PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

UC Riverside vs Montana State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 83-80
41-53 42-27
Position#98
Record7-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#238
Record5-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game69.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UC Riverside winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montana State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UC RiversideUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#48
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A09/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A13/11
NCAA
La Sierra
#460
W
79-51
79
51
+28
H15/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
54-96
54
96
-42
A20/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
A23/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
69-52
69
52
+17
H24/11
NCAA
Idaho
#271
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A30/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A06/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H08/12
NCAA
St. Francis (ILL)
#424
W
78-55
78
55
+23
H15/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-40
47-46
30-37
40-32
36-20
43-31
21-43
33-53
27-26
38-39
35-29
34-23
27-39
41-41
31-35
37-29
37-39
38-29
46-18
32-37
141.4Avg total
71.8Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.271.5143.7+0.664%
Season at home (4)75.256.5131.8+18.8100%
Season away (7)70.480.1150.6-9.743%
Last 10 (10)71.869.6141.4+2.270%
Last 5 (5)71.663.8135.4+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.277.2147.4-7.030%
vs Similar ◀ (14)71.672.5144.1-0.957%
vs Weaker (5)75.661.0136.6+14.6100%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#147
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A10/11
NCAA
Northwest Indian
#675
W
93-35
93
35
+58
H12/11
NCAA
Denver
#320
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A17/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
L
69-72
69
72
-3
A20/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H25/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
85-59
85
59
+26
H27/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
69-72 OT
69
72
-3
H30/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
76-65
76
65
+11
A05/12
NCAA
UMKC
#288
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H08/12
NCAA
USC
#215
L
63-89
63
89
-26
A16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-46
38-43
60-15
33-20
33-47
45-32
39-34
30-38
41-26
38-33
47-30
38-29
36-35
28-29
33-29
43-36
34-23
40-39
21-47
42-42
143.6Avg total
75.5Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.769.1143.8+5.645%
Season at home (5)80.057.4137.4+22.680%
Season away (6)70.378.8149.2-8.517%
Last 10 (10)75.568.1143.6+7.450%
Last 5 (5)73.469.4142.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.778.9157.6-0.244%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.475.8152.2+0.750%
vs Weaker (9)73.964.1138.0+9.856%
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +3.4+3.4
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +3.4+3.4
UC RiversideMontana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UC RiversideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brigham Young
#48
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A09/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A13/11
NCAA
La Sierra
#460
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H15/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#103
L
21-43
21
43
-22
A20/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A23/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H24/11
NCAA
Idaho
#271
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A30/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A06/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H08/12
NCAA
St. Francis (ILL)
#424
W
46-18
46
18
+28
H15/12
NCAA
64.9Avg total
32.3Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.333.166.4+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.729.863.5+3.854%-
Last 30 away (17)33.135.568.6-2.541%-
Last 10 (10)32.332.664.9-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.232.067.2+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)30.735.566.2-4.830%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)33.834.268.0-0.443%-
vs Weaker (5)34.828.062.8+6.880%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#147
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/11
NCAA
Northwest Indian
#675
W
60-15
60
15
+45
H12/11
NCAA
Denver
#320
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A17/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#191
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A20/11
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#208
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H27/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H30/11
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#101
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A05/12
NCAA
UMKC
#288
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H08/12
NCAA
USC
#215
L
21-47
21
47
-26
A16/12
NCAA
70.7Avg total
37.5Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.133.769.8+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.730.568.3+7.260%-
Last 30 away (15)34.436.971.3-2.553%-
Last 10 (10)37.533.270.7+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)34.232.867.0+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.434.767.1-2.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.435.271.6+1.267%-
vs Weaker (9)39.230.970.1+8.367%-
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UC Riverside wins
1
Montana State wins
DateGameScore
23/11/23Montana State v UC Riverside69-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HSt. Francis (ILL)78-55
08/12/24HCS Fullerton75-68
06/12/24ACS Northridge68-64
30/11/24AIdaho68-80
24/11/24HAlcorn State69-52
23/11/24AColorado State77-75 OT
20/11/24ASanta Clara54-96
15/11/24HLa Sierra79-51
13/11/24ACalifornia Baptist70-69
09/11/24ABrigham Young80-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/24AUSC63-89
08/12/24HUMKC74-62
05/12/24ANebraska O.76-65
30/11/24HCS Northridge69-72 OT
27/11/24HAbilene Christian85-59
25/11/24HSouthern Miss79-59
20/11/24ANorthwestern69-72
17/11/24ADenver78-79
12/11/24HNorthwest Indian93-35
10/11/24AWichita State69-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UC Riverside
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%100%43%
Points / game72.275.270.4
Allowed / game71.556.580.1
Point differential+0.6+18.8-9.7
Avg total143.7131.8150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %9%0%14%
Montana State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL45%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%80%17%
Points / game74.780.070.3
Allowed / game69.157.478.8
Point differential+5.6+22.6-8.5
Avg total143.8137.4149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%80%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %9%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Irvine109190%73.260.3+12.9
2 UC San Diego1210283%78.462.8+15.6
3 UC Santa Barbara107370%78.864.4+14.4
4 CS Northridge107370%82.171.4+10.7
5 Hawaii96367%74.770.0+4.7
6 UC Riverside117464%72.271.5+0.6
7 UC Davis117464%70.571.9-1.5
8 Cal Poly136746%84.185.7-1.6
9 CSU Bakersfield115645%76.070.2+5.8
10 Long Beach State124833%65.070.7-5.7
11 CS Fullerton124833%60.971.0-10.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Arizona117464%80.570.7+9.7
2 Northern Colorado127558%83.275.2+7.9
3 Montana127558%77.275.3+1.8
4 Weber State126650%80.268.2+11.9
5 Portland State105550%84.879.1+5.7
6 Idaho State115645%74.064.8+9.2
7 Montana State115645%74.769.1+5.6
8 Idaho124833%73.575.8-2.2
9 Sacramento State112918%64.769.3-4.5
10 East. Washington112918%72.181.8-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UC Riverside414283
Montana State532780
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.