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UC Davis vs Cal Poly Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 76-86
47-38 29-48
Position#231
Record15-16
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game69.8
UC Davis
USA
vs
Cal Poly 🏆
USA
Position#235
Record14-18
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game82.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UC Davis v Cal Poly
07 Feb 2026
UC D67
CAL 58
12 Mar 2025
UC D76
CAL 86
05 Dec 2024
UC D77
CAL 66
30 Dec 2023
UC D71
CAL 46
21 Jan 2023
UC D65
CAL 63
08 Mar 2022
UC D63
CAL 53
01 Feb 2020
UC D66
CAL 51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Davis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#16
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
73-65 OT
73
65
+8
A07/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
65-49
65
49
+16
A09/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H14/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
60-85
60
85
-25
A16/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H21/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A02/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
59-88
59
88
-29
H07/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
34-33
32-40
29-30
30-29
34-23
31-26
40-43
35-31
31-52
29-33
29-30
37-41
27-24
35-41
29-35
41-43
25-47
34-41
22-34
35-34
136.9Avg total
65.3Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)67.769.8137.5-2.148%
Season at home (14)70.668.1138.7+2.657%
Season away (17)65.371.2136.5-5.941%
Last 10 (10)65.371.6136.9-6.330%
Last 5 (5)62.874.0136.8-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)62.773.8136.4-11.125%
vs Similar ◀ (12)67.669.3136.9-1.858%
vs Weaker (6)77.261.2138.3+16.083%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Riverside
#98
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A02/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H07/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
98-83
98
83
+15
A14/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A16/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H21/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
112-100 OT
112
100
+12
H22/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
77-96
77
96
-19
A28/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
98-72
98
72
+26
H01/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H07/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-39
34-41
34-35
45-28
40-36
58-47
50-46
35-43
34-42
33-39
43-47
52-48
42-47
35-49
45-41
53-31
52-30
48-31
47-41
36-28
165.5Avg total
86.1Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.782.7164.3-1.044%
Season at home (14)85.178.3163.4+6.864%
Season away (18)79.086.1165.1-7.128%
Last 10 (10)86.179.4165.5+6.760%
Last 5 (5)94.079.6173.6+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.188.8164.9-12.710%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.081.4163.4+0.650%
vs Weaker (6)92.273.7165.8+18.5100%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: +1.1+1.12nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +4.4+4.4
UC DavisCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#16
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A01/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A07/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A09/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H14/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A16/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H21/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H22/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A02/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H07/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H09/03
NCAA
65.1Avg total
30.0Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.432.063.4-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.630.162.6+2.543%-
Last 30 away (16)30.433.764.1-3.344%-
Last 10 (10)30.035.165.1-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)26.434.060.4-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)29.535.264.8-5.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)30.031.861.8-1.842%-
vs Weaker (6)38.025.863.8+12.267%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Riverside
#98
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A02/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H07/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A14/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A16/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H21/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H22/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A28/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H01/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H07/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A09/03
NCAA
81.9Avg total
41.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.339.176.4-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.137.674.8-0.543%-
Last 30 away (16)37.440.377.8-2.944%-
Last 10 (10)41.540.481.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.841.287.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.843.079.8-6.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.038.074.0-2.036%-
vs Weaker (6)41.235.076.2+6.283%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
UC Davis wins
1
Cal Poly wins
DateGameScore
17/01/25Cal Poly v UC Davis54-65
06/12/24UC Davis v Cal Poly77-66
03/02/24Cal Poly v UC Davis52-59
30/12/23UC Davis v Cal Poly71-46
25/02/23Cal Poly v UC Davis52-58
21/01/23UC Davis v Cal Poly65-63
09/03/22UC Davis v Cal Poly63-53
16/01/22Cal Poly v UC Davis82-74
27/02/21Cal Poly v UC Davis66-68 OT
26/02/21Cal Poly v UC Davis61-69
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HUC San Diego57-68
07/03/25HUC Irvine59-88
02/03/25AHawaii70-78
22/02/25HCS Northridge62-65
21/02/25HCSU Bakersfield66-71
16/02/25AUC San Diego60-85
14/02/25HUC Riverside75-74
09/02/25ACS Fullerton65-49
07/02/25ALong Beach State73-65 OT
01/02/25AUC Irvine66-73
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25ALong Beach State83-69
07/03/25HCS Fullerton100-61
01/03/25HCSU Bakersfield98-72
28/02/25AUC Santa Barbara77-96
22/02/25HUC Riverside112-100 OT
21/02/25HUC San Diego67-81
16/02/25ACS Northridge85-89
14/02/25ACS Fullerton98-83
07/02/25HHawaii79-63
02/02/25AUC Riverside62-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Davis
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL48%
HomeWLLLL57%
AwayLWWLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %48%57%41%
Points / game67.770.665.3
Allowed / game69.868.171.2
Point differential-2.1+2.6-5.9
Avg total137.5138.7136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW44%
HomeWLWWW64%
AwayLWLLW28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321418
Win %44%64%28%
Points / game81.785.179.0
Allowed / game82.778.386.1
Point differential-1.0+6.8-7.1
Avg total164.3163.4165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %12%21%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego3228488%80.262.0+18.3
2 UC Irvine3227584%75.765.6+10.2
3 CS Northridge3122971%80.972.3+8.6
4 UC Riverside32211166%74.973.5+1.4
5 UC Santa Barbara32201262%74.968.7+6.2
6 Hawaii31151648%70.171.2-1.1
7 UC Davis31151648%67.769.8-2.1
8 Cal Poly32141844%81.782.7-1.0
9 CSU Bakersfield33141942%73.873.7+0.1
10 Long Beach State3272522%67.274.2-6.9
11 CS Fullerton3262619%63.277.3-14.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC Davis472976
Cal Poly384886
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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