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UCF Knights vs Oklahoma State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 83-70
35-40 48-30
Position#200
Record15-14
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Position#233
Record14-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game76.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · UCF Knights v Oklahoma State
03 Mar 2026
UCF 104
OKLA111
05 Mar 2025
UCF 83
OKLA70
12 Mar 2024
UCF 77
OKLA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCF Knights winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#114
L
87-91
87
91
-4
A29/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H01/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
83-93
83
93
-10
H06/02
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
76-91
76
91
-15
A08/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H12/02
NCAA
Colorado
#278
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A15/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
L
95-104
95
104
-9
A20/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H23/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H27/02
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
43-41
44-50
40-38
35-43
36-40
47-53
36-45
40-46
30-32
35-45
36-38
27-38
40-53
55-51
30-29
46-43
41-34
39-42
30-49
48-40
162.8Avg total
77.8Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.980.4159.3-1.552%
Season at home (19)75.973.9149.8+2.068%
Season away (10)84.692.8177.4-8.220%
Last 10 (10)77.885.0162.8-7.220%
Last 5 (5)78.483.4161.8-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)76.384.3160.7-8.033%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.878.2161.0+4.769%
vs Weaker (1)66.051.0117.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Oklahoma State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#216
L
57-85
57
85
-28
A30/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H01/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A05/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H09/02
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A13/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
55-93
55
93
-38
H15/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
W
104-95
104
95
+9
H20/02
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
64-96
64
96
-32
A22/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H26/02
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
23-45
34-40
41-33
40-39
33-39
30-33
43-33
43-40
31-38
41-35
24-43
31-50
53-40
51-55
23-52
41-44
40-26
34-42
24-26
37-45
151.5Avg total
71.7Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)72.776.2148.9-3.648%
Season at home (16)77.475.4152.8+2.075%
Season away (13)66.877.3144.2-10.515%
Last 10 (10)71.779.8151.5-8.140%
Last 5 (5)71.684.6156.2-13.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)66.277.9144.1-11.721%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.072.9154.9+9.189%
vs Weaker (2)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: -4.0-4.02nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -3.7-3.71st half: -4.0-4.02nd half2nd half: -3.5-3.52nd half: -4.1-4.1
UCF KnightsOklahoma State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#114
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A29/01
NCAA
Brigham Young
#48
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#159
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H06/02
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A08/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H12/02
NCAA
Colorado
#278
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A15/02
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#233
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A20/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H23/02
NCAA
Kansas State
#216
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H27/02
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A01/03
NCAA
76.1Avg total
36.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.637.675.2+0.057%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.534.571.0+2.065%-
Last 30 away (10)39.943.883.7-3.940%-
Last 10 (10)36.239.976.1-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.440.676.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.139.676.7-2.547%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.135.774.8+3.469%-
vs Weaker (1)29.021.050.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Oklahoma State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#216
L
23-45
23
45
-22
A30/01
NCAA
Utah Utes
#206
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A05/02
NCAA
Arizona State
#285
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H09/02
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A13/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#33
L
24-43
24
43
-19
H15/02
NCAA
UCF Knights
#200
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H20/02
NCAA
Kansas
#114
L
23-52
23
52
-29
A22/02
NCAA
Iowa State
#50
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H26/02
NCAA
Baylor
#149
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A02/03
NCAA
71.0Avg total
33.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.535.368.8-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.633.369.9+3.369%-
Last 30 away (14)29.937.667.6-7.721%-
Last 10 (10)33.537.571.0-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.470.2-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)29.936.866.7-6.926%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.232.972.1+6.378%-
vs Weaker (2)42.032.074.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
UCF Knights wins
1
Oklahoma State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ATCU78-89
27/02/25HKansas State80-76
23/02/25HUtah Utes76-72
20/02/25AOklahoma State95-104
15/02/25AColorado63-76
12/02/25HIowa State65-77
08/02/25ABaylor76-91
06/02/25HCincinnati83-93
01/02/25HBrigham Young75-81
29/01/25AKansas87-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25ABaylor61-71
26/02/25HIowa State74-68
22/02/25AKansas64-96
20/02/25HUCF Knights104-95
15/02/25HTexas Tech55-93
13/02/25ATCU72-73
09/02/25HArizona State86-73
05/02/25AHouston63-72
01/02/25HUtah Utes81-72
30/01/25AKansas State57-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCF Knights
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL52%
HomeLLLWW68%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291910
Win %52%68%20%
Points / game78.975.984.6
Allowed / game80.473.992.8
Point differential-1.5+2.0-8.2
Avg total159.3149.8177.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%32%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)80% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%10%
Oklahoma State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL48%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLLLLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %48%75%15%
Points / game72.777.466.8
Allowed / game76.275.477.3
Point differential-3.6+2.0-10.5
Avg total148.9152.8144.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston3026487%74.558.0+16.5
2 Texas Tech2922776%80.666.8+13.8
3 Iowa State3022873%80.467.9+12.5
4 Brigham Young3022873%81.270.0+11.3
5 Arizona30201067%82.271.7+10.5
6 Kansas30191163%75.267.6+7.6
7 Baylor30181260%77.369.5+7.8
8 West Virginia30181260%68.364.7+3.6
9 Cincinnati29171259%71.365.3+6.1
10 Utah Utes30161453%75.471.3+4.2
11 TCU30161453%68.068.5-0.5
12 UCF Knights29151452%78.980.4-1.5
13 Kansas State29141548%72.470.3+2.1
14 Oklahoma State29141548%72.776.2-3.6
15 Arizona State30131743%74.876.4-1.6
16 Colorado29111838%69.771.7-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UCF Knights354883
Oklahoma State403070
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