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UC Irvine vs UC Davis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 79-69 (OT)
0-0 28-38 0-0 37-27 14-4
Position#60
Record21-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Position#139
Record18-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game74.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UC Irvine v UC Davis
07 Mar 2026
UC I79
UC D69
01 Feb 2025
UC I73
UC D66
06 Jan 2024
UC I74
UC D71
18 Feb 2023
UC I78
UC D76
23 Jan 2021
UC I v UC D
upcoming
08 Jan 2021
UC I v UC D
upcoming
06 Feb 2020
UC I83
UC D72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Irvine winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Davis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC IrvineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
W
87-76 OT
87
76
+11
H30/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H06/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A08/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A13/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H15/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
69-58
69
58
+11
A20/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H22/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
68-67
68
67
+1
A27/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H01/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
107-85
107
85
+22
H06/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
37-28
0-0
35-44
0-0
39-29
0-0
39-33
0-0
28-34
0-0
51-50
0-0
42-29
0-0
31-50
0-0
41-32
0-0
45-33
0-0
24-20
0-0
45-38
0-0
29-36
0-0
40-35
0-0
36-24
0-0
32-43
0-0
32-23
0-0
32-37
0-0
52-42
0-0
55-43
148.7Avg total
78.0Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.368.0145.3+9.368%
Season at home (17)79.666.4146.0+13.371%
Season away (14)74.470.1144.5+4.464%
Last 10 (10)78.070.7148.7+7.370%
Last 5 (5)75.468.2143.6+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)68.672.0140.6-3.433%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)78.867.2146.0+11.581%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#132
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A30/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A31/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H06/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H07/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
51-68
51
68
-17
A13/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
71-54
71
54
+17
H14/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
92-93
92
93
-1
A20/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H27/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
76-70 OT
76
70
+6
A06/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
48-44
0-0
30-50
0-0
36-35
0-0
44-37
0-0
40-32
0-0
45-43
0-0
21-22
0-0
46-36
0-0
20-33
0-0
31-35
0-0
41-27
0-0
30-27
0-0
50-36
0-0
42-57
0-0
37-31
0-0
41-42
0-0
31-43
0-0
42-34
0-0
31-34
0-0
31-28
148.5Avg total
75.1Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.174.8152.9+3.360%
Season at home (16)79.869.3149.1+10.575%
Season away (14)76.281.1157.3-4.943%
Last 10 (10)75.173.4148.5+1.760%
Last 5 (5)78.073.4151.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)74.273.0147.2+1.250%
vs Similar (11)78.980.9159.8-2.045%
vs Weaker (13)75.072.4147.4+2.669%
This opponent (UC Irvine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.7-0.7
UC IrvineUC Davis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UC IrvineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#44
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H30/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H06/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A13/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H15/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A20/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H22/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A27/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H06/03
NCAA
65.7Avg total
36.0Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.831.166.9+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.931.267.1+4.662%-
Last 30 away (14)35.730.966.6+4.864%-
Last 10 (10)36.029.765.7+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)34.629.063.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)30.631.962.4-1.322%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)38.030.868.8+7.381%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CS Northridge
#132
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A30/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A31/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H06/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
21-22
21
22
-1
H07/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
20-33
20
33
-13
A13/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H14/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A20/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A21/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H27/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A06/03
NCAA
69.2Avg total
35.5Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.733.869.5+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.531.166.6+4.456%-
Last 30 away (14)35.936.972.9-1.050%-
Last 10 (10)35.533.769.2+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.034.272.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)31.836.067.8-4.20%-
vs Similar (11)37.835.773.5+2.155%-
vs Weaker (13)34.332.666.9+1.762%-
This opponent (UC Irvine) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
UC Irvine wins
2
UC Davis wins
DateGameScore
17/01/26UC Davis v UC Irvine75-72
07/03/25UC Davis v UC Irvine59-88
01/02/25UC Irvine v UC Davis73-66
20/01/24UC Davis v UC Irvine54-52
06/01/24UC Irvine v UC Davis74-71 OT
18/02/23UC Irvine v UC Davis78-76
06/01/23UC Davis v UC Irvine83-88
07/02/20UC Irvine v UC Davis83-72
31/01/20UC Davis v UC Irvine65-80
UC Irvinelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HCal Poly107-85
01/03/26HUC Santa Barbara64-60
27/02/26ACS Northridge68-67
22/02/26HUC San Diego69-71
20/02/26ALong Beach State69-58
15/02/26HCS Fullerton86-65
13/02/26ACal Poly73-79
08/02/26AUC Santa Barbara79-84
06/02/26HCSU Bakersfield78-62
30/01/26HHawaii87-76 OT
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26ALong Beach State76-70 OT
27/02/26HHawaii73-77
21/02/26AUC Riverside78-73
20/02/26ACS Fullerton92-93
14/02/26HLong Beach State71-54
13/02/26AUC San Diego51-68
07/02/26HCal Poly67-58
06/02/26HUC Santa Barbara85-75
31/01/26ACSU Bakersfield80-72
30/01/26ACS Northridge78-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Irvine
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWLLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %68%71%64%
Points / game77.379.674.4
Allowed / game68.066.470.1
Point differential+9.3+13.3+4.4
Avg total145.3146.0144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%59%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)33% (3)57% (7)
Overtime %6%12%0%
UC Davis
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %60%75%43%
Points / game78.179.876.2
Allowed / game74.869.381.1
Point differential+3.3+10.5-4.9
Avg total152.9149.1157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii2922776%80.169.7+10.5
2 UC Irvine31211068%77.368.0+9.3
3 UC San Diego31211068%76.470.3+6.1
4 CS Northridge31191261%81.779.4+2.3
5 UC Santa Barbara30181260%78.272.8+5.4
6 UC Davis30181260%78.174.8+3.3
7 CS Fullerton31161552%83.582.4+1.1
8 Cal Poly32141844%82.585.4-2.9
9 UC Riverside32102231%72.977.9-4.9
10 Long Beach State3192229%74.677.9-3.3
11 CSU Bakersfield3282425%73.182.2-9.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
UC Irvine0280371479
UC Davis038027469
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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