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Mercer vs Georgia State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-67
46-46 32-21
Position#117
Record5-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game79.1
Mercer 🏆
USA
vs
Position#332
Record1-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game63.1
Allowed / game74.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mercer v Georgia State
02 Dec 2025
MERC78
GEOR67
09 Dec 2023
MERC64
GEOR60
04 Dec 2021
MERC83
GEOR77
30 Nov 2020
MERC86
GEOR69
07 Dec 2019
MERC61
GEOR73
17 Mar 2012
MERC64
GEOR59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#338
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H01/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H07/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A08/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
61-76
61
76
-15
A04/11
NCAA
La Grange
#604
W
101-62
101
62
+39
H06/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H09/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
69-105
69
105
-36
A15/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A22/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H26/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-28
45-41
29-29
38-37
34-28
27-48
21-33
40-43
56-28
45-34
46-35
46-42
39-50
30-55
53-38
42-45
26-29
49-38
42-46
49-38
155.8Avg total
79.3Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.479.1162.6+4.371%
Season at home (3)89.368.7158.0+20.7100%
Season away (4)79.087.0166.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)79.376.5155.8+2.870%
Last 5 (5)84.483.2167.6+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)72.981.9154.8-8.914%
vs Similar (8)71.976.6148.5-4.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.468.4150.8+14.088%
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#201
W
80-71
80
71
+9
H06/03
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
49-71
49
71
-22
A03/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A08/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H11/11
NCAA
Fort Valley State Wildcats
#497
W
90-56
90
56
+34
H14/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
L
62-75
62
75
-13
A18/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
58-105
58
105
-47
A22/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
63-78
63
78
-15
H25/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-28
44-43
39-34
37-45
23-32
26-39
30-39
34-35
35-25
26-38
50-26
40-30
39-34
23-41
19-53
39-52
32-37
31-41
28-37
30-40
141.0Avg total
66.1Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)63.174.9138.0-11.812%
Season at home (3)71.365.7137.0+5.733%
Season away (5)58.280.4138.6-22.20%
Last 10 (10)66.174.9141.0-8.820%
Last 5 (5)66.278.2144.4-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)67.982.2150.1-14.313%
vs Similar (12)75.072.3147.3+2.750%
vs Weaker (2)87.072.5159.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -7.4-7.4
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -7.4-7.4
MercerGeorgia State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Carolina
#338
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H01/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H07/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A08/03
NCAA
Tennessee
#67
L
21-33
21
33
-12
A04/11
NCAA
La Grange
#604
W
56-28
56
28
+28
H06/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H09/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#62
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A15/11
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A22/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H26/11
NCAA
Elon
#256
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A29/11
NCAA
72.6Avg total
38.2Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.135.771.7+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.932.868.7+3.246%-
Last 30 away (17)36.237.974.1-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)38.234.472.6+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.680.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.038.773.7-3.736%-
vs Similar (8)33.634.568.1-0.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.431.571.9+8.975%-
This opponent (Georgia State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Southern
#201
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H06/03
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A03/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A08/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H11/11
NCAA
Fort Valley State Wildcats
#497
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H14/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#194
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A18/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
19-53
19
53
-34
A22/11
NCAA
Samford
#149
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H25/11
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A26/11
NCAA
67.6Avg total
33.1Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.936.372.1-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.334.473.7+4.957%-
Last 30 away (16)32.937.970.8-5.038%-
Last 10 (10)33.134.567.6-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.471.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)32.739.972.6-7.127%-
vs Similar (12)37.233.470.6+3.858%-
vs Weaker (2)44.531.576.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mercer wins
3
Georgia State wins
DateGameScore
28/12/24Georgia State v Mercer68-71
09/12/23Mercer v Georgia State64-60
16/11/22Georgia State v Mercer85-83 OT
04/12/21Mercer v Georgia State83-77
16/12/20Georgia State v Mercer88-81
01/12/20Mercer v Georgia State86-69
07/12/19Mercer v Georgia State61-73
17/03/12Mercer v Georgia State64-59
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25AElon91-84
26/11/25HAppalachian State75-67
22/11/25AEastern Kentucky95-83
15/11/25AWinthrop69-105
09/11/25HLipscomb92-77
06/11/25HLa Grange101-62
04/11/25ATennessee61-76
08/03/25AChattanooga Mocs61-76
07/03/25HWestern Carolina67-66
01/03/25HWestern Carolina81-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25ANew Mexico State58-77
25/11/25HSamford63-78
22/11/25ASouth Dakota St.58-105
18/11/25AArizona State62-75
14/11/25HFort Valley State Wildcats90-56
11/11/25HPresbyterian61-63
08/11/25ACincinnati64-74
03/11/25AEastern Michigan49-71
07/03/25AMarshall76-79
06/03/25HGeorgia Southern80-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game83.489.379.0
Allowed / game79.168.787.0
Point differential+4.3+20.7-8.0
Avg total162.6158.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Georgia State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL12%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %12%33%0%
Points / game63.171.358.2
Allowed / game74.965.780.4
Point differential-11.8+5.7-22.2
Avg total138.0137.0138.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St76186%81.961.3+20.6
2 Mercer75271%83.479.1+4.3
3 Wofford85362%77.678.8-1.1
4 Chattanooga Mocs84450%77.871.2+6.5
5 Furman84450%72.869.6+3.1
6 Western Carolina84450%78.476.1+2.2
7 Samford94544%73.779.2-5.6
8 Citadel83538%74.071.6+2.4
9 VMI103730%75.078.8-3.8
10 NC Greensboro81712%71.885.2-13.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Alabama86275%75.566.6+8.9
2 Marshall75271%81.679.7+1.9
3 Coastal Carolina85362%74.967.0+7.9
4 Arkansas State85362%79.481.9-2.5
5 Texas State106460%73.764.3+9.4
6 Southern Miss74357%80.771.7+9.0
7 James Madison95456%76.876.3+0.4
8 Troy105550%88.182.8+5.3
9 Georgia Southern94544%79.880.8-1.0
10 Appalachian State94544%68.069.7-1.7
11 Old Dominion93633%75.177.8-2.7
12 Louisiana Monroe71614%71.082.0-11.0
13 Georgia State81712%63.174.9-11.8
14 Louisiana Lafayette81712%57.072.8-15.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercer463278
Georgia State462167
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