.0+15.7
2 New Mexico State97278%76.872.2+4.6
3 Louisiana Tech86275%81.273.1+8.1
4 Delaware118373%74.069.6+4.4
5 Liberty85362%68.455.6+12.8
6 Western Kentucky85362%79.167.4+11.8
7 Missouri State84450%78.970.5+8.4
8 UTEP84450%68.163.2+4.9
9 Sam Houston St.83538%72.866.2+6.5
10 Jacksonville State83538%67.967.4+0.5
11 Kennesaw State93633%75.172.4+2.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UALR282755
Missouri State423981
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