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UCF Knights vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 81-63
35-27 46-36
Position#92
Record8-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game75.1
UCF Knights 🏆
USA
vs
Mercer
USA
Position#117
Record7-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game74.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCF Knights winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#114
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
A13/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H04/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
93-105
93
105
-12
H08/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
97-60
97
60
+37
H12/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A15/11
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H18/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H21/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
102-91
102
91
+11
H26/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H29/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-40
46-43
36-32
46-46
36-52
57-53
48-20
49-40
30-30
56-44
44-40
43-43
38-36
39-31
47-52
55-39
45-32
37-25
47-27
39-34
166.0Avg total
88.6Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)88.075.1163.1+12.989%
Season at home (8)88.275.2163.5+13.088%
Season away (1)86.074.0160.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.677.4166.0+11.280%
Last 5 (5)86.871.8158.6+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.587.4164.9-9.914%
vs Similar (14)83.577.3160.8+6.279%
vs Weaker (2)89.558.5148.0+31.0100%
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#67
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A04/11
NCAA
La Grange
#604
W
101-62
101
62
+39
H06/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H09/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
69-105
69
105
-36
A15/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A22/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H26/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A29/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H03/12
NCAA
Oglethorpe
#625
W
100-50
100
50
+50
H07/12
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
21-33
40-43
56-28
45-34
46-35
46-42
39-50
30-55
53-38
42-45
26-29
49-38
42-46
49-38
46-46
32-21
57-26
43-24
39-33
24-37
156.6Avg total
82.5Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.574.1156.6+8.470%
Season at home (5)89.264.6153.8+24.6100%
Season away (5)75.883.6159.4-7.840%
Last 10 (10)82.574.1156.6+8.470%
Last 5 (5)81.467.6149.0+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.180.3151.4-9.215%
vs Similar (7)71.677.4149.0-5.943%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.968.2150.1+13.789%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +2.3+2.3
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +2.3+2.3
UCF KnightsMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#114
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A13/03
NCAA
Hofstra
#54
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H04/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H08/11
NCAA
Florida A&M
#245
W
48-20
48
20
+28
H12/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A15/11
NCAA
Oakland
#212
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H18/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H21/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H26/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H29/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H07/12
NCAA
76.9Avg total
40.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.976.6-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.235.473.6+2.761%-
Last 30 away (12)36.944.181.0-7.217%-
Last 10 (10)40.836.176.9+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.237.481.6+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.040.775.7-5.729%-
vs Similar (14)39.138.978.0+0.150%-
vs Weaker (2)46.526.072.5+20.5100%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#67
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A04/11
NCAA
La Grange
#604
W
56-28
56
28
+28
H06/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H09/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A15/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A22/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H26/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A29/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H03/12
NCAA
Oglethorpe
#625
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H07/12
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A13/12
NCAA
78.9Avg total
42.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.335.572.8+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.033.271.2+4.847%-
Last 30 away (15)36.637.774.3-1.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.536.478.9+6.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.036.078.0+6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)34.938.373.2-3.438%-
vs Similar (7)34.134.668.7-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.033.174.1+7.967%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UCF Knights wins
0
Mercer wins
No previous meetings.
UCF Knightslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HTowson86-61
29/11/25HVMI82-57
26/11/25HQuinnipiac102-91
21/11/25HPittsburgh77-67
18/11/25HOakland87-83
15/11/25ATexas A&M86-74
12/11/25HFlorida A&M97-60
08/11/25HVanderbilt93-105
04/11/25HHofstra82-78
13/03/25AKansas94-98 OT
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25AClemson63-70
07/12/25HOglethorpe100-50
03/12/25HGeorgia State78-67
29/11/25AElon91-84
26/11/25HAppalachian State75-67
22/11/25AEastern Kentucky95-83
15/11/25AWinthrop69-105
09/11/25HLipscomb92-77
06/11/25HLa Grange101-62
04/11/25ATennessee61-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCF Knights
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games981
Win %89%88%100%
Points / game88.088.286.0
Allowed / game75.175.274.0
Point differential+12.9+13.0+12.0
Avg total163.1163.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%62%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercer
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%100%40%
Points / game82.589.275.8
Allowed / game74.164.683.6
Point differential+8.4+24.6-7.8
Avg total156.6153.8159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona10100100%90.067.4+22.6
2 Iowa State1110191%89.064.7+24.3
3 Houston1110191%78.257.7+20.5
4 Brigham Young1110191%85.665.3+20.4
5 Oklahoma State109190%89.877.3+12.5
6 Colorado109190%88.477.0+11.4
7 UCF Knights98189%88.075.1+12.9
8 Arizona State119282%80.773.6+7.1
9 Baylor97278%88.879.4+9.3
10 Kansas129375%74.763.5+11.2
11 Texas Tech118373%83.673.9+9.7
12 TCU107370%77.766.8+10.9
13 West Virginia128467%75.360.9+14.4
14 Kansas State117464%86.477.1+9.3
15 Utah Utes117464%80.779.0+1.7
16 Cincinnati106460%74.367.0+7.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mercer107370%82.574.1+8.4
2 East Tennessee St128467%78.866.4+12.4
3 Furman117464%78.570.1+8.4
4 Wofford117464%74.574.2+0.3
5 Samford126650%76.678.1-1.5
6 Chattanooga Mocs115645%79.471.1+8.3
7 VMI125742%77.174.5+2.6
8 Western Carolina104640%76.878.3-1.5
9 Citadel114736%73.572.4+1.1
10 NC Greensboro123925%74.081.2-7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UCF Knights354681
Mercer273663
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