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Nevada vs UC Davis Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 71-75
33-33 38-42
Position#86
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game76.5
vs
Position#139
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game69.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nevada v UC Davis
18 Nov 2025
NEVA71
UC D75
06 Dec 2023
NEVA80
UC D68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Davis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#306
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H26/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A01/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H05/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A09/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
86-71
86
71
+15
H12/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
59-67
59
67
-8
A14/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
77-50
77
50
+27
H05/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H09/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
H13/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-28
45-33
26-34
29-34
38-41
29-30
21-43
40-37
44-32
42-39
28-29
31-38
34-18
43-32
40-40
38-37
32-34
40-38
34-48
49-50
146.0Avg total
73.6Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.076.5157.5+4.575%
Season at home (3)80.369.3149.7+11.0100%
Season away (1)83.098.0181.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)73.672.4146.0+1.250%
Last 5 (5)76.674.6151.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.978.0147.9-8.10%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.169.7139.8+0.446%
vs Weaker (10)75.864.5140.3+11.380%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H21/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A02/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
59-88
59
88
-29
H07/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H09/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H13/03
NCAA
Menlo
#449
W
96-69
96
69
+27
H04/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H06/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A09/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-30
37-41
27-24
35-41
29-35
41-43
25-47
34-41
22-34
35-34
47-38
29-48
42-34
54-35
26-26
54-42
32-31
31-36
34-36
43-37
143.9Avg total
70.6Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.069.2148.2+9.875%
Season at home (3)84.370.0154.3+14.3100%
Season away (1)63.067.0130.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)70.673.3143.9-2.730%
Last 5 (5)78.472.6151.0+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)63.773.0136.7-9.330%
vs Similar ◀ (12)67.370.2137.6-2.950%
vs Weaker (7)74.762.4137.1+12.371%
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: -0.5-0.5
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: -2.2-2.22nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: -0.5-0.5
NevadaUC Davis
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#306
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H26/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A01/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H05/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A09/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H12/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A14/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
34-18
34
18
+16
H05/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H09/11
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H13/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A16/11
NCAA
68.3Avg total
33.6Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.432.965.2-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.831.966.8+2.947%-
Last 30 away (13)29.234.163.2-4.923%-
Last 10 (10)33.634.768.3-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.867.4-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.737.170.9-3.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)31.332.463.7-1.131%-
vs Weaker (10)32.830.563.3+2.350%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H21/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H22/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A02/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H07/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
22-34
22
34
-12
H09/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H13/03
NCAA
Menlo
#449
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H04/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H06/11
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A09/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#324
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H15/11
NCAA
64.8Avg total
31.3Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.531.563.0+0.047%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.330.764.0+2.644%-
Last 30 away (14)29.432.461.9-3.050%-
Last 10 (10)31.333.564.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.233.069.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)27.833.961.7-6.130%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)30.831.762.5-0.850%-
vs Weaker (7)36.427.463.9+9.057%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nevada wins
0
UC Davis wins
DateGameScore
07/12/23Nevada v UC Davis80-68
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25ASanta Clara83-98
13/11/25HSouthern Illinois86-81 OT
09/11/25HPacific78-77
05/11/25HLouisiana Tech77-50
14/03/25AColorado State59-67
12/03/25HFresno State86-71
09/03/25ASan Diego State61-80
05/03/25HNew Mexico67-71
01/03/25AUNLV55-68
26/02/25HWyoming84-61
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25HSacramento State77-73
09/11/25APortland63-67
06/11/25HNorth Dakota St80-68
04/11/25HMenlo96-69
13/03/25HCal Poly76-86
09/03/25HUC San Diego57-68
07/03/25HUC Irvine59-88
02/03/25AHawaii70-78
22/02/25HCS Northridge62-65
21/02/25HCSU Bakersfield66-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game81.080.383.0
Allowed / game76.569.398.0
Point differential+4.5+11.0-15.0
Avg total157.5149.7181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %25%33%0%
UC Davis
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game79.084.363.0
Allowed / game69.270.067.0
Point differential+9.8+14.3-4.0
Avg total148.2154.3130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State220100%75.051.0+24.0
2 Utah State440100%87.063.8+23.2
3 Wyoming440100%90.869.5+21.2
4 Colorado State440100%92.071.0+21.0
5 Boise State54180%77.667.6+10.0
6 New Mexico43175%75.063.5+11.5
7 Nevada43175%81.076.5+4.5
8 Fresno State64267%77.368.3+9.0
9 UNLV42250%91.883.8+8.0
10 Grand Canyon42250%80.874.5+6.2
11 San Jose State41325%79.876.0+3.8
12 Air Force4040%62.576.2-13.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego440100%84.068.2+15.8
2 Hawaii54180%80.261.6+18.6
3 UC Irvine43175%98.862.8+36.0
4 UC Santa Barbara43175%87.276.5+10.8
5 UC Davis43175%79.069.2+9.8
6 CS Northridge53260%82.280.8+1.4
7 UC Riverside42250%76.569.2+7.2
8 CSU Bakersfield52340%71.476.2-4.8
9 Cal Poly52340%79.885.4-5.6
10 CS Fullerton41325%89.088.0+1.0
11 Long Beach State4040%63.277.5-14.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada333871
UC Davis334275
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