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Illinois State vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 79-74 (OT)
32-34 32-30 15-10
Position#269
Record3-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#49
Record4-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Illinois State v Missouri State
06 Mar 2025
ILLI70
MISS54
18 Jan 2025
ILLI74
MISS68
28 Feb 2024
ILLI75
MISS74
11 Jan 2023
ILLI76
MISS66
01 Dec 2021
ILLI79
MISS74
07 Feb 2021
ILLI62
MISS72
06 Feb 2021
ILLI67
MISS74
07 Jan 2020
ILLI63
MISS67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#254
L
56-70
56
70
-14
H27/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
87-94 OT
87
94
-7
H27/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A05/03
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#54
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H10/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
A12/11
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H17/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#328
W
105-100 OT
105
100
+5
H21/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A24/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
90-106
90
106
-16
H24/11
NCAA
Purdue Northwest
#382
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-34
31-36
37-30
33-40
29-30
31-35
23-32
45-31
44-32
35-47
25-41
40-36
39-42
49-46
33-34
43-48
34-49
56-57
39-32
42-39
161.7Avg total
78.6Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.386.0169.3-2.743%
Season at home (5)81.883.4165.2-1.660%
Season away (2)87.092.5179.5-5.50%
Last 10 (10)78.683.1161.7-4.530%
Last 5 (5)83.487.2170.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)69.680.2149.8-10.717%
vs Similar (13)65.169.2134.2-4.123%
vs Weaker (4)117.893.2211.0+24.575%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#277
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A27/02
NCAA
Evansville
#277
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A28/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H06/03
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A06/03
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
94-99
94
99
-5
H10/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#308
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H14/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
77-55
77
55
+22
A18/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
92-66
92
66
+26
A23/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#267
W
72-54
72
54
+18
H24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-37
48-44
30-38
33-34
31-13
35-42
37-40
32-31
41-45
53-54
42-29
36-31
33-22
44-33
55-25
37-41
43-45
33-32
32-19
40-35
146.7Avg total
77.7Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.568.5150.0+13.067%
Season at home (4)80.072.5152.5+7.550%
Season away (2)84.560.5145.0+24.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.769.0146.7+8.760%
Last 5 (5)79.062.4141.4+16.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)59.871.8131.6-12.00%
vs Similar (3)76.356.7133.0+19.7100%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)77.868.2145.9+9.680%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +1.4+1.4
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: +1.4+1.4
Illinois StateMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#254
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H27/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H27/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#254
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A05/03
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#54
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H10/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A12/11
NCAA
Murray State
#4
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H17/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#328
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H21/11
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#75
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A24/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H24/11
NCAA
Purdue Northwest
#382
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H28/11
NCAA
68.4Avg total
32.8Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.736.268.9-3.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.437.071.4-2.625%-
Last 30 away (14)30.935.366.1-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)32.835.668.4-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)34.039.673.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)29.938.868.7-8.88%-
vs Similar (13)29.433.562.8-4.131%-
vs Weaker (4)50.538.589.0+12.075%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#277
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A27/02
NCAA
Evansville
#277
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A28/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#279
W
31-13
31
13
+18
H06/03
NCAA
Drake
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#244
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H10/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#308
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H14/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#146
W
33-22
33
22
+11
A18/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#116
W
55-25
55
25
+30
A23/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#219
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H24/11
NCAA
George Washington
#267
W
32-19
32
19
+13
H24/11
NCAA
69.9Avg total
38.6Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.131.168.2+5.970%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.230.166.3+6.272%-
Last 30 away (12)38.332.871.1+5.667%-
Last 10 (10)38.631.369.9+7.360%-
Last 5 (5)41.028.069.0+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.038.669.6-7.620%-
vs Similar (3)38.725.063.7+13.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.531.169.5+7.475%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois State wins
4
Missouri State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/21HPurdue Northwest81-71
24/11/21HBuffalo90-106
24/11/21ASt. Louis Billikens76-82
21/11/21HBucknell105-100 OT
17/11/21HMurray State65-77
12/11/21AEastern Michigan98-103 OT
10/11/21HNC Wilmington68-63
05/03/21ANorthern Iowa60-65
27/02/21HNorthern Iowa87-94 OT
27/02/21HNorthern Iowa56-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/21HGeorge Washington72-54
24/11/21HEast Tennessee St76-77
23/11/21ALong Beach State92-66
18/11/21ASam Houston St.77-55
14/11/21HAlabama State78-60
10/11/21HSoutheast Missouri State94-99
06/03/21ADrake69-71
06/03/21HValparaiso66-55
28/02/21AEvansville63-72
27/02/21AEvansville90-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %43%60%0%
Points / game83.381.887.0
Allowed / game86.083.492.5
Point differential-2.7-1.6-5.5
Avg total169.3165.2179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %29%20%50%
Missouri State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game81.580.084.5
Allowed / game68.572.560.5
Point differential+13.0+7.5+24.0
Avg total150.0152.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State76186%82.061.9+20.1
2 Belmont85362%76.672.8+3.9
3 Southern Illinois74357%61.960.4+1.4
4 Drake63350%75.565.3+10.2
5 Valparaiso73443%72.069.1+2.9
6 Indiana State73443%74.174.0+0.1
7 Illinois State73443%83.386.0-2.7
8 Northern Iowa52340%76.072.8+3.2
9 Illinois (Chi.)62433%69.069.3-0.3
10 Evansville103730%60.966.3-5.4
11 Bradley72529%69.067.3+1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Middle Tenn. St.87188%78.860.4+18.4
2 Louisiana Tech75271%81.772.9+8.9
3 New Mexico State75271%77.372.1+5.1
4 Missouri State64267%81.568.5+13.0
5 UTEP64267%70.759.3+11.3
6 Delaware85362%77.175.0+2.1
7 Western Kentucky74357%78.365.6+12.7
8 Liberty63350%64.256.7+7.5
9 Jacksonville State63350%71.266.5+4.7
10 Kennesaw State83538%76.870.5+6.2
11 Sam Houston St.72529%68.069.1-1.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Illinois State32321579
Missouri State34301074
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