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UC Davis vs Louisiana Lafayette Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 77-56
33-26 44-30
Position#139
Record4-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#320
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game59.2
Allowed / game75.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Davis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisiana Lafayette winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#218
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A02/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
59-88
59
88
-29
H07/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H09/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H13/03
NCAA
Menlo
#449
W
96-69
96
69
+27
H04/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H06/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A09/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A19/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
79-95
79
95
-16
A22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-35
41-43
25-47
34-41
22-34
35-34
47-38
29-48
42-34
54-35
26-26
54-42
32-31
31-36
34-36
43-37
33-33
42-38
39-43
40-52
149.5Avg total
73.2Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.373.8152.2+4.567%
Season at home (3)84.370.0154.3+14.3100%
Season away (3)72.377.7150.0-5.333%
Last 10 (10)73.276.3149.5-3.140%
Last 5 (5)74.874.8149.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)64.471.1135.6-6.733%
vs Similar (13)68.172.5140.6-4.546%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)74.762.4137.1+12.371%
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#54
L
64-83
64
83
-19
H27/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
42-65
42
65
-23
A01/03
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
73-69 OT
73
69
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
49-67
49
67
-18
A06/03
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A04/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H08/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H12/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
62-88
62
88
-26
A15/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
66-93
66
93
-27
A19/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
43-80
43
80
-37
A22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-44
36-39
20-31
22-34
26-24
37-39
23-29
26-38
29-28
35-47
34-20
24-32
30-29
32-37
16-37
46-51
25-40
41-53
15-38
28-42
132.1Avg total
58.3Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)59.275.7134.8-16.517%
Season at home (2)60.059.0119.0+1.050%
Season away (4)58.884.0142.8-25.20%
Last 10 (10)58.373.8132.1-15.520%
Last 5 (5)58.275.8134.0-17.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)62.474.6137.0-12.124%
vs Similar (9)65.263.8129.0+1.478%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: -7.4-7.42nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: -8.5-8.5
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -2.8-2.81st half: -7.4-7.42nd half2nd half: -0.3-0.32nd half: -8.5-8.5
UC DavisLouisiana Lafayette
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#218
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A02/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H07/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H09/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H13/03
NCAA
Menlo
#449
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H04/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H06/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A09/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H15/11
NCAA
Nevada
#86
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A19/11
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A22/11
NCAA
68.6Avg total
32.9Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.931.563.4+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.530.764.2+2.947%-
Last 30 away (15)30.232.462.6-2.247%-
Last 10 (10)32.935.768.6-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)32.833.866.6-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)27.432.860.2-5.333%-
vs Similar (13)31.732.764.4-1.046%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)36.427.463.9+9.057%-
This opponent (Louisiana Lafayette) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#54
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H27/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#83
L
20-31
20
31
-11
A01/03
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#346
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#261
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A06/03
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A04/11
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#343
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H08/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H12/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
16-37
16
37
-21
A15/11
NCAA
Stanford
#103
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A19/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
15-38
15
38
-23
A22/11
NCAA
56.6Avg total
24.6Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.432.560.9-4.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.829.859.6+0.047%-
Last 30 away (15)27.035.162.1-8.133%-
Last 10 (10)24.632.056.6-7.440%-
Last 5 (5)24.032.856.8-8.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)27.633.861.3-6.229%-
vs Similar (9)30.329.459.8+0.967%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UC Davis wins
0
Louisiana Lafayette wins
No previous meetings.
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25AColorado79-95
19/11/25ANevada75-71
15/11/25HSacramento State77-73
09/11/25APortland63-67
06/11/25HNorth Dakota St80-68
04/11/25HMenlo96-69
13/03/25HCal Poly76-86
09/03/25HUC San Diego57-68
07/03/25HUC Irvine59-88
02/03/25AHawaii70-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25ASanta Clara43-80
19/11/25AStanford66-93
15/11/25AMcNeese State62-88
12/11/25HTulane62-66
08/11/25HSE Louisiana58-52
04/11/25ABall State64-75
06/03/25AOld Dominion49-67
05/03/25HLouisiana Monroe73-69 OT
01/03/25ASouth Alabama42-65
27/02/25HArkansas State64-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Davis
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game78.384.372.3
Allowed / game73.870.077.7
Point differential+4.5+14.3-5.3
Avg total152.2154.3150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Louisiana Lafayette
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game59.260.058.8
Allowed / game75.759.084.0
Point differential-16.5+1.0-25.2
Avg total134.8119.0142.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego550100%85.469.8+15.6
2 Hawaii64267%79.565.2+14.3
3 UC Davis64267%78.373.8+4.5
4 UC Santa Barbara53260%82.676.6+6.0
5 CS Northridge53260%82.280.8+1.4
6 UC Riverside74357%75.971.7+4.1
7 UC Irvine63350%89.366.7+22.7
8 CSU Bakersfield63350%73.875.2-1.3
9 Cal Poly73443%82.686.4-3.9
10 CS Fullerton72529%88.990.3-1.4
11 Long Beach State61517%68.773.7-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall65183%84.078.0+6.0
2 Texas State86275%76.462.4+14.0
3 South Alabama75271%74.667.9+6.7
4 Southern Miss74357%80.771.7+9.0
5 Coastal Carolina74357%76.068.0+8.0
6 James Madison74357%76.775.4+1.3
7 Appalachian State74357%70.069.3+0.7
8 Arkansas State74357%78.682.1-3.6
9 Troy84450%89.883.9+5.9
10 Old Dominion73443%75.174.7+0.4
11 Georgia Southern73443%82.084.0-2.0
12 Georgia State61517%64.074.0-10.0
13 Louisiana Lafayette61517%59.275.7-16.5
14 Louisiana Monroe71614%71.082.0-11.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC Davis334477
Louisiana Lafayette263056
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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