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UC Riverside vs CSU Bakersfield Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 93-65
0-0 43-23 0-0 50-42
Position#334
Record8-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game77.9
UC Riverside 🏆
USA
vs
CSU Bakersfield
USA
Position#356
Record8-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game80.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UC Riverside v CSU Bakersfield
19 Feb 2026
UC R93
CSU 65
08 Feb 2025
UC R69
CSU 64
13 Mar 2024
UC R83
CSU 78
08 Feb 2024
UC R65
CSU 63
29 Dec 2022
UC R71
CSU 59
17 Feb 2022
UC R79
CSU 69
23 Jan 2021
UC R70
CSU 63
22 Jan 2021
UC R45
CSU 47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Riverside winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSU Bakersfield winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC RiversideUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#328
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A16/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H18/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
66-80
66
80
-14
H23/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H30/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
87-94
87
94
-7
H01/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A06/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A07/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H13/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A15/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-43
0-0
42-45
0-0
43-34
0-0
38-38
0-0
33-38
0-0
33-42
0-0
25-36
0-0
41-38
0-0
31-34
0-0
40-27
0-0
44-46
0-0
43-48
0-0
37-38
0-0
35-40
0-0
36-42
0-0
38-46
0-0
35-29
0-0
33-47
0-0
28-32
0-0
38-40
150.7Avg total
72.4Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)71.977.9149.7-6.030%
Season at home (11)75.173.5148.6+1.545%
Season away (16)69.680.8150.4-11.219%
Last 10 (10)72.478.3150.7-5.920%
Last 5 (5)73.481.6155.0-8.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)67.679.9147.5-12.316%
vs Similar (6)81.282.3163.5-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)78.861.2140.0+17.575%
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Riverside
#334
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H09/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
75-81
75
81
-6
A11/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H16/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
62-83
62
83
-21
H17/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
71-98
71
98
-27
A23/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
79-104
79
104
-25
H30/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H31/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
62-78
62
78
-16
A06/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A08/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
74-89
74
89
-15
H13/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-35
0-0
36-31
0-0
36-42
0-0
39-39
0-0
29-38
0-0
40-37
0-0
30-38
0-0
32-45
0-0
30-48
0-0
41-50
0-0
35-56
0-0
44-48
0-0
35-36
0-0
37-44
0-0
29-39
0-0
33-39
0-0
23-46
0-0
43-36
0-0
32-43
0-0
42-46
153.3Avg total
69.7Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)72.180.1152.2-8.031%
Season at home (14)73.974.7148.6-0.843%
Season away (12)70.086.3156.3-16.317%
Last 10 (10)69.783.6153.3-13.910%
Last 5 (5)70.686.6157.2-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)70.083.1153.0-13.118%
vs Similar (4)71.072.5143.5-1.550%
vs Weaker (4)88.571.0159.5+17.5100%
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -11.1-11.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -11.1-11.1Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
UC RiversideCSU Bakersfield
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UC RiversideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#328
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A16/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H18/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A24/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H30/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H01/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A06/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A07/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H13/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A15/02
NCAA
71.5Avg total
34.3Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.437.371.8-2.930%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.136.072.1+0.142%-
Last 30 away (18)33.338.271.6-4.922%-
Last 10 (10)34.337.271.5-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.473.4-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)32.838.471.2-5.621%-
vs Similar (6)37.838.876.7-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)37.528.566.0+9.075%-
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Riverside
#334
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H09/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H16/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H17/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A23/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#266
L
35-56
35
56
-21
H30/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H31/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A06/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A08/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H13/02
NCAA
73.1Avg total
31.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.938.070.9-5.123%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.135.369.4-1.333%-
Last 30 away (15)31.740.772.5-9.013%-
Last 10 (10)31.042.173.1-11.10%-
Last 5 (5)30.844.074.8-13.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)30.840.070.8-9.39%-
vs Similar (4)34.536.871.2-2.225%-
vs Weaker (4)43.028.271.2+14.8100%-
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
UC Riverside wins
3
CSU Bakersfield wins
DateGameScore
09/01/26CSU Bakersfield v UC Riverside67-66
09/02/25UC Riverside v CSU Bakersfield69-64
26/01/25CSU Bakersfield v UC Riverside79-83
14/03/24UC Riverside v CSU Bakersfield83-78
09/02/24UC Riverside v CSU Bakersfield65-63
19/01/24CSU Bakersfield v UC Riverside80-56
03/02/23CSU Bakersfield v UC Riverside82-76 OT
30/12/22UC Riverside v CSU Bakersfield71-59
18/02/22UC Riverside v CSU Bakersfield79-69
15/01/22CSU Bakersfield v UC Riverside64-65
UC Riversidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26AUC San Diego66-72
13/02/26HUC Santa Barbara68-76
07/02/26ACS Northridge74-88
06/02/26ACS Fullerton72-78
01/02/26HCal Poly87-94
30/01/26HLong Beach State71-61
24/01/26AUC Davis66-74
23/01/26HUC Irvine66-80
18/01/26HCS Fullerton81-72
16/01/26ALong Beach State73-88
CSU Bakersfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/26HHawaii74-89
08/02/26ACS Fullerton66-82
06/02/26AUC Irvine62-78
31/01/26HUC Davis72-80
30/01/26HCal Poly79-104
23/01/26AHawaii71-98
17/01/26HUC San Diego62-83
16/01/26HUC Santa Barbara69-75
11/01/26ALong Beach State75-81
09/01/26HUC Riverside67-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Riverside
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL30%
HomeWLWLL45%
AwayLLLLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271116
Win %30%45%19%
Points / game71.975.169.6
Allowed / game77.973.580.8
Point differential-6.0+1.5-11.2
Avg total149.7148.6150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%27%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSU Bakersfield
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeLLLLL43%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %31%43%17%
Points / game72.173.970.0
Allowed / game80.174.786.3
Point differential-8.0-0.8-16.3
Avg total152.2148.6156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii2418675%79.867.8+12.0
2 UC San Diego2718967%76.370.3+6.0
3 UC Irvine2617965%77.768.0+9.7
4 UC Santa Barbara27171063%79.373.5+5.9
5 CS Northridge27171063%82.179.1+3.0
6 UC Davis26161062%77.974.3+3.6
7 CS Fullerton27131448%83.282.3+0.9
8 Cal Poly27111641%81.385.3-4.0
9 Long Beach State2681831%74.277.0-2.8
10 CSU Bakersfield2681831%72.180.1-8.0
11 UC Riverside2781930%71.977.9-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
UC Riverside04305093
CSU Bakersfield02304265
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