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UCF Knights vs Arizona Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 77-84
38-41 39-43
Position#92
Record14-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Arizona 🏆
USA
Position#7
Record17-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game68.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCF Knights winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arizona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#123
W
102-91
102
91
+11
H26/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H29/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H07/12
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
102-80
102
80
+22
H20/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H23/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A07/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
73-72
73
72
+1
H11/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
47-52
55-39
45-32
37-25
47-27
39-34
35-27
46-36
49-49
53-31
33-38
52-42
44-41
37-34
32-41
44-46
33-32
40-40
42-28
40-45
158.9Avg total
85.0Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.875.4161.1+10.488%
Season at home (13)86.874.8161.5+12.092%
Season away (3)81.378.0159.3+3.367%
Last 10 (10)85.073.9158.9+11.190%
Last 5 (5)79.477.4156.8+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.683.9164.5-3.327%
vs Similar (16)83.278.4161.6+4.875%
vs Weaker (3)87.063.3150.3+23.7100%
This opponent (Arizona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArizonaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#188
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H07/12
NCAA
Alabama
#48
W
96-75
96
75
+21
A14/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
96-62
96
62
+34
H17/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
68-45
68
45
+23
H21/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
107-71
107
71
+36
H23/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
99-71
99
71
+28
H30/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
97-78
97
78
+19
A03/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
101-76
101
76
+25
H08/01
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
86-73
86
73
+13
A10/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-32
53-36
39-41
57-34
51-31
45-31
28-27
40-18
49-35
58-36
51-35
48-36
58-39
39-39
51-36
50-40
43-27
43-46
38-39
51-43
163.7Avg total
93.6Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)91.068.8159.8+22.2100%
Season at home (12)94.067.7161.7+26.3100%
Season away (5)83.871.6155.4+12.2100%
Last 10 (10)93.670.1163.7+23.5100%
Last 5 (5)94.476.0170.4+18.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.778.0149.7-6.30%
vs Similar (9)84.380.2164.6+4.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)91.769.4161.1+22.3100%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +11.0+11.02nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +12.5+12.5
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: +4.0+4.01st half: +11.0+11.02nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: +12.5+12.5
UCF KnightsArizona
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#123
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H26/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H29/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H07/12
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H20/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/01
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H11/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A15/01
NCAA
77.4Avg total
40.7Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.176.0-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.336.475.7+2.963%-
Last 30 away (11)35.541.176.5-5.618%-
Last 10 (10)40.736.777.4+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)36.836.072.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.938.573.5-3.636%-
vs Similar (16)38.639.978.6-1.344%-
vs Weaker (3)45.026.771.7+18.3100%-
This opponent (Arizona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArizonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Auburn
#188
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H07/12
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A14/12
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H17/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H21/12
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#185
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H23/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H30/12
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A03/01
NCAA
Kansas State
#292
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H08/01
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A10/01
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H15/01
NCAA
79.4Avg total
45.2Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.834.977.7+7.980%-
Last 30 at home (19)45.234.379.5+10.889%-
Last 30 away (11)38.735.974.6+2.864%-
Last 10 (10)45.234.279.4+11.080%-
Last 5 (5)48.235.283.4+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.033.768.7+1.367%-
vs Similar (9)41.139.280.3+1.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.932.977.9+12.089%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UCF Knights wins
1
Arizona wins
DateGameScore
12/01/25Arizona v UCF Knights88-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26AKansas State82-73
11/01/26HCincinnati73-72
07/01/26AOklahoma State76-87
03/01/26HKansas81-75
23/12/25HFlorida Atlantic85-80
20/12/25HFlorida Gulf Coast102-80
18/12/25HMercer81-63
07/12/25HTowson86-61
29/11/25HVMI82-57
26/11/25HQuinnipiac102-91
Arizonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26HArizona State89-82
10/01/26ATCU86-73
08/01/26HKansas State101-76
03/01/26AUtah Utes97-78
30/12/25HSouth Dakota St.99-71
23/12/25HBethune-Cookman107-71
21/12/25HSan Diego State68-45
17/12/25HAbilene Christian96-62
14/12/25AAlabama96-75
07/12/25HAuburn97-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCF Knights
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16133
Win %88%92%67%
Points / game85.886.881.3
Allowed / game75.474.878.0
Point differential+10.4+12.0+3.3
Avg total161.1161.5159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%54%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Arizona
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.094.083.8
Allowed / game68.867.771.6
Point differential+22.2+26.3+12.2
Avg total159.8161.7155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%83%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona17170100%91.068.8+22.2
2 Brigham Young1716194%87.568.8+18.8
3 Houston1716194%77.259.3+17.9
4 UCF Knights1614288%85.875.4+10.4
5 Iowa State1815383%84.765.9+18.8
6 Texas Tech1713476%83.473.2+10.1
7 Oklahoma State1713476%88.480.8+7.6
8 Kansas1813572%78.067.5+10.5
9 Colorado1712571%84.577.5+6.9
10 Baylor1711665%87.174.9+12.2
11 West Virginia1711665%73.263.2+10.1
12 TCU1811761%79.769.6+10.2
13 Arizona State1710759%80.879.4+1.4
14 Cincinnati1810856%74.166.2+7.9
15 Kansas State179853%85.680.1+5.5
16 Utah Utes189950%80.381.0-0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UCF Knights383977
Arizona414384
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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