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UC Davis vs Cal Poly Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 67-58
21-22 46-36
Position#139
Record14-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#266
Record9-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game86.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UC Davis v Cal Poly
07 Feb 2026
UC D67
CAL 58
12 Mar 2025
UC D76
CAL 86
05 Dec 2024
UC D77
CAL 66
30 Dec 2023
UC D71
CAL 46
21 Jan 2023
UC D65
CAL 63
08 Mar 2022
UC D63
CAL 53
01 Feb 2020
UC D66
CAL 51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Davis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H03/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A09/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A10/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H16/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H17/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H23/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H24/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A30/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A31/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-40
40-41
43-47
50-39
40-30
38-54
32-24
42-45
42-42
33-30
30-25
44-55
36-25
38-41
48-44
30-50
36-35
44-37
40-32
45-43
156.9Avg total
79.0Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.876.1156.0+3.761%
Season at home (13)82.070.8152.8+11.277%
Season away (10)77.083.1160.1-6.140%
Last 10 (10)79.077.9156.9+1.160%
Last 5 (5)78.277.4155.6+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)66.074.4140.4-8.429%
vs Similar (12)78.180.3158.4-2.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)75.976.2152.1-0.356%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#64
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H02/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A04/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
90-95
90
95
-5
A09/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H10/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
66-86
66
86
-20
H16/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
67-107
67
107
-40
A23/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
78-93
78
93
-15
H25/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
104-79
104
79
+25
A30/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A01/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
96-97
96
97
-1
H06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
39-42
28-23
26-38
40-36
44-41
46-54
30-40
54-38
36-41
30-45
33-59
34-48
34-46
44-47
56-35
48-44
46-44
48-43
48-52
48-45
167.3Avg total
81.2Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)82.186.8168.9-4.838%
Season at home (11)81.083.4164.4-2.436%
Season away (13)83.089.8172.8-6.838%
Last 10 (10)81.286.1167.3-4.940%
Last 5 (5)87.892.6180.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)79.388.8168.1-9.425%
vs Similar (9)85.283.6168.8+1.756%
vs Weaker (3)95.769.7165.3+26.0100%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: -4.6-4.62nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: -4.6-4.62nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: -0.3-0.3
UC DavisCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H03/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A09/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A10/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H16/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H17/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
30-25
30
25
+5
H23/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H24/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A30/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A31/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H06/02
NCAA
73.0Avg total
38.6Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.034.969.9+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.732.166.8+2.656%-
Last 30 away (12)35.439.274.6-3.842%-
Last 10 (10)38.634.473.0+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)38.032.270.2+5.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)28.736.965.6-8.114%-
vs Similar (12)37.635.673.2+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)35.134.469.6+0.767%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#64
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A04/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A09/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H10/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H16/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
33-59
33
59
-26
A23/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H25/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A30/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#334
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A01/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H06/02
NCAA
83.0Avg total
39.2Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.880.5-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.539.077.5-0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)40.642.182.8-1.553%-
Last 10 (10)39.243.883.0-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)43.447.290.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.941.678.6-4.738%-
vs Similar (9)40.342.282.6-1.944%-
vs Weaker (3)51.735.387.0+16.3100%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
UC Davis wins
3
Cal Poly wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Cal Poly v UC Davis84-78
13/03/25UC Davis v Cal Poly76-86
17/01/25Cal Poly v UC Davis54-65
06/12/24UC Davis v Cal Poly77-66
03/02/24Cal Poly v UC Davis52-59
30/12/23UC Davis v Cal Poly71-46
25/02/23Cal Poly v UC Davis52-58
21/01/23UC Davis v Cal Poly65-63
09/03/22UC Davis v Cal Poly63-53
16/01/22Cal Poly v UC Davis82-74
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/26HUC Santa Barbara85-75
31/01/26ACSU Bakersfield80-72
30/01/26ACS Northridge78-94
24/01/26HUC Riverside74-66
23/01/26HUC San Diego74-80
17/01/26HUC Irvine75-72
16/01/26HCS Fullerton74-69
10/01/26ACal Poly78-84
09/01/26AUC Santa Barbara93-86
03/01/26HCSU Bakersfield79-81
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/26HCS Northridge96-97
01/02/26AUC Riverside94-87
30/01/26ACSU Bakersfield104-79
25/01/26HCS Fullerton78-93
23/01/26AUC Santa Barbara67-107
16/01/26HHawaii66-86
10/01/26HUC Davis84-78
09/01/26ACS Northridge90-95
04/01/26ALong Beach State66-74
02/01/26HUC San Diego67-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Davis
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW61%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayWWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %61%77%40%
Points / game79.882.077.0
Allowed / game76.170.883.1
Point differential+3.7+11.2-6.1
Avg total156.0152.8160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeWWLLL36%
AwayLLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %38%36%38%
Points / game82.181.083.0
Allowed / game86.883.489.8
Point differential-4.8-2.4-6.8
Avg total168.9164.4172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%9%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)20% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii2116576%80.666.8+13.9
2 UC Irvine2316770%77.467.0+10.5
3 UC San Diego2416867%77.271.2+6.0
4 UC Santa Barbara2315865%79.172.3+6.8
5 UC Davis2314961%79.876.1+3.7
6 CS Northridge25151060%81.979.8+2.2
7 CS Fullerton24111346%83.982.9+1.0
8 Cal Poly2491538%82.186.8-4.8
9 Long Beach State2481633%74.776.9-2.2
10 CSU Bakersfield2481633%72.379.6-7.3
11 UC Riverside2581732%72.278.2-5.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC Davis214667
Cal Poly223658
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