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UC Riverside vs Cal Poly Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 87-94
44-46 43-48
Position#334
Record8-14
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#266
Record8-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game86.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UC Riverside v Cal Poly
31 Dec 2026
UC R v CAL
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
UC R87
CAL 94
13 Mar 2025
UC R83
CAL 96
01 Feb 2025
UC R80
CAL 62
11 Jan 2024
UC R71
CAL 56
16 Jan 2023
UC R83
CAL 78
19 Feb 2022
UC R78
CAL 58
23 Jan 2020
UC R97
CAL 64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Riverside winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cal Poly winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC RiversideUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A21/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
65-97
65
97
-32
A23/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
45-88
45
88
-43
H02/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A09/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
66-69
66
69
-3
H11/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A16/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H18/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
66-80
66
80
-14
H23/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A24/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-41
40-51
34-45
31-52
27-45
18-43
35-31
31-36
32-26
34-43
31-43
42-45
43-34
38-38
33-38
33-42
25-36
41-38
31-34
40-27
146.5Avg total
67.7Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)71.577.0148.5-5.536%
Season at home (9)74.671.0145.6+3.656%
Season away (13)69.481.2150.5-11.823%
Last 10 (10)67.778.8146.5-11.120%
Last 5 (5)71.475.0146.4-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)69.479.5148.9-10.129%
vs Similar ◀ (7)83.184.0167.1-0.957%
vs Weaker (5)80.462.2142.6+18.280%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
L
87-108
87
108
-21
A20/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
H22/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H02/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A04/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
90-95
90
95
-5
A09/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H10/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
66-86
66
86
-20
H16/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
67-107
67
107
-40
A23/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
78-93
78
93
-15
H25/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
104-79
104
79
+25
A30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-43
42-65
26-29
47-44
39-42
28-23
26-38
40-36
44-41
46-54
30-40
54-38
36-41
30-45
33-59
34-48
34-46
44-47
56-35
48-44
165.7Avg total
78.9Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.986.4167.3-5.536%
Season at home (10)79.582.0161.5-2.540%
Season away (12)82.190.0172.1-7.933%
Last 10 (10)78.986.8165.7-7.930%
Last 5 (5)79.888.6168.4-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)78.188.7166.8-10.625%
vs Similar ◀ (9)87.285.0172.2+2.256%
vs Weaker (3)95.769.7165.3+26.0100%
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.4-4.41st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: -6.7-6.72nd half: -3.1-3.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.4-4.41st half: -4.5-4.52nd half2nd half: -6.7-6.72nd half: -3.1-3.1
UC RiversideCal Poly
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC RiversideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A21/12
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A23/12
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H02/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A09/01
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H11/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A16/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H18/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A24/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H30/01
NCAA
70.2Avg total
32.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.237.372.5-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.535.672.2+0.946%-
Last 30 away (17)34.238.572.7-4.429%-
Last 10 (10)32.937.370.2-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.637.069.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)33.539.172.6-5.524%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.938.075.9-0.143%-
vs Weaker (5)37.628.866.4+8.880%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UCLA
#73
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A20/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H22/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#328
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A04/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A09/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H10/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#44
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H16/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
33-59
33
59
-26
A23/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H25/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A30/01
NCAA
78.3Avg total
36.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.440.780.1-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.138.676.7-0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)40.442.382.7-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)36.941.478.3-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.844.282.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.641.377.9-4.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.042.682.6-2.633%-
vs Weaker (3)51.735.387.0+16.3100%-
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
UC Riverside wins
2
Cal Poly wins
DateGameScore
07/12/25Cal Poly v UC Riverside84-88
14/03/25UC Riverside v Cal Poly83-96
22/02/25Cal Poly v UC Riverside112-100 OT
02/02/25UC Riverside v Cal Poly80-62
25/02/24Cal Poly v UC Riverside78-84
12/01/24UC Riverside v Cal Poly71-56
05/03/23Cal Poly v UC Riverside72-73 OT
17/01/23UC Riverside v Cal Poly83-78 OT
20/02/22UC Riverside v Cal Poly78-58
14/01/22Cal Poly v UC Riverside46-57
UC Riversidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26HLong Beach State71-61
24/01/26AUC Davis66-74
23/01/26HUC Irvine66-80
18/01/26HCS Fullerton81-72
16/01/26ALong Beach State73-88
11/01/26HUC San Diego66-69
09/01/26ACSU Bakersfield66-67
02/01/26HHawaii45-88
23/12/25AUCLA65-97
21/12/25ASt. Thomas (Minn.)78-92
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/26ACSU Bakersfield104-79
25/01/26HCS Fullerton78-93
23/01/26AUC Santa Barbara67-107
16/01/26HHawaii66-86
10/01/26HUC Davis84-78
09/01/26ACS Northridge90-95
04/01/26ALong Beach State66-74
02/01/26HUC San Diego67-65
22/12/25HIdaho80-83 OT
20/12/25AUCLA87-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Riverside
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW36%
HomeLLWLW56%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22913
Win %36%56%23%
Points / game71.574.669.4
Allowed / game77.071.081.2
Point differential-5.5+3.6-11.8
Avg total148.5145.6150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cal Poly
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW36%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %36%40%33%
Points / game80.979.582.1
Allowed / game86.482.090.0
Point differential-5.5-2.5-7.9
Avg total167.3161.5172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%10%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii2116576%80.666.8+13.9
2 UC Irvine2215768%77.467.2+10.2
3 UC San Diego2215768%77.970.6+7.2
4 UC Santa Barbara2114767%79.171.9+7.3
5 UC Davis2213959%79.676.2+3.4
6 CS Northridge22121055%81.080.0+1.0
7 CS Fullerton22101245%84.883.4+1.5
8 Cal Poly2281436%80.986.4-5.5
9 UC Riverside2281436%71.577.0-5.5
10 Long Beach State2381535%74.776.9-2.2
11 CSU Bakersfield2381535%72.779.7-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC Riverside444387
Cal Poly464894
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