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UCF Knights vs Cincinnati Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 73-72
33-32 40-40
Position#92
Record12-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#161
Record8-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game65.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · UCF Knights v Cincinnati
11 Mar 2026
UCF 66
CINC65
11 Jan 2026
UCF 73
CINC72
05 Feb 2025
UCF 83
CINC93
17 Feb 2024
UCF 74
CINC76
19 Feb 2023
UCF 71
CINC73
23 Feb 2022
UCF 75
CINC61
22 Dec 2020
UCF 75
CINC70
11 Jan 2020
UCF 54
CINC68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCF Knights winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cincinnati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#212
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H18/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H21/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
102-91
102
91
+11
H26/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H29/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
86-61
86
61
+25
H07/12
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
102-80
102
80
+22
H20/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H23/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-40
43-43
38-36
39-31
47-52
55-39
45-32
37-25
47-27
39-34
35-27
46-36
49-49
53-31
33-38
52-42
44-41
37-34
32-41
44-46
160.3Avg total
85.9Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.975.8162.7+11.186%
Season at home (12)87.975.0162.9+12.992%
Season away (2)81.080.5161.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)85.974.4160.3+11.590%
Last 5 (5)85.077.0162.0+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.885.9166.8-5.125%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.977.6161.5+6.475%
vs Weaker (2)89.558.5148.0+31.0100%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#220
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H25/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
56-64
56
64
-8
H27/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
76-58
76
58
+18
H02/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A13/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
88-51
88
51
+37
H18/12
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A21/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
89-62
89
62
+27
H30/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
60-67
60
67
-7
H03/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-28
52-39
23-36
33-28
31-29
45-29
37-37
37-42
37-37
28-47
50-25
38-26
18-38
47-30
44-24
45-38
33-28
27-39
28-31
32-31
138.9Avg total
72.7Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.765.3139.0+8.353%
Season at home (11)76.562.5138.9+14.073%
Season away (4)66.073.2139.2-7.20%
Last 10 (10)72.766.2138.9+6.540%
Last 5 (5)72.462.0134.4+10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.475.1139.5-10.812%
vs Similar ◀ (10)66.664.4131.0+2.240%
vs Weaker (12)79.266.1145.2+13.175%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +8.4+8.42nd half: +3.5+3.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +8.4+8.42nd half: +3.5+3.5
UCF KnightsCincinnati
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oakland
#212
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H18/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H21/11
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H26/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H29/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H07/12
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H18/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H20/12
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H23/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/01
NCAA
79.7Avg total
41.4Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.776.5-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.535.975.4+3.663%-
Last 30 away (11)34.943.578.4-8.59%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.379.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.277.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.039.874.8-4.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.939.478.2-0.544%-
vs Weaker (2)46.526.072.5+20.5100%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#220
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H25/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H27/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A06/12
NCAA
Georgia
#68
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A13/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H18/12
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
18-38
18
38
-20
A21/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H30/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H03/01
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A07/01
NCAA
65.6Avg total
34.3Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.832.165.9+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.729.965.6+5.876%-
Last 30 away (13)31.235.066.2-3.815%-
Last 10 (10)34.331.365.6+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)34.629.263.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.534.065.5-2.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.531.262.7+0.350%-
vs Weaker (12)37.231.668.8+5.667%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
UCF Knights wins
7
Cincinnati wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26AOklahoma State76-87
03/01/26HKansas81-75
23/12/25HFlorida Atlantic85-80
20/12/25HFlorida Gulf Coast102-80
18/12/25HMercer81-63
07/12/25HTowson86-61
29/11/25HVMI82-57
26/11/25HQuinnipiac102-91
21/11/25HPittsburgh77-67
18/11/25HOakland87-83
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26AWest Virginia60-62
03/01/26HHouston60-67
30/12/25HLipscomb89-62
21/12/25AClemson65-68
18/12/25HAlabama State88-51
13/12/25AGeorgia65-84
06/12/25AXavier74-79
02/12/25HTarleton76-58
27/11/25HEastern Michigan56-64
25/11/25HNJIT94-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCF Knights
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14122
Win %86%92%50%
Points / game86.987.981.0
Allowed / game75.875.080.5
Point differential+11.1+12.9+0.5
Avg total162.7162.9161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%58%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cincinnati
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL53%
HomeLWWWL73%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %53%73%0%
Points / game73.776.566.0
Allowed / game65.362.573.2
Point differential+8.3+14.0-7.2
Avg total139.0138.9139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%73%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arizona16160100%91.168.0+23.1
2 Iowa State1615194%87.063.9+23.1
3 Brigham Young1615194%88.268.7+19.6
4 Houston1615194%77.260.0+17.2
5 UCF Knights1412286%86.975.8+11.1
6 Oklahoma State1613381%89.079.9+9.1
7 Texas Tech1612475%83.173.2+9.9
8 Colorado1612475%85.577.6+7.9
9 West Virginia1611569%74.862.3+12.5
10 TCU1611569%80.468.4+12.0
11 Kansas1611569%77.568.1+9.4
12 Baylor1510567%88.374.3+14.0
13 Arizona State1610662%80.878.8+1.9
14 Kansas State169756%86.480.0+6.4
15 Cincinnati158753%73.765.3+8.3
16 Utah Utes168850%80.680.7-0.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UCF Knights334073
Cincinnati324072
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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